Living Car Free - Ford underdestimated the shift away from SUVs

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Blue Order
08-12-06, 11:39 AM
Ford underestimated shift from SUVs (http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.asp?Feed=AP&Date=20060809&ID=5922093&GT1=8404)

All Associated Press NewsTRAVERSE CITY, Mich. (AP) - Ford Motor Co. misjudged the speed at which consumers would shift from truck-based sport utility vehicles to cars and crossover vehicles and now is accelerating plans to deal with it, a top company official says.

In appearances Tuesday and Wednesday at the Center for Automotive Research Management Briefing Seminars in Traverse City, Mark Fields, Ford's president of the Americas, said the company will announce adjustments in its "Way Forward" restructuring plan by the end of September that include faster cost cuts and new products.

The company also is considering a $1 billion investment in manufacturing and research in its home state of Michigan, Fields said.

"We are rebuilding our business for the future with an emphasis on more new products faster -- and that includes more customer features and advanced technologies throughout our entire lineup," Fields said in a speech on Wednesday.

"Even as we reduce our overall capacity in line with demand and make the tough but necessary cutbacks throughout our business to secure our future, we are not retreating one bit from the necessary investments to bring out more products for our customers," he said.

Fields also announced that Ford is invigorating its product line with a limited-edition, souped-up Mustang designed with racing legend Carroll Shelby and a new flagship sedan for the Lincoln luxury brand.

But Ford's reaction to the rapid shift away from SUVs and trucks dominated Fields' Wednesday speech and a nearly two-hour interview Tuesday night with reporters.

He said the automotive market "seized up" last fall after Hurricane Katrina struck New Orleans and drove gas prices beyond $3 per gallon.

Although gas prices subsided a bit, when prices hit $3 again this summer, people rapidly shifted to car-based vehicles or delayed purchases of highly profitable trucks and SUVs.

"I think the segment shifts have been much swifter and more permanent than we expected," he said.

The shift, as well as external factors such as higher material costs, have brought on a higher sense of urgency at Ford, he said.

The company has seen its sales slide this year, especially in trucks and SUVs, and it lost $1.45 billion in the first six months of 2006.

Although Fields wouldn't give details, he said Ford is working to roll out more new models soon, including a fuel-efficient compact car and an update of its aging Focus small car, which was introduced in 1999.

"We're not going to rest on our laurels in terms of updating that product," Fields said.

He predicted the compact car market would grow to 600,000 units by the end of the decade, but he wants to make sure the company enters the market with a distinct car and "not just get in there with an econobox." He said Ford would "not just check the box to say we have a vehicle in the segment."

Fields said Americans now rank fuel efficiency among their top three concerns when buying vehicles, up from seven or eight a year ago, and research shows that 70 percent of people are concerned about the environment, up 10 points in the last five years.

Americans also want to become less dependent on foreign oil, he said.

"It's up to us to take that and turn it into a product solution," he said. "From our standpoint, it's offering a suite of solutions to the customer."

Fields also said he stands by the company's prediction that it will return to profitability by 2008.

"We've always said it's going to be linear, and it ain't gonna be smooth," he said.

The $1 billion investment in Michigan has yet to be approved by the company, he said.

It would fund research and development of future products, advanced powertrain technologies and hybrid vehicles.

He said the company is focusing on moving new products to market faster and making sure they are what people want to buy.

"We have nine new Ford and Lincoln Mercury products going on sale in the next six months alone, and we are rebuilding our business for the future with an emphasis on new products," he said.

Among them: the Ford Shelby GT, on sale in January, and Lincoln MKS flagship sedan to replace the aging Town Car, which will arrive in showrooms in 2008.

Ford, which had about $24 billion in cash at the beginning of 2006, still plans to have at least $20 billion available by the end of the year, Fields said.

He wouldn't directly answer questions about the company hiring a sales and acquisitions expert as an adviser or about speculation about selling the Jaguar and Range Rover brands.

The interview Tuesday night came after the company had a spate of bad news in the past week. The nation's No. 2 automaker expanded a major recall, said its second-quarter loss was more than double what it previously reported, and for the first time, fell behind Toyota in U.S. vehicle sales.

Under its restructuring plan announced in January, the Dearborn-based company wants to shed 25,000 to 30,000 jobs and close 14 plants by 2012.


randya
08-12-06, 06:28 PM
The four words Ford doesn't want to hear: "I told you so"

:o

Nightshade
08-13-06, 08:29 AM
Ford ,and all the other brands it owns, has focused on selling trucks, suv's
& luxury cars for a long time. It's little wonder that they got fat dumb and
happy due to the profit margin on each car they sold. Ford completely
forgot that they were a blue collar brand so now they must reclaim that
market from the Asian car makers. All I can say is.......Good Luck.

From what I've seen thus far Ford still ain't figured out that bread & butter
cars are what they need as there's not a decent B&B car in the entire Ford
lineup.


nelson249
08-13-06, 10:48 AM
Ford ,and all the other brands it owns, has focused on selling trucks, suv's
& luxury cars for a long time. It's little wonder that they got fat dumb and
happy due to the profit margin on each car they sold. Ford completely
forgot that they were a blue collar brand so now they must reclaim that
market from the Asian car makers. All I can say is.......Good Luck.

From what I've seen thus far Ford still ain't figured out that bread & butter
cars are what they need as there's not a decent B&B car in the entire Ford
lineup.

Besides, with all the good jobs going down the toilet, who the blazes is going to buy the vehicles they do make?

Roody
08-13-06, 11:06 AM
Besides, with all the good jobs going down the toilet, who the blazes is going to buy the vehicles they do make?
Yeah, this is especially true in Ontario and Michigan, where so many auto workers live. Ironically, Henry Ford's most brilliant notion was his idea that the people who build the cars would be the same people who buy the cars--provided the cars are cheap and you pay the workers enough. Ford Motor Co. was built on the Model T--a cheap and practical car--the antithesis of the SUVs they build today.

MERTON
08-13-06, 11:21 AM
Ford ,and all the other brands it owns, has focused on selling trucks, suv's
& luxury cars for a long time. It's little wonder that they got fat dumb and
happy due to the profit margin on each car they sold. Ford completely
forgot that they were a blue collar brand so now they must reclaim that
market from the Asian car makers. All I can say is.......Good Luck.

From what I've seen thus far Ford still ain't figured out that bread & butter
cars are what they need as there's not a decent B&B car in the entire Ford
lineup.


what's a bread and butter car?

Nightshade
08-13-06, 01:36 PM
what's a bread and butter car?

That you had to ask illustrates my point. A "bread & butter" car is a basic car with the
barest MINUMUM of equipment. No air, am/fm radio only, small engine , manual tranny,
one color paint, VERY plain simple overall inside & out.

These cars used to be very popular due to the fact that most people couldn't afford all the
bells & whistles we take for granted now. Loading a car with all kinda stuff that has nothing
to do with getting you there & back is a sure fire way to squeeze extra money from the
customer base.

Years ago Ford used to have summer "red, white & blue" specials that were all bare bones
basic in one of the 3 colors. These cars were classic Ford B&B cars that cost thousands less
than a zoot suit dressed up model Ford's. They were one hell'va bargain for transportation.
The really great part was that since they were simple cars they didn't break often while
being easy/cheap to fix when they did.

Artkansas
08-13-06, 03:47 PM
what's a bread and butter car?

Biodiesel of course.

krazygluon
08-15-06, 05:59 PM
I had a friend whose dad worked for ford in detroit (although I never substantiated this rumor with my dad who sell's the things, he's out of state and we don't talk much)

but supposedly:
The profit margin on the Focus is bad enough that ford has to sell multiple F150's per Focus sold to make up the difference.

Blue Order
08-18-06, 01:08 PM
Ford making deep cuts in 2006 production (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060818/ap_on_bi_ge/ford_production_cuts)
By SARAH KARUSH, Associated Press Writer

Ford Motor Co. on Friday announced sharp cuts in its 2006 North American production that will force it to temporarily shut down plants in the U.S. and Canada as it struggles to boost profits against intense foreign competition.

The company said fourth-quarter production would be down 21 percent, or 168,000 units, from last year. Third-quarter production will be 20,000 units below what was previously announced and 78,000 units below last year.

For the full year, Ford plans to produce about 9 percent fewer vehicles than last year for a total of just above 3 million.

"We know this decision will have a dramatic impact on our employees, as well as our suppliers," Chairman and Chief Executive Bill Ford said in a note to employees. "This is, however, the right call for our customers, our dealers and our long-term future."

He said it was the company's biggest North American production cut in more than 20 years.

In response to the announcement, Fitch Ratings downgraded Ford's debt further into junk status, while two other ratings agencies placed the company on review.

Dearborn-based Ford, which lost $254 million in the second quarter, vowed last month to speed up its North American restructuring.

Bill Ford told employees the cuts are part of that acceleration and said details of more actions will be announced in September.

The nation's second-largest automaker, which has been losing market share to Asian manufacturers for a decade, said the cuts are an effort to match inventories to demand and avoid costly incentives. The plan also reflects reduced expectations for big trucks and sport utility vehicles considering high gas prices, the company said.

The new plan will result in temporary halts in production this year at assembly plants in St. Thomas, Ontario; Chicago; Wixom, Mich.; Louisville, Ky.; Wayne, Mich.; St. Paul, Minn.; Kansas City, Mo.; Norfolk, Va.; and Dearborn, Mich.; Ford said.

Mark Fields, Ford's president of the Americas, said the plan reflects the need "to match production and inventories with consumer demand."

"In doing so, we'll reduce incentive spending and inventory carrying costs for our dealers — with the intent to improve residual values for our customers and stabilize operating patterns for our plants and our suppliers," he said in a statement.

The Wall Street Journal, citing unidentified sources, reported Friday that Ford is considering shutting down more factories and cutting salaried jobs and benefits by 10 percent to 30 percent.

Ford spokesman Oscar Suris declined to comment on the report.

Company officials would not say what specific impact the production cuts would have on workers. In general, hourly workers placed on temporary layoff receive 95 percent of their wages through state unemployment benefits and a supplement by Ford.

The United Auto Workers had no immediate comment on the announcement.

Meanwhile, Fitch downgraded Ford and its finance arm Ford Motor Credit Co. to "B" from "B+" and lowered its senior unsecured debt to "B+" from "BB-."

"Implicit in the production cutbacks are expectations of continued weak pickup sales that have resulted in extended inventories," the agency said. "Volume declines in Ford's pickup segment, along with continued declines in mid-size and large SUVs, are likely to accelerate revenue declines and negative cash flows in 2006."

Standard & Poor's Ratings Services and Moody's Investors Service both put Ford's credit ratings on review for possible downgrades further into junk territory.

Bank of America analyst Ron Tadross said the cuts are a sign that "Ford is getting more realistic about its share trajectory."

He said he would not rule out similar cuts at rival General Motors Corp., which is in the midst of its own restructuring.

Ford shares fell 19 cents, or 2.3 percent, to $7.98, in early afternoon trading on the New York Stock Exchange.

carless
08-18-06, 09:29 PM
That you had to ask illustrates my point. A "bread & butter" car is a basic car with the
barest MINUMUM of equipment. No air, am/fm radio only, small engine , manual tranny,
one color paint, VERY plain simple overall inside & out.

These cars used to be very popular due to the fact that most people couldn't afford all the
bells & whistles we take for granted now. Loading a car with all kinda stuff that has nothing
to do with getting you there & back is a sure fire way to squeeze extra money from the
customer base.

Years ago Ford used to have summer "red, white & blue" specials that were all bare bones
basic in one of the 3 colors. These cars were classic Ford B&B cars that cost thousands less
than a zoot suit dressed up model Ford's. They were one hell'va bargain for transportation.
The really great part was that since they were simple cars they didn't break often while
being easy/cheap to fix when they did.

Except if the gas tank blew up (Pinto) or it fell apart (Maverick) or the tranny/motor wasn't strong enough (4cyl Ranger) or outsourced to achieve quality (Escort) or redesigned to boost sales/drop sales (1/2 size rear windshield - Ford Tauras). Remember the Ford Courier? Ford is a finance company supported by revenue from auto's.

acorn_user
08-20-06, 06:29 PM
actually, most manufacturers are finance companies with oily bits attached. gm is certainly in the same boat. when mg rover went down, the finance arm still made money. the problem is that the products were thrashed in the media for being "aged" and therefore rubbish. as it happened, they were aged but actually pretty good thanks. oh well. no more british makers. you guys would do well to buy american whilst you still can!

anitra
08-22-06, 09:11 AM
but supposedly:
The profit margin on the Focus is bad enough that ford has to sell multiple F150's per Focus sold to make up the difference.

Ha ha! That makes me so happy that I have a (used) Focus. It's a sweet little car, perfect for my needs (manual transmission, cruise control, small and manuverable, seats 4 comfortably, big trunk). Now that I've started biking, of course, it sits in the driveway most days. But it's great for the weekends and the longer trips I need to make.

TimJ
08-22-06, 11:37 AM
you guys would do well to buy american whilst you still can!
No we wouldn't.

You know the EPA has for a long time had a small projects arm where they help develop new technologies and back in 92 or something they started a project to develop an 80 mpg car. Two things came out of this- #1- the GW Bush administration killed the project right before they were inches away from producing vehicles using the technology they developed with Ford, and #2- they didn't let Toyota join the project in the first place so Toyota went on by itself to create their hybrid drive.

Ford and GM should go bankrupt- reorganization, not liquidation- because it is through sheer force of their own short-term orientated mangement that they're 5 years behind Toyota. GM had already developed the EV-1, both Ford and GM had access to hybrid technology very similar to Toyota's like 2 or 3 years before Toyota released the prius, but instead of moving forward and innovating, bolstered by an administration run by corrupt oilmen they chose the path of most consumption. Just 2 years ago GM's CEO was talking about how they were going to stay the course with big SUVs. Just a couple weeks ago they announced GM was going to save itself via the new Camaro. Ford was touting the Fusion as its saviour a few months ago.

Bottom line is these companies deserve to be drove into the ground. The management has been so out of touch with reality for so long it's ridiculous. But it's bigger than that, even. Much of the state of GM and Ford has to do with the state of our government the last 6 years. The EPA project was killed, cafe standards haven't been revised, the business climate in general, for the big boys, has been very hands-off, the vice president, just a few months into his job was saying conservation = less jobs. This was to be expected, really. The administration basically gave the big 3 the signal to forget about trying to do anything but make the biggest profits possible. Hell, if GM had any brains they'd be the biggest lobbyist in the country pushing for universal health care and expanded social security, Japanese and German carmakers don't have huge pension rolls or the burden of providing healthcare to their workers and are much more nimble because of it.

They used to (and still do to some extent) wield tremendous influence. If they wanted to they could help change the environment in the nation for the better of their workers and by extention themselves. But that's ain't gonna happen any more than Walmart is going to wield their power to bring manufacturing back to the US. They should be bankrupt already. - sorry about the rant, GM and Ford really bug me. They'r eth eposter-children for everything that's wrong with out-of-control capitalism.