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  1. #1
    Senior Member MEversbergII's Avatar
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    Your spring/summer predictions?

    So for most of the US, our winter was rather rough. Maybe the coldest in a while, maybe not, maybe just more snow than the last few.

    So what do you think the spring and summer's going to be like? Extra rainy? Dry? Mild? Super hot?

    M.

  2. #2
    Senior Member no motor?'s Avatar
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    Whatever it is, it's got a great chance of being better than this. Unless all the snow melts at once.

  3. #3
    Senior Member mrodgers's Avatar
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    After hearing that the Farmer's Almanac was predicting a cold and very snowy winter, then experiencing exactly what Farmer's Almanac predicted, I'd bet my money on check the Farmer's Almanac

    Then again, I just looked it up. For my area, "Winter will be milder than normal..." Ha! Never in my life have I seen -32 (temperature, NOT wind chill.) That certainly isn't anywhere close to normal. Of course, that is just the oddball days that it's been extremely cold. Most of the winter so far until mid January has been pretty mild.

    Prior to this winter, our winters have been very unusually warm with hardly any snow. While the south that never gets snow got snow, here in northwestern PA, we had very very little. Normal is several snowstorms of 10 to up to 18 inches of snow at least a few times each winter.

    The summers though other than last summer has been extremely hot. 2010 saw record breaking high temperatures early in the year. That was the year we went to Disneyworld and had record breaking temps down there in early June (miserable with the coldest day at 103!) A coworker went to Myrtle Beach and said never again. Temps well into the 100's there too early.

    2011 I was installing a new pool in the back yard in 95 heat on Labor Day weekend. Normal temps should have been in the 70's.

    2013 on the other hand in the summer, hardly ever used the pool. Normal August weather is mid 90's and extremely humid. Last we used the pool was 4th of July week. After that, we hardly had a day out of the 70's. Humid as always for sure and still miserable any time you did any work outside and moved around, but cool.

    I'm going to say another hot spring with temps evening out and falling below normal as the summer wears on.
    Ride no faster than your Guardian Angel can fly!

  4. #4
    Senior Member
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    Summer. Hot. Sticky. Smelly. Gross. I'm never optimistic about summer. I hate summer. And they're only getting worse.

  5. #5
    Senior Member alan s's Avatar
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    What is the prize for guessing right? A free set of tires? I'll say summer will be hot and humid, as usual. At least I have access to a shower now. Love to be wrong, and have every day 65 degrees in the morning and 80 in the evening with no humidity. Kind of how I imagine California.

  6. #6
    Senior Member rumrunn6's Avatar
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    it's gonna suck, it always sucks, can't remember the last time early April was beautiful
    cycling is like baseball ~ it doesn't take much to make it interesting

  7. #7
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    I predict that I'll take advantage of the warmer days and increased daylight by riding about twice as much as I do now.

  8. #8
    Senior Member Jim from Boston's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rumrunn6 View Post
    it's gonna suck, it always sucks, can't remember the last time early April was beautiful
    Like rumrunn6, I'm in the Boston area; we had an April Fool's Day blizzard several years ago---no joke. Nonetheless I'm hoping to take the studs off the beater mountain bike in early April and bring out the carbon fiber.

    I recently posted to the Metro Boston thread about hibernating the Specialized S-Works:

    Quote Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
    BTW, I am now riding just my beater winter bike even though the roads are nice and dry, because I don't want to expose my beautiful Specialized S-works to any salt. Am I being too fastidious? I even considered buying a cheaper road bike for the winter, but decided to stick with the Cannondale mountain bike.

    Quote Originally Posted by dz_nuzz View Post
    C'mon Jim. Gotta go get that Roubaix dirty, its only a real bike once it sees bad weather.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
    My Roubaix already has had its baptism by riding it once this summer in some drizzle. I spent a couple days cleaning the chain after that using the Sheldon Brown Chain Cleaning System as pictured below. No Ms.

    chainclean01.jpg

  9. #9
    Senior Member irwin7638's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
    Like rumrunn6, I'm in the Boston area; we had an April Fool's Day blizzard several years ago---no joke. Nonetheless I'm hoping to take the studs off the beater mountain bike in early April and bring out the carbon fiber.

    I recently posted to the Metro Boston thread about hibernating the Specialized S-Works:
    Jim, it would not occur to me that you would ever use any other method of cleaning a chain. I assume you have a corner of your lab restricted for that?

    Marc
    Read Simply Cycle

    "I can still do everything I used to, but now I'm mature enough to take a nap without being told." - Me

    "You don't deteriorate from age,you age from deterioration" --Joe Weider

  10. #10
    Senior Member devianb's Avatar
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    I predict lots of rain the spring and a normal summer.

  11. #11
    don't try this at home. rm -rf's Avatar
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    The National Weather Service has 3-month outlook maps for temperature and precipitation.

    From the map explanation page:

    ...three categories are defined from the 30 observations from 1981-2010. The coldest or driest 1/3 (10 years) define the B category, the warmest or wettest 1/3 (10 years) define the A category, and the remaining 10 years in between define the middle (N) category.

    So the brown shading shows an increased probability of temperatures like the warmest 10 years of the past 30 years. The darker brown is a 50% probability of those warmer temperatures.

    White is equal probability of either warmer, average, or colder. There's no blue (below average) predictions for this year!

    Here's the page with all the future months thumbnail maps. It looks like a hotter and drier southwest, a hotter south and east coast, but with normal precipitation.


    2.5 month lead time, 3 month April-May-June temperature outlook:


  12. #12
    coprolite fietsbob's Avatar
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    Spring will return .. followed by summer, then autumn then winter .. again..

    though equatorial regions this may not apply..

    here, drier season starts on around the 5th of July.. Junuary is the previous month..
    Last edited by fietsbob; 02-08-14 at 10:08 PM.

  13. #13
    Stealing Spokes since 82' Fizzaly's Avatar
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    Boise is pretty predicable, we'll get a last minute "winter storm" in the first few weeks of spring followed by a little rain and nice weather. Then first week week of May it'll snow and then warm up to 60f int he same day which marks early summer followed by too many 100f plus days which of course means most of Idaho will be at that point on fire. Fire means smoke and the smoke is just in time for summer inversion which makes it so you can feel the air you breathe. Of course this is all loosely based on my opinions

  14. #14
    vol
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    I predict the first few warm days the streets will be overcrowded with cyclists who want to make up for the lost days

  15. #15
    Member squeakyschwinn's Avatar
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    Supposed to be 87 next week in Phoenix. I'm guessing a long hot summer this year....
    '13 Fuji Roubaix 3.0 LE
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  16. #16
    Senior Member Jim from Boston's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
    I spent a couple days cleaning the chain after that using the Sheldon Brown Chain Cleaning System

    Quote Originally Posted by irwin7638 View Post
    Jim, it would not occur to me that you would ever use any other method of cleaning a chain. I assume you have a corner of your lab restricted for that?
    Hazmat lab, level 4, ready to be flooded with concrete if a spill occurs.

  17. #17
    Seior Member ItsJustMe's Avatar
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    Predicting weather more than about 2 weeks out is a mug's game.
    Work: the 8 hours that separates bike rides.

  18. #18
    Senior Member irwin7638's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
    Hazmat lab, level 4, ready to be flooded with concrete if a spill occurs.


    Marc
    Read Simply Cycle

    "I can still do everything I used to, but now I'm mature enough to take a nap without being told." - Me

    "You don't deteriorate from age,you age from deterioration" --Joe Weider

  19. #19
    Senior Member Bent Bill's Avatar
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    Cold/cooler and wetter than normal till mid June then hot and humid
    Remember... Four boxes keep us free: the soap box, the ballot box, the jury
    box, and the cartridge box.

  20. #20
    I don't get out enough polishmadman's Avatar
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    For my area? No brainer. Hot as Hades and dry. And the spring will be filled with days of 40 to 70 mph gusts.
    12 Schwinn Tourist, 90 something Gary Fisher Marlin (Ss conversion), ?? Bike E RX

  21. #21
    Senior Member locolobo13's Avatar
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    Warmer than now. Other than that.. There's an old saying, if you don't like the weather now, wait 15 min..

  22. #22
    Senior Member
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    A short summer here in the Pacific Northwest...

  23. #23
    Senior Member Ky_Rider's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by wilfried View Post
    Summer. Hot. Sticky. Smelly. Gross. I'm never optimistic about summer. I hate summer. And they're only getting worse.
    Exactly. Summer = yuck. Although it would be nice to get above freezing sometimes.

  24. #24
    Bicycle Repair Man !!! Sixty Fiver's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fizzaly View Post
    Boise is pretty predicable, we'll get a last minute "winter storm" in the first few weeks of spring followed by a little rain and nice weather. Then first week week of May it'll snow and then warm up to 60f int he same day which marks early summer followed by too many 100f plus days which of course means most of Idaho will be at that point on fire. Fire means smoke and the smoke is just in time for summer inversion which makes it so you can feel the air you breathe. Of course this is all loosely based on my opinions
    Idaho is such a nice state... have never gotten as far south as Boy-z but do love the panhandle despite the rednecks.


  25. #25
    Senior Member JReade's Avatar
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    Summer? When does winter come?
    Jesse

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