After looking at the finish profile, I think there's enough climbing in the last 3k to really stir things up. I think it's a little too steep for Thor/Rojas to win outright, probably ideal for Gilbert if he rides smart, and not long/steep enough for the pure GC guys, although the "attacking" GC guys could win it too if they ride smart.
Cadel could take the yellow jersey from Thor in the last 1k if he really wants to.
Contador could make up some time IF he has the patience to mark wheels and wait for the last 1k where it's steepest. This isn't steep enough for him to just take off and expect to get away with it.
Gilbert will try to take the green jersey at the finish line.
Last edited by Kind of Blued; 07-08-11 at 12:08 PM.