BluesDawg -- you may be right about over-thinking it.... but I don't ride as often as you and don't have the full experience to fall back on. Full time, very sedentary job during the week, long days, and not a lot of riding opportunities, so I want to make the most of the time I have to ride yet not overdo. I think it's smart to have a plan (i.e. risk management) rather than meander through the coming weeks and "hope" I'll do well. Next time, I'll know what works and doesn't work and it will be a no-brainer.
Yen - you have missed a recent chapter in BD's life.