Cycling and bicycle discussion forums. 
   Click here to join our community Log in to access your Control Panel  


Go Back   > >

Commuting Bicycle commuting is easier than you think, before you know it, you'll be hooked. Learn the tips, hints, equipment, safety requirements for safely riding your bike to work.

User Tag List

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old 02-06-14, 03:21 PM   #1
MEversbergII
Senior Member
Thread Starter
 
MEversbergII's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Lexington Park, Maryland
Bikes: 2012 Schwinn Trailway, Early 70's All Pro, Trek 1200
Posts: 1,047
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Your spring/summer predictions?

So for most of the US, our winter was rather rough. Maybe the coldest in a while, maybe not, maybe just more snow than the last few.

So what do you think the spring and summer's going to be like? Extra rainy? Dry? Mild? Super hot?

M.
MEversbergII is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-06-14, 05:55 PM   #2
no motor?
Senior Member
 
no motor?'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Chicagoland
Bikes: Specialized Hardrock
Posts: 4,859
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 18 Post(s)
Whatever it is, it's got a great chance of being better than this. Unless all the snow melts at once.
no motor? is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-06-14, 06:25 PM   #3
mrodgers
Senior Member
 
mrodgers's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Western PA
Bikes: 2014 Giant Escape 1
Posts: 1,293
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
After hearing that the Farmer's Almanac was predicting a cold and very snowy winter, then experiencing exactly what Farmer's Almanac predicted, I'd bet my money on check the Farmer's Almanac

Then again, I just looked it up. For my area, "Winter will be milder than normal..." Ha! Never in my life have I seen -32 (temperature, NOT wind chill.) That certainly isn't anywhere close to normal. Of course, that is just the oddball days that it's been extremely cold. Most of the winter so far until mid January has been pretty mild.

Prior to this winter, our winters have been very unusually warm with hardly any snow. While the south that never gets snow got snow, here in northwestern PA, we had very very little. Normal is several snowstorms of 10 to up to 18 inches of snow at least a few times each winter.

The summers though other than last summer has been extremely hot. 2010 saw record breaking high temperatures early in the year. That was the year we went to Disneyworld and had record breaking temps down there in early June (miserable with the coldest day at 103!) A coworker went to Myrtle Beach and said never again. Temps well into the 100's there too early.

2011 I was installing a new pool in the back yard in 95 heat on Labor Day weekend. Normal temps should have been in the 70's.

2013 on the other hand in the summer, hardly ever used the pool. Normal August weather is mid 90's and extremely humid. Last we used the pool was 4th of July week. After that, we hardly had a day out of the 70's. Humid as always for sure and still miserable any time you did any work outside and moved around, but cool.

I'm going to say another hot spring with temps evening out and falling below normal as the summer wears on.
mrodgers is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-07-14, 01:50 PM   #4
wilfried
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: The Big City
Bikes: Brompton M3L, Tern Verge P20, Citi Bike
Posts: 444
Mentioned: 1 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4 Post(s)
Summer. Hot. Sticky. Smelly. Gross. I'm never optimistic about summer. I hate summer. And they're only getting worse.
wilfried is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-07-14, 02:02 PM   #5
alan s 
Senior Member
 
alan s's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Washington, DC
Bikes:
Posts: 4,551
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 36 Post(s)
What is the prize for guessing right? A free set of tires? I'll say summer will be hot and humid, as usual. At least I have access to a shower now. Love to be wrong, and have every day 65 degrees in the morning and 80 in the evening with no humidity. Kind of how I imagine California.
alan s is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-07-14, 02:21 PM   #6
rumrunn6
Senior Member
 
rumrunn6's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: 25 miles northwest of Boston
Bikes: Bottecchia Sprint
Posts: 14,009
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 56 Post(s)
it's gonna suck, it always sucks, can't remember the last time early April was beautiful
rumrunn6 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-07-14, 02:22 PM   #7
jeffpoulin
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Bikes:
Posts: 2,175
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2 Post(s)
I predict that I'll take advantage of the warmer days and increased daylight by riding about twice as much as I do now.
jeffpoulin is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-07-14, 05:05 PM   #8
Jim from Boston
Senior Member
 
Jim from Boston's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Bikes:
Posts: 4,708
Mentioned: 2 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 17 Post(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by rumrunn6 View Post
it's gonna suck, it always sucks, can't remember the last time early April was beautiful
Like rumrunn6, I'm in the Boston area; we had an April Fool's Day blizzard several years ago---no joke. Nonetheless I'm hoping to take the studs off the beater mountain bike in early April and bring out the carbon fiber.

I recently posted to the Metro Boston thread about hibernating the Specialized S-Works:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
BTW, I am now riding just my beater winter bike even though the roads are nice and dry, because I don't want to expose my beautiful Specialized S-works to any salt. Am I being too fastidious? I even considered buying a cheaper road bike for the winter, but decided to stick with the Cannondale mountain bike.

Quote:
Originally Posted by dz_nuzz View Post
C'mon Jim. Gotta go get that Roubaix dirty, its only a real bike once it sees bad weather.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
My Roubaix already has had its baptism by riding it once this summer in some drizzle. I spent a couple days cleaning the chain after that using the Sheldon Brown Chain Cleaning System as pictured below. No Ms.

Attached Images
File Type: jpg chainclean01.jpg (41.0 KB, 2 views)
Jim from Boston is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-14, 07:30 AM   #9
irwin7638
Senior Member
 
irwin7638's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Kalamazoo, Mi.
Bikes: Byron,Sam, The Hunq and that Old Guy
Posts: 2,849
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 3 Post(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
Like rumrunn6, I'm in the Boston area; we had an April Fool's Day blizzard several years ago---no joke. Nonetheless I'm hoping to take the studs off the beater mountain bike in early April and bring out the carbon fiber.

I recently posted to the Metro Boston thread about hibernating the Specialized S-Works:
Jim, it would not occur to me that you would ever use any other method of cleaning a chain. I assume you have a corner of your lab restricted for that?

Marc
irwin7638 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-14, 08:26 PM   #10
devianb
Senior Member
 
devianb's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Central Illinois
Bikes: 2008 Dawes Haymaker 20XX Leader LD515
Posts: 696
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
I predict lots of rain the spring and a normal summer.
devianb is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-14, 09:24 PM   #11
rm -rf
don't try this at home.
 
rm -rf's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: N. KY
Bikes:
Posts: 3,617
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 27 Post(s)
The National Weather Service has 3-month outlook maps for temperature and precipitation.

From the map explanation page:
...three categories are defined from the 30 observations from 1981-2010. The coldest or driest 1/3 (10 years) define the B category, the warmest or wettest 1/3 (10 years) define the A category, and the remaining 10 years in between define the middle (N) category.
So the brown shading shows an increased probability of temperatures like the warmest 10 years of the past 30 years. The darker brown is a 50% probability of those warmer temperatures.

White is equal probability of either warmer, average, or colder. There's no blue (below average) predictions for this year!

Here's the page with all the future months thumbnail maps. It looks like a hotter and drier southwest, a hotter south and east coast, but with normal precipitation.


2.5 month lead time, 3 month April-May-June temperature outlook:

rm -rf is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-14, 11:05 PM   #12
fietsbob 
coprolite
 
fietsbob's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: NW,Oregon Coast
Bikes: 7
Posts: 18,737
Mentioned: 2 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 203 Post(s)
Spring will return .. followed by summer, then autumn then winter .. again..

though equatorial regions this may not apply..

here, drier season starts on around the 5th of July.. Junuary is the previous month..

Last edited by fietsbob; 02-08-14 at 11:08 PM.
fietsbob is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-14, 11:34 PM   #13
Fizzaly
Stealing Spokes since 82'
 
Fizzaly's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Boy-z, Ideeeho
Bikes: The always reliable kuwie
Posts: 1,875
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Boise is pretty predicable, we'll get a last minute "winter storm" in the first few weeks of spring followed by a little rain and nice weather. Then first week week of May it'll snow and then warm up to 60f int he same day which marks early summer followed by too many 100f plus days which of course means most of Idaho will be at that point on fire. Fire means smoke and the smoke is just in time for summer inversion which makes it so you can feel the air you breathe. Of course this is all loosely based on my opinions
Fizzaly is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-14, 11:51 PM   #14
vol
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: east coast
Bikes:
Posts: 3,270
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1 Post(s)
I predict the first few warm days the streets will be overcrowded with cyclists who want to make up for the lost days
vol is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-09-14, 12:21 AM   #15
squeakyschwinn
Member
 
squeakyschwinn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Arizona State
Bikes: 1983 Schwinn Traveler; 2013 Fuji Roubaix 3.0 LE
Posts: 36
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Supposed to be 87 next week in Phoenix. I'm guessing a long hot summer this year....
squeakyschwinn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-09-14, 05:55 AM   #16
Jim from Boston
Senior Member
 
Jim from Boston's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Bikes:
Posts: 4,708
Mentioned: 2 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 17 Post(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
I spent a couple days cleaning the chain after that using the Sheldon Brown Chain Cleaning System

Quote:
Originally Posted by irwin7638 View Post
Jim, it would not occur to me that you would ever use any other method of cleaning a chain. I assume you have a corner of your lab restricted for that?
Hazmat lab, level 4, ready to be flooded with concrete if a spill occurs.
Jim from Boston is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-09-14, 07:39 AM   #17
ItsJustMe
Seior Member
 
ItsJustMe's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Michigan
Bikes: Windsor Fens, Giant Seek 0 (2014, Alfine 8 + discs)
Posts: 12,975
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 13 Post(s)
Predicting weather more than about 2 weeks out is a mug's game.
__________________
Work: the 8 hours that separates bike rides.
ItsJustMe is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-09-14, 12:09 PM   #18
irwin7638
Senior Member
 
irwin7638's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Kalamazoo, Mi.
Bikes: Byron,Sam, The Hunq and that Old Guy
Posts: 2,849
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 3 Post(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim from Boston View Post
Hazmat lab, level 4, ready to be flooded with concrete if a spill occurs.


Marc
irwin7638 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-09-14, 12:42 PM   #19
Bent Bill
Senior Member
 
Bent Bill's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Lake County IL
Bikes: Trek Domane 5.2 Giant Frankenbike Trek Utopia Canondale 3.0 Sun Easy Racer Tadpole Schwinn Tandem Cheap Unicycle
Posts: 297
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Cold/cooler and wetter than normal till mid June then hot and humid
Bent Bill is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-10-14, 07:28 AM   #20
polishmadman
I don't get out enough
 
polishmadman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: las vegas
Bikes: Gary Fisher Marlin, Bike E rx, Diamondback Centurion Expert TG, early 80's steel bike
Posts: 268
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
For my area? No brainer. Hot as Hades and dry. And the spring will be filled with days of 40 to 70 mph gusts.
polishmadman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-10-14, 07:31 AM   #21
locolobo13 
Senior Member
 
locolobo13's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Phx, AZ
Bikes: Trek Mtn Bike
Posts: 1,089
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 10 Post(s)
Warmer than now. Other than that.. There's an old saying, if you don't like the weather now, wait 15 min..
locolobo13 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-10-14, 06:58 PM   #22
Solid_Spoke
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Bikes: Bicycle!
Posts: 97
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
A short summer here in the Pacific Northwest...
Solid_Spoke is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-11-14, 06:51 AM   #23
Ky_Rider
Senior Member
 
Ky_Rider's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Kentucky
Bikes: Trucker, Kona Mtb, and Fairdale SS
Posts: 159
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by wilfried View Post
Summer. Hot. Sticky. Smelly. Gross. I'm never optimistic about summer. I hate summer. And they're only getting worse.
Exactly. Summer = yuck. Although it would be nice to get above freezing sometimes.
Ky_Rider is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-11-14, 06:58 AM   #24
Sixty Fiver
Bicycle Repair Man !!!
 
Sixty Fiver's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: YEG
Bikes: See my sig...
Posts: 27,255
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1 Post(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fizzaly View Post
Boise is pretty predicable, we'll get a last minute "winter storm" in the first few weeks of spring followed by a little rain and nice weather. Then first week week of May it'll snow and then warm up to 60f int he same day which marks early summer followed by too many 100f plus days which of course means most of Idaho will be at that point on fire. Fire means smoke and the smoke is just in time for summer inversion which makes it so you can feel the air you breathe. Of course this is all loosely based on my opinions
Idaho is such a nice state... have never gotten as far south as Boy-z but do love the panhandle despite the rednecks.

Sixty Fiver is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-11-14, 07:58 AM   #25
JReade
Senior Member
 
JReade's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Tampa, FL
Bikes:
Posts: 1,376
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2 Post(s)
Summer? When does winter come?
JReade is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:52 PM.