sggoodri
04-18-07, 03:45 PM
"Omit" was a poor choice of words on my part. I just meant whether the standards for a regular road (whatever that is) includes considerations for bicycles on that road.
There are two types of considerations: travel by bicycle, and travel by car when bicycle traffic is present.
Where hazardous surface conditions and insensitive traffic detectors exist, it is clear to me that the traffic engineers did not consider travel by bicycle. Elsewhere, no assumptions can be made; the requirements for motor travel typically exceed the requirements for bicycle travel whether the engineers think about bicycles or not.
Where travel by car is less convenient in the presense of bicycle traffic, the accompanying cause of this is usually higher volumes of other motor traffic. Here it may be that the designers simply did not consider the total volume of traffic that might use the road. Or, limited space or money may have limited their options for providing improved passing facilities. When passing facilities are the issue, I prefer to call them what they are, rather than confusing the issue by incorrectly suggesting that some roads are bicycle facilities while others are not.
I have seen some cases where passing of bicyclists is made impossible over a long distance by medians next to a narrow lane. This is just dumb engineering.
joejack951
04-18-07, 05:39 PM
That's a great summary, Steve.
Bekologist
04-18-07, 10:56 PM
That is the requirement made by the bicycle transportation plans that are, effectively, required in all of America's major urban areas, and which declare that bicycle transportation must be dependent on a system of bikeways that were invented by motorists to shove bicycle traffic aside.
actually, john, nowadays, bicycle infrastructure is planned by bicycling advocacy groups in congunction with municipalities that do NOT require bikeways. bike infrastrucuture is designed to increase cycling and cyclist safety and visibility in communities, does NOT depend on a bike lane for riding, and is engineered with the concurrence and agreement with local bicycling advocacy groups.
it is no longer to 'shove bikes out of the way'; cities have interests in meeting the Kyoto protocols regarding grenhouse gas emission, cities have an interest in reducing traffic congestion and expediting the use of bicycles as transportation.
you are a bit, several decades out of touch with modern bicycling advocacy and infrastructure implementation. get with the program or step aside, john.
LittleBigMan
04-20-07, 08:13 AM
...it is no longer to 'shove bikes out of the way'...
I think it's a mixed bag. Maybe in some places, bike lanes and paths are perfectly designed with only the cyclist's safety, comfort and convenience in mind. But in other places, one would have to conclude that they are either to "shove bikes out of the way," or to fulfill a political agenda which serves to appear as if cyclists are being catered to when they actually are not.
John Forester
04-20-07, 12:17 PM
actually, john, nowadays, bicycle infrastructure is planned by bicycling advocacy groups in congunction with municipalities that do NOT require bikeways. bike infrastrucuture is designed to increase cycling and cyclist safety and visibility in communities, does NOT depend on a bike lane for riding, and is engineered with the concurrence and agreement with local bicycling advocacy groups.
it is no longer to 'shove bikes out of the way'; cities have interests in meeting the Kyoto protocols regarding grenhouse gas emission, cities have an interest in reducing traffic congestion and expediting the use of bicycles as transportation.
you are a bit, several decades out of touch with modern bicycling advocacy and infrastructure implementation. get with the program or step aside, john.
I suggest, bekologist, that you study a bit more about the subject in which you are so disputatious. I have stated times without number that people of your persuasion had managed, by about 1976, to steal and take over the motorists' program for pushing cyclists to the side of the road. I have also written, not quite so many times, that the money governments provide for bicycle transportation goes for bikeways and not for better roads. The words in the federal law are: "lanes, paths, and shoulders for the use of bicyclists." That is the law that the bicycle advocacy organizations spend so much of their effort in maintaining with each renewal cycle.
The plain fact that you and your associates refuse to recognize is that you advocate the bikeway system that was devised by motorists for pushing cyclists off the road. It was never designed to reduce car-bike collisions and cannot be expected to do so. You claim that it makes cycling much safer, and is particularly suited to beginning cyclists. I point out to you that in thirty years of trying, nobody on the bicycle advocacy side has ever been able to demonstrate that these claims are correct, or, even, to advance a hypothesis suggesting why either of these claims might be correct. You refuse to recognize that operating according to the vehicular rules of the road provides the best mix of safety and convenience that we have been able to devise, and that the cycling methods implied by the facilities that you advocate are incompatible with proper operation. I recognize that this is cumbersome phrasing, but none of you has ever provided a cycling method to suit the facilities that you advocate so strongly.
I have for thirty years written that I recognize that the combination of motorists and bicycle advocates has the political power to produce the cyclist-inferiority bikeway system. The puzzling thing about this alliance is that the cycling part of it so vehemently advocates the system that is so obviously contrary to their best interests as cyclists and has never been demonstrated to be beneficial.
The most reasonable explanation for this situation is that bicycle advocates suffer from an exaggerated fear of same-direction motor traffic, a fear that causes them to act so contrary to their best interests and to argue so vehemently, contrary to fact, that they are right. That is the definition of a phobia, as I have so often written.
Bekologist
04-20-07, 12:22 PM
john, your statement perfectly describes your delusions.
get with it, old man.
John Forester
04-20-07, 01:55 PM
john, your statement perfectly describes your delusions.
get with it, old man.
Not quite, Bekologist. A deluded person is one who has beliefs contrary to fact. I base my cycling statements and policy on facts; you base yours on beliefs that are contrary to fact. Look, I admit that there are many people as deluded as you are. That's a fact. But, other than that, you have no facts to support the policy that you advocate. Your associates have tried for thirty years to demonstrate such facts, and they have failed.
What are the facts upon which you base your beliefs? How have these facts been demonstrated? How satisfactory have been these supposed demonstrations.
I deny JF's assertion that facilities advocates have been trying for 30 years to prove that claims that those facilities decrease car-bicycle collisions are true. that's bullcrap. the fact is neither "side has "proven" anything. about anything. there's not enough reliable "data" about anything in the cycling safety/advocacy world to prove a damn thing.
this is all a game of semantics and one-upsmanship. straw man arguments and putting words in other people's mouths. It's incredibly divisive and counterproductive for advicacy.
both of you go to your rooms and think about what you've done.
only then may you have some pie.
John Forester
04-20-07, 03:31 PM
I deny JF's assertion that facilities advocates have been trying for 30 years to prove that claims that those facilities decrease car-bicycle collisions are true. that's bullcrap. the fact is neither "side has "proven" anything. about anything. there's not enough reliable "data" about anything in the cycling safety/advocacy world to prove a damn thing.
this is all a game of semantics and one-upsmanship. straw man arguments and putting words in other people's mouths. It's incredibly divisive and counterproductive for advicacy.
both of you go to your rooms and think about what you've done.
only then may you have some pie.
So you deny "that facilities advocates have been trying for 30 years to prove that claims that those facilities decrease car-bicycle collisions are true." That's an utterly damning statement, that the bicycle facilities advocates have been advocating their system as reducing car-bike collisions without having even the confidence in their argument that would suggest that a test might demonstrate it! I have long recognized that you people are utterly irresponsible, but sometimes you come up with arguments that really take the cake.
However, you are merely ignorant. Government has paid for a long string of studies that have attempted to demonstrate that bike-lane stripes make cycling safer, and none of these have demonstrated that conclusion.
On the other side, there has been a very large body of work in the traffic-engineering profession over decades demonstrating the value of operating in accordance with the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles, and of the danger of not operating in that manner, both for motorists and for cyclists.
If you are ignorant of traffic-engineering knowledge then you are just talking foolishness. If, on the other hand, you know traffic-engineering, then you should be able to demonstrate to all of us the areas in which it is incorrect. None of you have tried the latter; it is more reasonable to conclude the former.
No pie for you!
you make up motivations and stick whole theories and world views in other people's heads and then argue that they're wrong for thinking the things that they don't think!
you say things that aren't true.
you assert things that you have no proof of and say they are fact.
you force people to prove things that are unproveable, and when they can't, point to that as proof of the truth of your position.
that's screwed up.
go to your room again and think about what you've done.
then you can have some ice cream.
I-Like-To-Bike
04-20-07, 03:53 PM
On the other side, there has been a very large body of work in the traffic-engineering profession over decades demonstrating the value of operating in accordance with the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles, and of the danger of not operating in that manner, both for motorists and for cyclists.
Please post a list or reference to this very large body of work from the traffic engineering profession that demonstrates the value of operating a BICYCLE in accordance with the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles, that doesn't have John Forester as the author. Sophomoric and sophistic Forester Brand "demonstrations of value" just don't cut it no mo'.
sggoodri
04-20-07, 04:47 PM
I deny JF's assertion that facilities advocates have been trying for 30 years to prove that claims that those facilities decrease car-bicycle collisions are true. that's bullcrap.
If one looks only at the published bikeway studies, one notices that the strongests conclusions written by the strongest of bikeway advocates are generally very weak, and often are inconsistent with or cannot be determined from the data they report.
What's more interesting to me are the studies that never get published, because the authors who were trying to prove that bikeways improve safety found no such causal effect, or in some cases, discovered the opposite. It is ironic that many of the best scientific works on bikeways (like many subjects) never got published, because the scientific conclusions did not align with the politics or motivations of those individuals or organizations doing or funding the work.
Of course, finding out about such research requires an inside scoop on the people active in this area, especially degreed traffic engineers and statisticians. I have had the fortune of access to such talented people. YMMV.
John Forester
04-20-07, 04:48 PM
Please post a list or reference to this very large body of work from the traffic engineering profession that demonstrates the value of operating a BICYCLE in accordance with the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles, that doesn't have John Forester as the author. Sophomoric and sophistic Forester Brand "demonstrations of value" just don't cut it no mo'.
Yes, indeed, it was me who demonstrated in a formal manner that the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles applied to cyclists. I think that we need to consider that the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles have been fully tested over many years.
Of course, the fact that the traffic laws for cyclists were written to require operation according to the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles demonstrated that the traffic experts couldn't figure out a different set of operating rules for cyclists that was sufficiently safe for them to adopt.
Since they had not bothered to demonstrate the truth of their conclusion, I made that demonstration when that information was required. Since I made that demonstration, nobody has challenged it by saying that characteristic X of a cyclist invalidates one or more operating procedures for drivers of vehicles.
I really ought to thank you, ILTB, for praising me in the sight of all by pointing out that I was the one person smart enough to see the need for this formal presentation of existing principles and intelligent enough to actually carry it out..
Brian Ratliff
04-20-07, 04:51 PM
sggoodrie:
Good. Let's have a look-see about some of these non-published reports and weak conclusions. Sorry. You are just some guy on the internet; your word carries no weight here. So, what've you got?
Brian Ratliff
04-20-07, 04:59 PM
Yes, indeed, it was me who demonstrated in a formal manner that the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles applied to cyclists. I think that we need to consider that the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles have been fully tested over many years.
Of course, the fact that the traffic laws for cyclists were written to require operation according to the rules of the road for drivers of vehicles demonstrated that the traffic experts couldn't figure out a different set of operating rules for cyclists that was sufficiently safe for them to adopt.
Since they had not bothered to demonstrate the truth of their conclusion, I made that demonstration when that information was required. Since I made that demonstration, nobody has challenged it by saying that characteristic X of a cyclist invalidates one or more operating procedures for drivers of vehicles.
I really ought to thank you, ILTB, for praising me in the sight of all by pointing out that I was the one person smart enough to see the need for this formal presentation of existing principles and intelligent enough to actually carry it out..
:roflmao:
There was a guy once who knew how to play his nose like a horn. You need to learn this. It'd be easier to walk into the room and toot a little to let everyone know how very much smarter you are then them than to have to convince them though talking at them.
sggoodri
04-20-07, 07:27 PM
sggoodrie:
Good. Let's have a look-see about some of these non-published reports and weak conclusions. Sorry. You are just some guy on the internet; your word carries no weight here. So, what've you got?
As an example, there's a transportation engineer I know who was working on his master's degree project while working for a city transportation department. He has some influence in the department, and so he organized a traffic calming research project in converting two-lane collector roads from wide lanes to narrow lanes with bike lanes. His hypothesis was that the lane narrowing through edge striping would reduce traffic speeds due to psychoperceptual effects. He hoped to publish his results in addition to having it his Master's project. He ran a very scientific set of experiments on multiple streets with before and after measurements, and controls. He did great work.
Except, he got the opposite result from what he expected.
As an engineer myself, I find that I learn as much from failures as from success, and I encouraged him to publish his results, or at least let me have his Master's project report so that I could put it on Humantransport.org. But, I also understand the effect of pride, and I understand why he chose not to publish his disappointing results. Instead, he let the experiment end quietly.
The epilogue is that this engineer still promotes engineering that he believes is friendly to cyclists, but has become more of an advocate of shared use arrows, especially given the number of his city streets with on-street parking. When a city council member began promoting a street conversion to install substandard-width bike lanes next to narrow travel lanes, he asked me to come in person speak to the public works committee in favor of leaving the steet as-is. He is fond of wide outside lanes, and in private he speaks critically of the two-way sidepaths that have been designated by the state DOT for bicycle use in the area, particularly where the adjacent travel lanes were built narrow. On those roads that have been striped with bike lanes, he works hard to find ways to get them swept when cyclists complain about the debris, despite having no good funding mechanism due to his department's shrinking maintenance budget and their official policy of leaving maintenance of state roads to the state.
LittleBigMan
04-20-07, 09:19 PM
:roflmao:
There was a guy once who knew how to play his nose like a horn. You need to learn this. It'd be easier to walk into the room and toot a little to let everyone know how very much smarter you are then them than to have to convince them though talking at them.
Actually, I wonder if we might be more amazed at nasal harmonics than reason.
I-Like-To-Bike
04-20-07, 11:09 PM
I really ought to thank you, ILTB, for praising me in the sight of all by pointing out that I was the one person smart enough to see the need for this formal presentation of existing principles and intelligent enough to actually carry it out..
Better you thank your straw man.
Only a darn fool would think that the published Forester Brand, so-called "tests" and so-called "analyses" of the relationships between cycling risk, cyclists skills, and cycling techniques are presentations of anything resembling intelligence or demonstrations of "smarts."
John C. Ratliff
04-23-07, 01:03 AM
I have read some of John Forester's statements above, and I am a bit curious as to how fatalities such as this one would be helped by VC concepts? Any comments?
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/02/05/in-memoriam-nick-bucher/
John
LittleBigMan
04-23-07, 08:18 AM
I have read some of John Forester's statements above, and I am a bit curious as to how fatalities such as this one would be helped by VC concepts? Any comments?
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/02/05/in-memoriam-nick-bucher/
John
Sad.
John, sometimes no matter what you do, it's not enough. It could have happened in a bike lane, out of a bike lane, or to a pedestrian or other motorist, for that matter.
John C. Ratliff
04-23-07, 12:20 PM
LittleBigMan,
I think this is the point I'm trying to make, and that is when there is an abvious situation with an out-of-control vehicle (drunk driver, distracted driver, etc.), that VC will not really help the cyclist. The kinda scary situation is how many drivers are distracted. Last fall, at a site where there was a fatality, I counted cars, and found that a significant number of the drivers were actively working a cell phone.
I have come to the realization that to be safer on a bike, the cyclist needs to be actively working on a number of levels to minimize the potential for incidents involving motor vehicles, as it really does not matter if the cyclist is in the right or not. This includes the traditional work to make the cyclist more visible, to ensure that the cyclist is predictable when working in traffic, etc. (which is covered by VC riding techniques).
But in cases such as this, these are not enough. My concept includes minimizing bicycle/auto interactions. This is where I differ from VC techniques. To do this, I use the safety concepts from radiation safety, of time, distance and shielding.
Time
Timing is critical, and a bicyclist needs to time his/her rides to coincide with times which minimize traffic. This includes riding off the heavy commute times (before or after). I've gone so far as to decide not to commute at all on Fridays, as in my area, the traffic seems very weird on Fridays (and I've been in the hospital twice on Fridays). Obviously, you need to use caution, even when bicycling at night, drunk drivers around, to ensure that you are visible (the example below, the cyclist was not visible, but the driver was impared too), but also to stay away from roadways if possible:
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/04/19/in-memoriam-kimberly-ann-potter/
Distance
This is where facilities for bicycles comes into effect. This includes bike lanes, bike paths, sidewalks (when unoccupied), and bicycle boulevards (see this link):
http://www.bta4bikes.org/
I have a route to and from work which includes side streets, three bike paths, and a routing around traffic which I have been tracking through four trips now, which I have called the AC route. I am comparing it to another route with higher triffic, but which allows me to ride VC all the way to work. On the AC route, I have been passed by 115 cars, verses 241 cars on the VC route. Of those, I counted only 25 cars passing me with a close interaction (<= 5 feet from my bike) on the AC route, verses 57 on the VC route. I have made no overall conclusions yet (with only four trips), but will put something together by the end of summer.
The point is that we can, as cyclists, use the distance factor to place us at a lesser risk of car/bike interactions. By the way, this distance away from traffic does a lot to lessen the cyclist's exposure to roadway noise from autos too.
Shielding
How can we shield ourselves from auto traffic? Well, again the routes can make a difference. Bicycle boulevards and bike paths can put a physical barrier between the cyclist and the auto traffic, which is a way of protecting the cyclists from the traffic. Bicycle facilities, if well-designed (especially where the paths or boulevards cross traffic), can have a benificial effect. But caution is necessary at these interfaces, which is the main objection VC riders have to these types of facilities.
These are proven concepts for Radiation Safety. Similar concepts could be used for Bicycle Safety too.
John
Helmet Head
04-23-07, 12:35 PM
I have read some of John Forester's statements above, and I am a bit curious as to how fatalities such as this one would be helped by VC concepts? Any comments?
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/02/05/in-memoriam-nick-bucher/
John What you are presenting is a strawman argument. The strawman position that you are refuting, whether you realize it or not, is: Riding VC alone will protect you from any crash. This is a strawman position because not Forester, not me, not anyone, actually holds that position.
Your strawman argument is to present an example of a tragedy that apparently illustrates how riding VC alone with not protect you from any crash. At best, you've refuted your own strawman argument. Congratulations.
By the way, turning left in front of oncoming traffic is not an example of VC riding. There is some speculation that the motorist did not have his lights on and was speeding. Was it patch black out that night? Was the car black? Was it a silent car too? This does not make sense. The cyclist turned left in front of another vehicle. That's a ROW violation and not VC.
Helmet Head
04-23-07, 12:46 PM
LittleBigMan,
I think this is the point I'm trying to make, and that is when there is an abvious situation with an out-of-control vehicle (drunk driver, distracted driver, etc.), that VC will not really help the cyclist. The kinda scary situation is how many drivers are distracted. Last fall, at a site where there was a fatality, I counted cars, and found that a significant number of the drivers were actively working a cell phone.
I have come to the realization that to be safer on a bike, the cyclist needs to be actively working on a number of levels to minimize the potential for incidents involving motor vehicles, as it really does not matter if the cyclist is in the right or not. This includes the traditional work to make the cyclist more visible, to ensure that the cyclist is predictable when working in traffic, etc. (which is covered by VC riding techniques).
But in cases such as this, these are not enough. My concept includes minimizing bicycle/auto interactions. This is where I differ from VC techniques. To do this, I use the safety concepts from radiation safety, of time, distance and shielding.
Time
Timing is critical, and a bicyclist needs to time his/her rides to coincide with times which minimize traffic. This includes riding off the heavy commute times (before or after). I've gone so far as to decide not to commute at all on Fridays, as in my area, the traffic seems very weird on Fridays (and I've been in the hospital twice on Fridays). Obviously, you need to use caution, even when bicycling at night, drunk drivers around, to ensure that you are visible (the example below, the cyclist was not visible, but the driver was impared too), but also to stay away from roadways if possible:
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/04/19/in-memoriam-kimberly-ann-potter/
Distance
This is where facilities for bicycles comes into effect. This includes bike lanes, bike paths, sidewalks (when unoccupied), and bicycle boulevards (see this link):
http://www.bta4bikes.org/
I have a route to and from work which includes side streets, three bike paths, and a routing around traffic which I have been tracking through four trips now, which I have called the AC route. I am comparing it to another route with higher triffic, but which allows me to ride VC all the way to work. On the AC route, I have been passed by 115 cars, verses 241 cars on the VC route. Of those, I counted only 25 cars passing me with a close interaction (<= 5 feet from my bike) on the AC route, verses 57 on the VC route. I have made no overall conclusions yet (with only four trips), but will put something together by the end of summer.
The point is that we can, as cyclists, use the distance factor to place us at a lesser risk of car/bike interactions. By the way, this distance away from traffic does a lot to lessen the cyclist's exposure to roadway noise from autos too.
Shielding
How can we shield ourselves from auto traffic? Well, again the routes can make a difference. Bicycle boulevards and bike paths can put a physical barrier between the cyclist and the auto traffic, which is a way of protecting the cyclists from the traffic. Bicycle facilities, if well-designed (especially where the paths or boulevards cross traffic), can have a benificial effect. But caution is necessary at these interfaces, which is the main objection VC riders have to these types of facilities.
These are proven concepts for Radiation Safety. Similar concepts could be used for Bicycle Safety too.
John
Indeed, there are no absolutes in safety. It's all a matter of probability.
But the law of diminishing returns plays a part too. If you take full responsibility for your safety and ride conspicuously, predictably, vigilantly and in accordance to the vehicular rules of the road (including not turning left in front of oncoming traffic), the already very low odds of the average cyclist being hit in traffic are reduced by probably an order of magnitude, if not two or three orders of magnitude.
Whatever the remaining odds are, they are not zero, and, as long as you're still riding a bike in traffic, they can always be reduced more, because no matter what you do, staying home on the couch is always going to improve your odds with respect to getting hit while bicycling in traffic.
There is nothing new about choosing routes that are safer and riding at times that are safer. To each his own. I prefer to choose my routes and ride times based on need, and do not believe my odds of getting hit are significantly affected by this.
galen_52657
04-23-07, 02:10 PM
LittleBigMan,
I think this is the point I'm trying to make, and that is when there is an abvious situation with an out-of-control vehicle (drunk driver, distracted driver, etc.), that VC will not really help the cyclist. The kinda scary situation is how many drivers are distracted. Last fall, at a site where there was a fatality, I counted cars, and found that a significant number of the drivers were actively working a cell phone.
I have come to the realization that to be safer on a bike, the cyclist needs to be actively working on a number of levels to minimize the potential for incidents involving motor vehicles, as it really does not matter if the cyclist is in the right or not. This includes the traditional work to make the cyclist more visible, to ensure that the cyclist is predictable when working in traffic, etc. (which is covered by VC riding techniques).
But in cases such as this, these are not enough. My concept includes minimizing bicycle/auto interactions. This is where I differ from VC techniques. To do this, I use the safety concepts from radiation safety, of time, distance and shielding.
Time
Timing is critical, and a bicyclist needs to time his/her rides to coincide with times which minimize traffic. This includes riding off the heavy commute times (before or after). I've gone so far as to decide not to commute at all on Fridays, as in my area, the traffic seems very weird on Fridays (and I've been in the hospital twice on Fridays). Obviously, you need to use caution, even when bicycling at night, drunk drivers around, to ensure that you are visible (the example below, the cyclist was not visible, but the driver was impared too), but also to stay away from roadways if possible:
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/04/19/in-memoriam-kimberly-ann-potter/
Distance
This is where facilities for bicycles comes into effect. This includes bike lanes, bike paths, sidewalks (when unoccupied), and bicycle boulevards (see this link):
http://www.bta4bikes.org/
I have a route to and from work which includes side streets, three bike paths, and a routing around traffic which I have been tracking through four trips now, which I have called the AC route. I am comparing it to another route with higher triffic, but which allows me to ride VC all the way to work. On the AC route, I have been passed by 115 cars, verses 241 cars on the VC route. Of those, I counted only 25 cars passing me with a close interaction (<= 5 feet from my bike) on the AC route, verses 57 on the VC route. I have made no overall conclusions yet (with only four trips), but will put something together by the end of summer.
The point is that we can, as cyclists, use the distance factor to place us at a lesser risk of car/bike interactions. By the way, this distance away from traffic does a lot to lessen the cyclist's exposure to roadway noise from autos too.
Shielding
How can we shield ourselves from auto traffic? Well, again the routes can make a difference. Bicycle boulevards and bike paths can put a physical barrier between the cyclist and the auto traffic, which is a way of protecting the cyclists from the traffic. Bicycle facilities, if well-designed (especially where the paths or boulevards cross traffic), can have a benificial effect. But caution is necessary at these interfaces, which is the main objection VC riders have to these types of facilities.
These are proven concepts for Radiation Safety. Similar concepts could be used for Bicycle Safety too.
John
Man, am I glad I don't have to go through all that crap when I want to get some place. I simply roll out my front door and commence pedalling...
Helmet Head
04-23-07, 02:28 PM
Man, am I glad I don't have to go through all that crap when I want to get some place. I simply roll out my front door and commence pedalling... :eek:
You've got to be kidding! Don't you realize how dangerous that is? Surely you at least check the forecast for meteors falling on the various routes you may choose from, avoiding those where meteor falls are more likely. Even I realize VC won't protect me from being hit by a meteor. I hope you do too, and choose your timing and routes accordingly.
John C. Ratliff
04-23-07, 05:04 PM
Man, am I glad I don't have to go through all that crap when I want to get some place. I simply roll out my front door and commence pedalling...
That is the equivalent of saying, "I'm just going to on the river to paddle downstream," without knowing the river's hazards (rapids, falls, rocks, jet boats, etc.), while river canoeing. On the river its a good way to get in trouble. I think that if you do the same on the roadway with a bicycle instead of a canoe on a river, you're also headed for a potential mishap.
John
noisebeam
04-23-07, 05:12 PM
That is the equivalent of saying, "I'm just going to on the river to paddle downstream," without knowing the river's hazards (rapids, falls, rocks, jet boats, etc.), while river canoeing. On the river its a good way to get in trouble. I think that if you do the same on the roadway with a bicycle instead of a canoe on a river, you're also headed for a potential mishap.
John
Not really the same. Road/traffic conditions are generally consisent, predictable and follow types. One generally knows what the most 'challenging' type of roadway could be before heading out on a bike vs. having a spring storm change previously moderate rapids into dangerous.
Al
Helmet Head
04-23-07, 05:16 PM
That is the equivalent of saying, "I'm just going to on the river to paddle downstream," without knowing the river's hazards (rapids, falls, rocks, jet boats, etc.), while river canoeing. On the river its a good way to get in trouble. I think that if you do the same on the roadway with a bicycle instead of a canoe on a river, you're also headed for a potential mishap.
John
John,
Read your own words and consider the implications: Comparing the hazards of going for a bike ride down some familiar roads, or even some unfamilar roads, to, say, those encountered during Powell's expedition of the Colorado, is bizarre, to say the least.
But it's very revealing that you see these activities to be comparable with respect to risk.
galen_52657
04-23-07, 06:32 PM
That is the equivalent of saying, "I'm just going to on the river to paddle downstream," without knowing the river's hazards (rapids, falls, rocks, jet boats, etc.), while river canoeing. On the river its a good way to get in trouble. I think that if you do the same on the roadway with a bicycle instead of a canoe on a river, you're also headed for a potential mishap.
John
John,
That has got to be the dumbest comparison ever posted in A & S, bar none. When one rides 8k + miles a year, year in, year out for 20 -odd years, roads - no matter how much traffic they have on them - just become roads. All pretty much the same. A lane is a lane is a lane. Cars have to slow down behind you and move over to pass. A very few drivers get angry/upset/frustrated but who cares? In twenty years of cycling I have never really even had a close call with a car. I have had some rednecks try to intimidate me, but they are not really going to do anything. And, it's never in an urban setting with high traffic that they try that crap. It's out in the boonies when nobody is around and the traffic and road conditions have nothing to do with it. It's just asshats being asshats. And, because I have minimum 3-4' of buffer to my right at all times, I have plenty of room to brake and turn if necessary.
Get a grip fella
John C. Ratliff
04-23-07, 08:45 PM
That's very interesting, that you consider canoeing hazardous. I don't, and I used to have a river beside my house and take the canoe down at least 3-5 times a week. It's a means of transportation, but you still have to know the river, where things are, how to use the currents, plan the trip, etc. But I still look at the river, wear my PFD, sometimes wear a wet suit (cold water), and enjoy my paddling.
You may not realize it, but Lewis and Clark, on their expedition down the Columbia River and back, did not loose one person to a water mishap. They almost lost some gear, but not a person. Comparing my analogy to the Powell's expedition on the Colorado is also interesting, and shows where your heads are at. You guys don't know me at all, nor do you know much about canoeing. I have not been hurt paddling a canoe; but I have riding a bicycle.
You are also in denial about the safety of the roads. We have a major problem in this country about roads, and the use of it by cars. Here in Oregon, in fewer than the first 100 days of this year, we have had 100 deaths on the roads:
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/04/05/100-traffic-deaths-in-fewer-than-100-days-slow-down/
To quote this article, "A traffic crash occurs every 13 minutes and a fatality occurs every 18 hours in Oregon. Alcohol and drugs are involved in 40% of all crashes and speed is involved in over 50%. Nationally, the leading cause of death for persons ages 3 to 33 is a traffic crash." I think the BTA is listing four deaths to bicyclists in Oregon so far this year (if I'm reading the website correctly). So bicyclists are in this mix too.
I have the NHTSA study titled "The Economic Impact of Motor Vehicle Crashes 2000" which put the cost of these crashes at $230.6 billion, or approximately $820 for each person in the USA, and about 2.3% of our GDP for the year 2000. In that year, there were 41,821 fatalities in the United States. 5.3 million persons were injured in 16.4 million motor vehicle crashes, which included the 41,821 fatalities. Here is the study:
http://www.nhtsa.dot.gov/staticfiles/DOT/NHTSA/Communication%20&%20Consumer%20Information/Articles/Associated%20Files/EconomicImpact2000.pdf
Now, if you will please tell me how to get those numbers down to a tenth that level, then I will consider the roads relatively safe. Right now, they are not. Until there is a culture change in this country, and that includes you guys too, it won't happen. Riding a bicycle in these conditions as a vehicle invites mixing it up with people who drive drunk, drive under the influence of drugs, are in road rage, and drive while talking on a cell phone, all of which impare drivers. The normal rules of the road, the VC riding you advocate, will not help in these situations.
I don't see anything that any of the VC advocates, including John Forester, are saying or doing that will help these numbers.
John
Helmet Head
04-23-07, 09:26 PM
That's very interesting, that you consider canoeing hazardous. I don't, and I used to have a river beside my house and take the canoe down at least 3-5 times a week. It's a means of transportation, but you still have to know the river, where things are, how to use the currents, plan the trip, etc. But I still look at the river, wear my PFD, sometimes wear a wet suit (cold water), and enjoy my paddling.
You may not realize it, but Lewis and Clark, on their expedition down the Columbia River and back, did not loose one person to a water mishap. They almost lost some gear, but not a person. Comparing my analogy to the Powell's expedition on the Colorado is also interesting, and shows where your heads are at. You guys don't know me at all, nor do you know much about canoeing. I have not been hurt paddling a canoe; but I have riding a bicycle.
You are also in denial about the safety of the roads. We have a major problem in this country about roads, and the use of it by cars. Here in Oregon, in fewer than the first 100 days of this year, we have had 100 deaths on the roads:
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/04/05/100-traffic-deaths-in-fewer-than-100-days-slow-down/
To quote this article, "A traffic crash occurs every 13 minutes and a fatality occurs every 18 hours in Oregon. Alcohol and drugs are involved in 40% of all crashes and speed is involved in over 50%. Nationally, the leading cause of death for persons ages 3 to 33 is a traffic crash." I think the BTA is listing four deaths to bicyclists in Oregon so far this year (if I'm reading the website correctly). So bicyclists are in this mix too.
I have the NHTSA study titled "The Economic Impact of Motor Vehicle Crashes 2000" which put the cost of these crashes at $230.6 billion, or approximately $820 for each person in the USA, and about 2.3% of our GDP for the year 2000. In that year, there were 41,821 fatalities in the United States. 5.3 million persons were injured in 16.4 million motor vehicle crashes, which included the 41,821 fatalities. Here is the study:
http://www.nhtsa.dot.gov/staticfiles/DOT/NHTSA/Communication%20&%20Consumer%20Information/Articles/Associated%20Files/EconomicImpact2000.pdf
Now, if you will please tell me how to get those numbers down to a tenth that level, then I will consider the roads relatively safe. Right now, they are not. Until there is a culture change in this country, and that includes you guys too, it won't happen. Riding a bicycle in these conditions as a vehicle invites mixing it up with people who drive drunk, drive under the influence of drugs, are in road rage, and drive while talking on a cell phone, all of which impare drivers. The normal rules of the road, the VC riding you advocate, will not help in these situations.
I don't see anything that any of the VC advocates, including John Forester, are saying or doing that will help these numbers.
John
Which number is bigger?
a) The number of hours people spent driving their cars today in Portland.
b) The number of hours people spent canoeing in the entire U.S. over the last hundred years.
Put some perspective on it, John.
Bekologist
04-23-07, 09:33 PM
Mr. Head, I think you are agreeing with john Ratliff's assessment that roads are more dangerous than canoeing, but both carry some risk.
Ever swamp a canoe, mr. Head? ever flailed out of one in whitewater?
John Forester
04-23-07, 09:40 PM
That's very interesting, that you consider canoeing hazardous. I don't, and I used to have a river beside my house and take the canoe down at least 3-5 times a week. It's a means of transportation, but you still have to know the river, where things are, how to use the currents, plan the trip, etc. But I still look at the river, wear my PFD, sometimes wear a wet suit (cold water), and enjoy my paddling.
You may not realize it, but Lewis and Clark, on their expedition down the Columbia River and back, did not loose one person to a water mishap. They almost lost some gear, but not a person. Comparing my analogy to the Powell's expedition on the Colorado is also interesting, and shows where your heads are at. You guys don't know me at all, nor do you know much about canoeing. I have not been hurt paddling a canoe; but I have riding a bicycle.
You are also in denial about the safety of the roads. We have a major problem in this country about roads, and the use of it by cars. Here in Oregon, in fewer than the first 100 days of this year, we have had 100 deaths on the roads:
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/04/05/100-traffic-deaths-in-fewer-than-100-days-slow-down/
To quote this article, "A traffic crash occurs every 13 minutes and a fatality occurs every 18 hours in Oregon. Alcohol and drugs are involved in 40% of all crashes and speed is involved in over 50%. Nationally, the leading cause of death for persons ages 3 to 33 is a traffic crash." I think the BTA is listing four deaths to bicyclists in Oregon so far this year (if I'm reading the website correctly). So bicyclists are in this mix too.
I have the NHTSA study titled "The Economic Impact of Motor Vehicle Crashes 2000" which put the cost of these crashes at $230.6 billion, or approximately $820 for each person in the USA, and about 2.3% of our GDP for the year 2000. In that year, there were 41,821 fatalities in the United States. 5.3 million persons were injured in 16.4 million motor vehicle crashes, which included the 41,821 fatalities. Here is the study:
http://www.nhtsa.dot.gov/staticfiles/DOT/NHTSA/Communication%20&%20Consumer%20Information/Articles/Associated%20Files/EconomicImpact2000.pdf
Now, if you will please tell me how to get those numbers down to a tenth that level, then I will consider the roads relatively safe. Right now, they are not. Until there is a culture change in this country, and that includes you guys too, it won't happen. Riding a bicycle in these conditions as a vehicle invites mixing it up with people who drive drunk, drive under the influence of drugs, are in road rage, and drive while talking on a cell phone, all of which impare drivers. The normal rules of the road, the VC riding you advocate, will not help in these situations.
I don't see anything that any of the VC advocates, including John Forester, are saying or doing that will help these numbers.
John
Don't be even sillier than usual, John C. Ratliff. It is not your function, nor ours, to make serious attempts to reduce the number of crashes to motor vehicles. What is at issue is what we can do to reduce accidents to cyclists, including, of course, car-bike collisions. That is where vehicular cycling enters, as the leading cause of car-bike collisions is failure to obey the rules of the road, more frequently by the cyclist than by the motorist, and, even when the motorist is considered to be at fault, the actions of the cyclist are frequently not admirable. Bike lanes and bike paths do nothing significant to reduce car-bike collisions, and nothing at all for other kinds of bicycling accident.
John C. Ratliff
04-23-07, 11:11 PM
Mr. Forester,
It is pretty presumptuous of you to try to tell me what my function is, especially as I work for the safety department of a Fortune 500 company, and auto accidents are one of our primary risks (the other is ergonomic hazards). The reason I bicycle is to get to work, and my work is as a safety professional and industrial hygienist (yes, I am a CSP and a CIH; if you don't know what that is, google it). So I have both a professional obligation to try to reduce auto accidents, and a personal responsibility to do so.
For some reason, the mix of autos and bikes has changed since I was a kid in the 1950s. My sense is that there are more car/bike accidents, and more fatal accidents, now than there were then (I don't have the stats right now on that, but I'm sure they are available somewhere). Kids could bike anywhere without fear of cars then. Heck, my brother, Ken rode a tricycle down the middle of our steet (Evergreen Avenue, Salem, Oregon--it's still there) for over a quarter of a mile before someone figured out who it was and brought him home, at about four years old. Now, we have a 5 year-old girl dead in Portland from a car-bike accident. How does VC techniques help the kids?
Now, if you think that 41,821 fatalities in the year 2000 is a silly thing to talk about, it shows where your head is too. How about 784 bicycle fatalities in 2005 in the United States. Believe it or not, I got this from a comparison table from the International Shark Attack File, comparing bicycle fatalities in Florida and in the United States with shark attacks in Florida and the United States. Talk about silly, sharks are much more hazardous than bicycling on roads, right? Wrong! In Florida, since 1990 through 2005, 1,520 people died bicycling, while sharks claimed 4 people. In Florida, 95,554 bicyclists were injured during that time period, while 265 people were injured by sharks.
http://www.flmnh.ufl.edu/fish/sharks/attacks/relariskbike.htm
Mr. Forester, if VC techniques would drive down the bicycle fatality rate, then you've had about 20 years to show it. If you'll look at the above table, do you see a decrease in the number of cycling fatalities in the past 20 years that you've been advocating VC techniques? It looks like for the 16 year period in that table, the mean number of deaths was 762 people on bikes being killed per year in the United States of America. The early 2000s were a bit down, but now in 2005, it's higher than the mean. Do you see a statistical difference over these sixteen years? If not, why not?
You can reduce accidents for cyclists by the principles I put forward above, time, distance and shielding. VC puts you into the mix, and that mix can be lethal. I ride, when I ride in traffic, using most of the VC techniques in your book, but you don't talk about recumbant bicycling, nor do you talk much about mirrors. I have found both the switch to a recumbant and use of mirrors very advantagous when riding in traffic. And obviously, I like bike paths that are away from cars. Today, I got to watch two geese landing near a creek on my bike path close to my home. You don't get to see that when riding on a road, as you are too busy looking out for traffic.
John
John C. Ratliff
04-23-07, 11:13 PM
Which number is bigger?
a) The number of hours people spent driving their cars today in Portland.
b) The number of hours people spent canoeing in the entire U.S. over the last hundred years.
Put some perspective on it, John.
Have you any idea of the number of canoes being used by native populations in the United States in the early 1900s? I suggest you take a look again at a bit of our history.
http://www.firstpeople.us/canoe/sunset-on-puget-sound.html
John
The other Inane
04-23-07, 11:15 PM
Don't be even sillier than usual, John C. Ratliff. It is not your function, nor ours, to make serious attempts to reduce the number of crashes to motor vehicles. What is at issue is what we can do to reduce accidents to cyclists, including, of course, car-bike collisions.
I find this a very odd attitude, as surely the more "vehicularly" one cycles the more one is exposed to normal motor vehicle accidents. Reducing the number of motor vehicle accidents must make it safer for "vehicular" cyclists as well, almost by the definition of VC.
Random Breath Testing (with loss of licence), red light cameras and mobile roadside speed cameras all work but I understand it is practically impossible to introduce most of these in the USA so I have nothing else to suggest.
That is where vehicular cycling enters, as the leading cause of car-bike collisions is failure to obey the rules of the road, more frequently by the cyclist than by the motorist, and, even when the motorist is considered to be at fault, the actions of the cyclist are frequently not admirable.
I also have a few problems with this, as I think the biggest cause of car bike collisions is a lack of attention or observation of traffic conditions, often on the part of the cyclist.
The observation failures often lead to the breaking of a road rule and an accident, but the rule breakage is not the root cause of the accident. The stats are also skewed by the large number of young cyclists involved in car/bike collisions where it is definatly an error in judgment on their part.
Promoting VC as the cure all just does not work for me.
Bike lanes and bike paths do nothing significant to reduce car-bike collisions, and nothing at all for other kinds of bicycling accident.
Logicially by seperating cars and bikes into differnet lanes you would reduce some types of car/bike collisions (eg, hit from behined in same lane) while increasing others (eg, hit car door). Wether this is of a net positive benifit to cyclists is debateable (especially here :) ), but it surely must change the car/bike collision dynamic somehow.
Helmet Head
04-23-07, 11:25 PM
Now, if you think that 41,821 fatalities in the year 2000 is a silly thing to talk about, it shows where your head is too. How about 784 bicycle fatalities in 2005 in the United States. Believe it or not, I got this from a comparison table from the International Shark Attack File, comparing bicycle fatalities in Florida and in the United States with shark attacks in Florida and the United States. Talk about silly, sharks are much more hazardous than bicycling on roads, right? Wrong! In Florida, since 1990 through 2005, 1,520 people died bicycling, while sharks claimed 4 people. In Florida, 95,554 bicyclists were injured during that time period, while 265 people were injured by sharks.
Is there something surprising or significant in these numbers for you?
How does this relate to whether stripes might help or hinder?
John C. Ratliff
04-24-07, 12:58 AM
Is there something surprising or significant in these numbers for you?
How does this relate to whether stripes might help or hinder?
The significance is that we are loosing almost as many people each year as we lost in the entire Vietnam War, and you feel it should not be a surprise, that it's normal. I'm very curious what number you would find "significant" here for yearly traffic fatalities?
Concerning the stripes, they will help to place responsibility on the driver to keep away from the bicyclist. In Oregon, it is no a means of segregating cyclists, as John Forester claims, but rather a separate lane dedicated to cyclists that they can leave to make turns when that is necessary.
Of greater importance, though, is the City of Portland's strategy for "traffic calming" which is shown on this website:
http://www.portlandonline.com/shared/cfm/image.cfm?id=40414
This includes both bike lanes and other enhancements such as bike boulevards, local service bikeways, off-street paths, etc. A strip on a road is just a small part of working toward a solution. The City of San Francisco is actively working at "traffic calming" techniques, and this should help too:
http://www.sfgov.org/site/bac_page.asp?id=11544
From a safety perspective, VC techniques are what we call "administrative controls." Usually, administrative controls do not do as well as engineering controls, as they depend upon the cyclist's and the driver's behavior, and for both to be working by the same set of rules, with the same assumptions, etc. That breaks down fairly easily in industry, and from those stats on fatalities, on the road too.
John
galen_52657
04-24-07, 01:34 PM
That's very interesting, that you consider canoeing hazardous. I don't, and I used to have a river beside my house and take the canoe down at least 3-5 times a week. It's a means of transportation, but you still have to know the river, where things are, how to use the currents, plan the trip, etc. But I still look at the river, wear my PFD, sometimes wear a wet suit (cold water), and enjoy my paddling.
You may not realize it, but Lewis and Clark, on their expedition down the Columbia River and back, did not loose one person to a water mishap. They almost lost some gear, but not a person. Comparing my analogy to the Powell's expedition on the Colorado is also interesting, and shows where your heads are at. You guys don't know me at all, nor do you know much about canoeing. I have not been hurt paddling a canoe; but I have riding a bicycle.
You are also in denial about the safety of the roads. We have a major problem in this country about roads, and the use of it by cars. Here in Oregon, in fewer than the first 100 days of this year, we have had 100 deaths on the roads:
http://www.bta4bikes.org/btablog/2007/04/05/100-traffic-deaths-in-fewer-than-100-days-slow-down/
To quote this article, "A traffic crash occurs every 13 minutes and a fatality occurs every 18 hours in Oregon. Alcohol and drugs are involved in 40% of all crashes and speed is involved in over 50%. Nationally, the leading cause of death for persons ages 3 to 33 is a traffic crash." I think the BTA is listing four deaths to bicyclists in Oregon so far this year (if I'm reading the website correctly). So bicyclists are in this mix too.
I have the NHTSA study titled "The Economic Impact of Motor Vehicle Crashes 2000" which put the cost of these crashes at $230.6 billion, or approximately $820 for each person in the USA, and about 2.3% of our GDP for the year 2000. In that year, there were 41,821 fatalities in the United States. 5.3 million persons were injured in 16.4 million motor vehicle crashes, which included the 41,821 fatalities. Here is the study:
http://www.nhtsa.dot.gov/staticfiles/DOT/NHTSA/Communication%20&%20Consumer%20Information/Articles/Associated%20Files/EconomicImpact2000.pdf
Now, if you will please tell me how to get those numbers down to a tenth that level, then I will consider the roads relatively safe. Right now, they are not. Until there is a culture change in this country, and that includes you guys too, it won't happen. Riding a bicycle in these conditions as a vehicle invites mixing it up with people who drive drunk, drive under the influence of drugs, are in road rage, and drive while talking on a cell phone, all of which impare drivers. The normal rules of the road, the VC riding you advocate, will not help in these situations.
I don't see anything that any of the VC advocates, including John Forester, are saying or doing that will help these numbers.
John
And what prey tell does that have to do with the issue at hand? Everybody knows those numbers. But, thankfully there are far fewer bicyclist deaths, averaging about 800 annually. If one deducted wrong-way cyclists, cyclists riding without lights after dark and bicycles being operated by children out of the total, you would have around half that number. One is statistically more likely to die while walking than cycling.
And, by your own statistics, a large portion of the accidents involve alcohol consumption. What is a white line painted down the road demarcating a bike lane going to do against an impaired motorist? Maybe your next suggestion will be Jersey barriers to separate cyclists from the drunken hoards........:roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao:
You are a fear monger John, plain and simple. Cycling vehicularly on the road is reasonably safe. No paint stripe needed.
Helmet Head
04-24-07, 02:20 PM
The significance is that we are loosing almost as many people each year as we lost in the entire Vietnam War, and you feel it should not be a surprise, that it's normal. I'm very curious what number you would find "significant" here for yearly traffic fatalities?
Concerning the stripes, they will help to place responsibility on the driver to keep away from the bicyclist. In Oregon, it is no a means of segregating cyclists, as John Forester claims, but rather a separate lane dedicated to cyclists that they can leave to make turns when that is necessary.
Of greater importance, though, is the City of Portland's strategy for "traffic calming" which is shown on this website:
http://www.portlandonline.com/shared/cfm/image.cfm?id=40414
This includes both bike lanes and other enhancements such as bike boulevards, local service bikeways, off-street paths, etc. A strip on a road is just a small part of working toward a solution. The City of San Francisco is actively working at "traffic calming" techniques, and this should help too:
http://www.sfgov.org/site/bac_page.asp?id=11544
I am honestly having a hard time understanding your point, much less its relevance to stripes or anything else that is appropriate to discuss in this forum, much less anything we're actually discussing.
Where "uncalm" traffic is a known problem, I'm all for traffic calming. That is not a VC issue. With respect to stripes, there is also the gun barrel effect to consider: where having a buffered space to the side decreases perceived "side friction" for drivers and actually increases average speeds.
The number of people that died in the Vietnam War is tragic. So is the number that are killed by cars. This is not an issue of VC or stripes... unless you're arguing that stripes have been shown to significantly reduce that number (which is the implication of what you're saying... otherwise what's the point? ... but you avoid actually saying it, perhaps because you know it would be pure baseless conjecture).
From a safety perspective, VC techniques are what we call "administrative controls." Usually, administrative controls do not do as well as engineering controls, as they depend upon the cyclist's and the driver's behavior, and for both to be working by the same set of rules, with the same assumptions, etc. That breaks down fairly easily in industry, and from those stats on fatalities, on the road too.
800 deaths per year. Let's say 400 are due to blatant cyclist violation of basic VC rules (riding at night without lights, riding the wrong way against traffic, etc.).
Of the remaining 400, how many involve the cyclist not practicing advanced VC techniques that would have prevented the crash, much less the death? Here is where you and I probably differ, because I would estimate that number to be 95% or higher, if not 99% or higher, judging by how often I see cyclists ride contrary to these rules. So, by my numbers, 800 deaths per year could be reduced to a handful if we could get cyclists to adopt advanced vc techniques.
More importantly, regardless of what others do, if it's true, then the odds of a given cyclist getting killed in a car crash would be lower than the odds of an average cyclist by about two orders of magnitude, if the given cyclist adopted advanced vc techniques, without a single engineering change, and without a single change in the behavior of any motorist anywhere.
This is why I'm such a strong proponent of VC.
EDIT: If you're limited on time, I'd rather you respond to Mr. Forester below.
:D Does this mean I should treat my bike like a canoe?
John Forester
04-24-07, 02:41 PM
The significance is that we are loosing almost as many people each year as we lost in the entire Vietnam War, and you feel it should not be a surprise, that it's normal. I'm very curious what number you would find "significant" here for yearly traffic fatalities?
Concerning the stripes, they will help to place responsibility on the driver to keep away from the bicyclist. In Oregon, it is no a means of segregating cyclists, as John Forester claims, but rather a separate lane dedicated to cyclists that they can leave to make turns when that is necessary.
Of greater importance, though, is the City of Portland's strategy for "traffic calming" which is shown on this website:
http://www.portlandonline.com/shared/cfm/image.cfm?id=40414
This includes both bike lanes and other enhancements such as bike boulevards, local service bikeways, off-street paths, etc. A strip on a road is just a small part of working toward a solution. The City of San Francisco is actively working at "traffic calming" techniques, and this should help too:
http://www.sfgov.org/site/bac_page.asp?id=11544
From a safety perspective, VC techniques are what we call "administrative controls." Usually, administrative controls do not do as well as engineering controls, as they depend upon the cyclist's and the driver's behavior, and for both to be working by the same set of rules, with the same assumptions, etc. That breaks down fairly easily in industry, and from those stats on fatalities, on the road too.
John
The point is not the absolute number of motor-vehicle crashes, but that, by and large, attempting to reduce motor-vehicle crashes is not a significant task for cyclists. We have plenty to do for our own accidents.
Ratliffe argues that the bike lane stripe is intended to "help to place responsibility on the driver to keep away from the bicyclist. In Oregon, it is no[t] a means of segregating cyclists, as John Forester claims, but rather a separate lane dedicated to cyclists that they can leave to make turns when that is necessary." That's a fine argument, but it does not change the facts at all. Bike lanes were invented to clear the way for motorists, which they do fairly well, without regard to the safety of cyclists. Bicycle advocates now praise bike lanes for doing something else instead, just as Ratliff has done here.
The question is, whether it is worthwhile to put up with the harm that the bike lane was designed to do, and the harm that it does simply because its designers didn't worry too much about harm to cyclists, in the hope that it does something that was not intended by its designers? That's unreasonable. And look at Ratliff's own excuse, that the bike-lane stripe helps keep motorists away from cyclists. That's been debated for years, and recently a series of such tests have been run. The conclusion is that motorists overtake cyclists with less clearance when there is a bike-lane stripe than when there isn't.
The traffic calming bits of the Portland Bicycle Plan are just what should not be imposed on cyclists: curb bulbouts for cyclists to either run into or swerve around.
Now consider Ratliff's argument, as a safety engineer, about vehicular cycling. "From a safety perspective, VC techniques are what we call "administrative controls." Usually, administrative controls do not do as well as engineering controls ... " That is the standard view, but its applicability is limited to situations in which the engineering controls work at least as well as the "administrative controls." While we have many traffic engineering devices, we still have to rely on the rules of the road. If we had engineering devices that worked as well as the rules of the road, we would be using them for motorists, but we have not invented such. Since we have not, with all the effort put into traffic engineering, been able to dismiss the rules of the road, what reason is there to believe that the tiny effort put into bicycle traffic engineering, which has, so far, produced only devices that contradict the rules of the road, has done the job of supplanting the rules of the road? The idea is incredible.
Helmet Head
04-24-07, 05:08 PM
Now consider Ratliff's argument, as a safety engineer, about vehicular cycling. "From a safety perspective, VC techniques are what we call "administrative controls." Usually, administrative controls do not do as well as engineering controls ... " That is the standard view, but its applicability is limited to situations in which the engineering controls work at least as well as the "administrative controls." While we have many traffic engineering devices, we still have to rely on the rules of the road. If we had engineering devices that worked as well as the rules of the road, we would be using them for motorists, but we have not invented such. Since we have not, with all the effort put into traffic engineering, been able to dismiss the rules of the road, what reason is there to believe that the tiny effort put into bicycle traffic engineering, which has, so far, produced only devices that contradict the rules of the road, has done the job of supplanting the rules of the road? The idea is incredible.
:beer:
John C. Ratliff
04-24-07, 05:38 PM
The point is not the absolute number of motor-vehicle crashes, but that, by and large, attempting to reduce motor-vehicle crashes is not a significant task for cyclists. We have plenty to do for our own accidents.
In that case, don't assume that others have the same on their plate that you have.
Ratliff argues that the bike lane stripe is intended to "help to place responsibility on the driver to keep away from the bicyclist. In Oregon, it is no[t] a means of segregating cyclists, as John Forester claims, but rather a separate lane dedicated to cyclists that they can leave to make turns when that is necessary." That's a fine argument, but it does not change the facts at all. Bike lanes were invented to clear the way for motorists, which they do fairly well, without regard to the safety of cyclists. Bicycle advocates now praise bike lanes for doing something else instead, just as Ratliff has done here. (slightly edited to spell my name correctly)
That is your impression, based upon the battles you have fought in perhaps a different part of the country.
The question is, whether it is worthwhile to put up with the harm that the bike lane was designed to do, and the harm that it does simply because its designers didn't worry too much about harm to cyclists, in the hope that it does something that was not intended by its designers? That's unreasonable. And look at Ratliff's own excuse, that the bike-lane stripe helps keep motorists away from cyclists. That's been debated for years, and recently a series of such tests have been run. The conclusion is that motorists overtake cyclists with less clearance when there is a bike-lane stripe than when there isn't.
Helmet head just got on my case for trying to test that out, by riding outside the bike lanes. I found that I was passed further by some, and closer by others. I did have several irritated motorists when I did it, and Helmet Head told us all that he would have been irritated too.
The traffic calming bits of the Portland Bicycle Plan are just what should not be imposed on cyclists: curb bulbouts for cyclists to either run into or swerve around.
I don't think that is the main thrust of the traffic calming. In my neighborhood, we also use speed bumps.
Now consider Ratliff's argument, as a safety engineer, about vehicular cycling. "From a safety perspective, VC techniques are what we call "administrative controls." Usually, administrative controls do not do as well as engineering controls ... " That is the standard view, but its applicability is limited to situations in which the engineering controls work at least as well as the "administrative controls." While we have many traffic engineering devices, we still have to rely on the rules of the road. If we had engineering devices that worked as well as the rules of the road, we would be using them for motorists, but we have not invented such. Since we have not, with all the effort put into traffic engineering, been able to dismiss the rules of the road, what reason is there to believe that the tiny effort put into bicycle traffic engineering, which has, so far, produced only devices that contradict the rules of the road, has done the job of supplanting the rules of the road? The idea is incredible.(emphasis added)
I'm curious, then, as to what you call traffic roundabouts? They are shown here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roundabout#History_and_safety
Are these not an engineering control? If so, why do you say that they have not been invented yet? In the Bend, Oregon we used to have a straight, two-lane roadway called Century Drive. We could leave the city driving and start a very fast acceleration on a trip to the lakes or to Mt. Bachelor. We cannot do that now, as the first number of miles (something like four miles) has a number of traffic circles (roundabouts) built into the center of the road. A few years back, my wife and I bicycled these, and found them very nice to the bicyclist. Haven't been invented yet? I'm curious why these are not even considered by you, as it most definately is an engineering control. Drivers who are impared would likely end up stranded on the elevated center of the roundabout too, a plus for the design.
By the way, there is a discussion about whether bike lanes are appropriate for cyclists on these traffic roundabouts. They seem to work well in Bend, but here, with the traffic calming that is done by the roundabouts themselves, it may be that it would be best not to have a bike lane here. Because the cars are in a mode of slowing down to make the turns, the bicycle would have a better means of integrating into the traffic.
John
John Forester
04-24-07, 06:23 PM
I
I'm curious, then, as to what you call traffic roundabouts? They are shown here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roundabout#History_and_safety
Are these not an engineering control? If so, why do you say that they have not been invented yet? In the Bend, Oregon we used to have a straight, two-lane roadway called Century Drive. We could leave the city driving and start a very fast acceleration on a trip to the lakes or to Mt. Bachelor. We cannot do that now, as the first number of miles (something like four miles) has a number of traffic circles (roundabouts) built into the center of the road. A few years back, my wife and I bicycled these, and found them very nice to the bicyclist. Haven't been invented yet? I'm curious why these are not even considered by you, as it most definately is an engineering control. Drivers who are impared would likely end up stranded on the elevated center of the roundabout too, a plus for the design.
By the way, there is a discussion about whether bike lanes are appropriate for cyclists on these traffic roundabouts. They seem to work well in Bend, but here, with the traffic calming that is done by the roundabouts themselves, it may be that it would be best not to have a bike lane here. Because the cars are in a mode of slowing down to make the turns, the bicycle would have a better means of integrating into the traffic.
John
The traffic circles shown on the Portland Bicycle Plan are the dangerous type. Traffic circles, or roundabouts, can be designed to aid cyclists. I grew up in a nation with good traffic circles, and for several years I cycled in Massachusetts during the years when they had traffic circles. When I cycled to work from Berkeley to Richmond and back, I partially circled a traffic circle, and there is another in Long Beach, on 101, which I used to use sometimes when I lived nearby. I have also cycled those in Washington DC, which are done really wrong, with traffic signals in them. In 1985 Dorris and I took a 5-week cycle tour of England, and found cities that one could cycle right across without stopping, because of traffic circles. And in Swindon there's a setup with seven interlinked traffic circles, which we rode, without previous instruction, without any problem at all. Since then, I have recommended traffic circles of the good type.
Right-of-way at roundabouts has to be set so that traffic entering yields to that already circulating. The entries need to be not tangential, but sufficiently not tangential that the entering driver has to slow and yield if necessary, and the entry should not be cramped so as to force the cyclist to the side. If the roundabout has to carry so much traffic that two lanes are warranted, then the legs have to be sufficiently far apart, making a large diameter, for lane changing to occur between legs.
I rode several of these large roundabouts, and got into trouble only once. In England, riding on the left side of the road, and out in the country. I knew that the next turn should be right, so when I came to it, and being somewhat mislead by the signing, Dorris and I turned right. Smack into traffic coming at us. That was the proper road, but the intersection was a traffic circle so large that it had a coppice of trees in the middle of it. Only something a stranger would be misled by.
There has been discussion in England of bike lanes around roundabouts. Never put them inside the roundabout. Those who perform the function of bicycle advocates here admitted that would be dangerous, so they recommend putting them around outside the traffic circle, with intersections at every leg of the system. That gets a big raspberry from most.
If you had read Effective Cycling, you would have read my recommendations about cycling through roundabout.
Helmet Head
04-24-07, 06:37 PM
And look at Ratliff's own excuse, that the bike-lane stripe helps keep motorists away from cyclists. That's been debated for years, and recently a series of such tests have been run. The conclusion is that motorists overtake cyclists with less clearance when there is a bike-lane stripe than when there isn't.
Helmet head just got on my case for trying to test that out, by riding outside the bike lanes. I found that I was passed further by some, and closer by others. I did have several irritated motorists when I did it, and Helmet Head told us all that he would have been irritated too.
Mr. Ratliff, sir, please pay heed. The tests Mr. Forester refers to involve comparing cyclist and motorist behavior on roads with bike lanes to cyclist and motorist behavior on roads without bike lanes. You are speaking of comparing motorist behavior in response to a cyclist (you) riding outside of a bike lane (when faster traffic is present) to motorist behevior in response to a cyclist riding inside the bike lane.
Unless the outside lane is so wide that even to the left of the bike lane you are still more than 3 feet to the right of overtaking traffic, whatever you're testing is not vehicular cycling when you're riding there in the presence of faster traffic in between intersections.
Brian Ratliff
04-24-07, 06:54 PM
Unless the outside lane is so wide that even to the left of the bike lane you are still more than 3 feet to the right of overtaking traffic, whatever you're testing is not vehicular cycling when you're riding there in the presence of faster traffic in between intersections.
It's not vehicular to take a lane in traffic?! :eek: You are only allowed to take the lane near an intersection?!
What's not vehicular about it?
I remember one time you listed a rank ordering of traffic facilities. Here was your answer:
1) wide outside lanes
2) narrow outside lanes
3) bike lanes
Now, then. You also claim that bike lanes are actively dangerous for cyclists to use. Since you list narrow outside lanes before bike lanes, and thinking that bike lanes are dangerous in their own right, why aren't you riding a bike laned road as if it were a narrow outside lane road? Pretend the bike lane line is a curb and ride it as such. Don't let those misguided motorists tell you anything different!
What, you use the dangerous bike lane because of social norms?! Because it is what is expected of you?! And now, because you bow down to society's expectations, you pretend that ignoring the bike lane is not vehicular!
JF at least is consistent in saying that bike lanes are not so bad (at least they provide space, right?) that he rides while ignoring the lane line, using the space it provides but not necessarily the lane positional guidance. That's what I do sometimes, especially on ill-concieved bike lanes. But your claim that riding to the left of a bike lane is somehow not vehicular?! It is the ultimate in vehicular cycling! If you truly feel that bike lanes are so dangerous as to actually promote accidents (see your "Bike Lane Death" thread, if it still exists), then it logically follows that you wouldn't use those lanes and put yourself in danger.
If you had read Effective Cycling, you would have read my recommendations about cycling through roundabout.
I don't recall that section, have to go back and read it.
But how would you ride a roundabout with three lanes and sweeping intersections... the one in the attached pic is the Weatherford traffic circle in Fort Worth Texas... Google at http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&hl=en&q=fort+worth+texas&layer=&ie=UTF8&z=18&ll=32.717246,-97.442438&spn=0.003168,0.005037&t=k&om=1
Note that the streets have state highway numbers, but are "surface streets" not highways... the traffic moves at something over the posted 45MPH speed limit on this thing... suitable for biking? (it can be difficult to drive)
I used to ride a bike in that city and frankly did everything I could to avoid that traffic circle. Which usually meant a long way around. There are ways around. But for the record, this is classic auto centric design.
Helmet Head
04-24-07, 07:23 PM
It's not vehicular to take a lane in traffic?! :eek: You are only allowed to take the lane near an intersection?! Brian, your normally rational core is having some kind of meltdown today.
What's not vehicular about it?
What's not vehicular about riding outside of a bike lane between intersections when that puts you closer than 3 feet to passing traffic is it's violating principle #5 of vehicular cycling:
Between intersections, position yourself according to your speed relative to other traffic; slower traffic is nearer the curb and faster traffic is nearer the centerline. [Effective Cycling, p. 246]I'm genuinely surprised. I thought you knew the basics better than that. Your Dad too. Didn't he read Effective Cycling?
I remember one time you listed a rank ordering of traffic facilities. Here was your answer:
1) wide outside lanes
2) narrow outside lanes
3) bike lanes
Amen, brother.
Now, then. You also claim that bike lanes are actively dangerous for cyclists to use. False.
My claim is that they encourage the unitiated to engage in dangerous behavior. That's very different from them always being inherently dangerous to ride in, which I've never claimed, and what you seem to think I did.
Since you list narrow outside lanes before bike lanes, ... Which means I prefer a road striped with a narrow traffic outside lane to a road striped with bike lanes on the outside.
... and thinking that bike lanes are dangerous in their own right, False (explained above).
... why aren't you riding a bike laned road as if it were a narrow outside lane road? Because it's not a narrow outside lane road. Typically, between intersections, there is nothing dangerous about riding in the space nearer the curb, about 3 feet to the right of passing traffic, whether or not that space happens to be demarcated with a bike lane stripe. I prefer to ride further left, because that's even safer, but it's not an option when faster same direction traffic is present for whom I'm required by vehicular cycling principle, law and common decency to yield to, as long as it's not unsafe for me to do so.
Pretend the bike lane line is a curb and ride it as such. Why play such silly games when riding in traffic?
Don't let those misguided motorists tell you anything different! My choice to abide by Principle #5 has nothing to do with what motorists are telling me.
What, you use the dangerous bike lane because of social norms?! Because it is what is expected of you?! And now, because you bow down to society's expectations, you pretend that ignoring the bike lane is not vehicular! Strawman alert.
JF at least is consistent in saying that bike lanes are not so bad (at least they provide space, right?) that he rides while ignoring the lane line, using the space it provides but not necessarily the lane positional guidance. That's what I do sometimes, especially on ill-concieved bike lanes. But your claim that riding to the left of a bike lane is somehow not vehicular?! It is the ultimate in vehicular cycling! If you truly feel that bike lanes are so dangerous as to actually promote accidents (see your "Bike Lane Death" thread, if it still exists), then it logically follows that you wouldn't use those lanes and put yourself in danger. I am astonished that you see some kind of significant distinction between what Mr. Forester says about bike lanes, and what I do.
He's never said, "bike lanes are not so bad" or that they provide space. We both note that the space provides the space, whether the stripe is there or not. And it's not about agreeing, it's simple logic.
Here's something I wrote back in October of 2005:
Can you really not understand that while the anti-lane rhetoric based on VC principles IS about opposing the creation of bike lanes on roads where slow moving vehicles are not prohibited, and that it IS about supporting the removal of bike lanes on roads where slow moving vehicles are not prohibited, it is NOT about avoiding the USE of bike lanes.
Separate from the anti-BL rhetoric above that stems from VC principles, is VC advice about proper vehicular use of bike lanes: ignore the stripe and choose your position as if the stripe were not there.
link (http://www.bikeforums.net/showpost.php?p=1705910&postcount=30)
Why is this so hard to understand that almost two years later you still think I'm saying vehicular cycling means always riding outside of bike lanes? Or that I believe bike lanes "are actively dangerous to use"? Why the strawmen?
John C. Ratliff
04-24-07, 07:24 PM
Genec,
I don't think that really is in the spirit of a roundabout described earlier. It looks more like a circular roadway than an intersection.
John Forester,
I'm glad we agree that there are engineering controls that can work. I was talking about the ones in Bend, Oregon. I haven't seen the Portland ones on a bike (there are some near the Portland Airport, but not usually used by bicyclists).
John
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