Originally Posted by SlimRider

Within the range of any given probability, there remains a possible outcome that is varied from another. Given that there are only two possible outcomes, here. There stands a fair chance that the OP might possess certain fundamental reading and comprehension skills that will allow him to purchase the materials required to recondition his saddle, without over expending himself.

Therefore, we could state the alternative, and say, "Most probably yes! ..I think so!". We say this, because our glass is not half empty. It remains half-full, afterall!