I looked in the search and couldn't find what I was looking for so I apologize if I may have missed it.
I just got back from riding the course to my first ever road race. I was wondering what you think the pace will be for the course? I know that pace is largely determined by attacks, how many are racing, etc etc, but I was hoping for a ballpark guess.
Course description (all hills based on start of loop and lengths are guesstimates):
2 miles into 3 10.2 mile laps
Hills at: 0.5 miles (~10-15% for 1/2 mile)
4 miles (~15% for 1/4 mile)
7.5 miles (~5% for 1 mile)
9.5 (20% for 200 yards)
9.75 (15% for 200 yards)
I rode the course in 1:45 at 17.6 mph average. I know avg mph doesn't do anything but how much energy can I expect to save from drafting and what not? Any input is much appreciated.