Advertise on Bikeforums.net



User Tag List

Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 25 of 73

Thread: mega millions

  1. #1
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Location
    Nanaimo.B.C. The We't coast of Canada
    Posts
    1,287
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)

    mega millions

    So if you win the jackpot tonight will you buy a new bike for all of us or will you just disapear into the mists of time and forget about your Foo friends.

  2. #2
    Senior Member bikebuddha's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Somewhere in time
    Posts
    1,109
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    1 Thread(s)
    You wouldn't just be rich, you'd me Mitt Romney rich!
    The few, the proud, the likely insane, Metro-Atlanta bicycle commuters.

  3. #3
    Administrator CbadRider's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2008
    Location
    On the bridge with Picard
    My Bikes
    Specialized Allez, Specialized Sirrus
    Posts
    5,756
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    There is a debate going on as to whether you should buy a Quick Pick ticket or choose your own numbers. Supposedly choosing your own numbers has better odds. I don't know how, though.

    I would not disappear. I would quit my job and be on here ALL THE TIME!! You'd never get rid of me!
    Quote Originally Posted by toddles View Post
    So Tom only hires people that are nutty? Is part of the requirement to be a moderator on this site is that you have to be nuts??
    Forum Guidelines *click here*

  4. #4
    Senior Member bikebuddha's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Somewhere in time
    Posts
    1,109
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    1 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by CbadRider View Post
    I would not disappear. I would quit my job and be on here ALL THE TIME!! You'd never get rid of me!
    Yep. And everyone would have to deal with constant pics of my new brompton.
    The few, the proud, the likely insane, Metro-Atlanta bicycle commuters.

  5. #5
    Curmudgeon in Training 20grit's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2009
    Location
    Rural Retreat, VA
    My Bikes
    1974 Gazelle Champion Mondial, 2010 Cannondale Trail SL, 1988 Peugeot Nice, 1992ish Stumpjumper Comp,1990's Schwinn Moab
    Posts
    1,936
    Mentioned
    4 Post(s)
    Tagged
    1 Thread(s)
    If I win, I might buy a bike or two.

  6. #6
    Administrator Allen's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Atomic batteries to power; turbines to speed
    My Bikes
    Salsa La Raza, Panasonic Electric, Bria, Bamboo touring, Bamboo cargo
    Posts
    4,707
    Mentioned
    3 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    I would stay where I am now. Although my house may resemble Wayne mannor after the remodel.
    I wonder how long it will take to dig the cave.

  7. #7
    Fat Guy Rolling dcrowell's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Location
    Louisville Kentucky
    My Bikes
    Bacchetta Agio, 80s Raleigh Record single-speed, Surly Big Dummy
    Posts
    2,439
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    I have a lower than normal chance of winning, since I don't intend to buy a ticket. It is a small difference though.
    Car-Free IT Geek
    My blog: fatguy.org

    Bikes: Surly Big Dummy, 1980s Raleigh Record single-speed conversion, Bacchetta Agio

  8. #8
    Senior Member bikebuddha's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Somewhere in time
    Posts
    1,109
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    1 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by dcrowell View Post
    I have a lower than normal chance of winning, since I don't intend to buy a ticket. It is a small difference though.
    That's why I will only spend $1. The odds are so long $1 is as good as $100.
    The few, the proud, the likely insane, Metro-Atlanta bicycle commuters.

  9. #9
    Senior Member Flying Merkel's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Location
    Costa Mesa CA
    Posts
    2,535
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Foo who?


    Buying only one ticket gives you the best odds, 50-50. You either win or lose.

  10. #10
    Sore saddle cyclist Shifty's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    Eugene, OR
    My Bikes
    Road, touring and mountain
    Posts
    3,760
    Mentioned
    1 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by overthehillmedi View Post
    So if you win the jackpot tonight will you buy a new bike for all of us or will you just disapear into the mists of time and forget about your Foo friends.
    I'd buy everyone here a new bike, but I'll never disappear, can't get rid of Shifty that easy!

    Your new bike
    Those voices in your head aren't real, but they have some great ideas

  11. #11
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Posts
    768
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by dcrowell View Post
    I have a lower than normal chance of winning, since I don't intend to buy a ticket. It is a small difference though.
    Actually, it is an infinite difference. Odds of winning without a ticket = 0. Go ahead and try to calculate the % increase in your odds if you buy one ticket. I'll wait.

    And picking your own numbers = exactly same odds as quick pick. How anyone could think different = statistics fail.

  12. #12
    Administrator CbadRider's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2008
    Location
    On the bridge with Picard
    My Bikes
    Specialized Allez, Specialized Sirrus
    Posts
    5,756
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by bikebuddha View Post
    Yep. And everyone would have to deal with constant pics of my new brompton.
    I would buy bikes with frame colors that matched the wine in my new wine cellar.

    Quote Originally Posted by billyymc View Post
    Actually, it is an infinite difference. Odds of winning without a ticket = 0. Go ahead and try to calculate the % increase in your odds if you buy one ticket. I'll wait.

    And picking your own numbers = exactly same odds as quick pick. How anyone could think different = statistics fail.

    I don't get it, either. Supposedly the random number generator for the Quick Picks isn't quite as random as using the birthdates of everyone in your family.
    Quote Originally Posted by toddles View Post
    So Tom only hires people that are nutty? Is part of the requirement to be a moderator on this site is that you have to be nuts??
    Forum Guidelines *click here*

  13. #13
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Posts
    768
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by CbadRider View Post
    I don't get it, either. Supposedly the random number generator for the Quick Picks isn't quite as random as using the birthdates of everyone in your family.
    It doesn't matter if the numbers you play are chosen at random or not...completley irrelevant. That's assuming that when the drawing is done with the ping pong balls or whatever they use, that those number are randomly selected. If so, any set of six number played, whether selected at random or not, have the same odds of coming up in the drawing as any other six numbers.

    The combination 1 2 3 4 5 6 (not necessarily in that order) has the same odds as the combination 1, 6, 23, 45, 17, 11 (again, in any order).

  14. #14
    2 Fat 2 Furious contango's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    England
    My Bikes
    2009 Specialized Rockhopper Comp Disc, 2009 Specialized Tricross Sport
    Posts
    3,989
    Mentioned
    1 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by overthehillmedi View Post
    So if you win the jackpot tonight will you buy a new bike for all of us or will you just disapear into the mists of time and forget about your Foo friends.
    I'd certainly by myself a new bike, probably buy my wife a new bike too.

    It's unlikely that I'll win, given I don't live in the same country and didn't enter it.
    "For a list of ways technology has failed to improve quality of life, press three"

  15. #15
    on by skijor's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Wisconsin
    My Bikes
    Waterford RS-33, Salsa Vaya, Bacchetta Giro 20 ATT
    Posts
    883
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    I'm still a lottery virgin. Haven't bought so much as a scratch-off, in any state. All I need is this ashtray...and this paddle game.

  16. #16
    Fat Guy Rolling dcrowell's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Location
    Louisville Kentucky
    My Bikes
    Bacchetta Agio, 80s Raleigh Record single-speed, Surly Big Dummy
    Posts
    2,439
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by billyymc View Post
    Actually, it is an infinite difference. Odds of winning without a ticket = 0. Go ahead and try to calculate the % increase in your odds if you buy one ticket. I'll wait.
    Odds without a ticket:
    0.00000000000000000000

    Odds with a ticket:
    0.00000000569114597006

    Small enough difference to be within the margin of error.
    Car-Free IT Geek
    My blog: fatguy.org

    Bikes: Surly Big Dummy, 1980s Raleigh Record single-speed conversion, Bacchetta Agio

  17. #17
    on by skijor's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Wisconsin
    My Bikes
    Waterford RS-33, Salsa Vaya, Bacchetta Giro 20 ATT
    Posts
    883
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Isn't it something like having a greater chance of getting hit by lightning six times before winning?

  18. #18
    Crispy Member ahsposo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    Open the Bag and Eat Me.
    My Bikes
    A Home Built All Rounder, Bianchi 928, Specialized Langster, Dahon Folder
    Posts
    6,380
    Mentioned
    11 Post(s)
    Tagged
    1 Thread(s)
    I don't know those people.
    Quote Originally Posted by toddles View Post
    If I gotta look up words, it's not worth my time.

  19. #19
    Papaya King waynesworld's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Location
    Columbus, Ohio (Grandview area)
    My Bikes
    2009 Felt X City D, 1985 (?) Trek 400, 1995 (?) Specialized Rockhopper, 1995 Trek 850
    Posts
    1,640
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    I might buy a bike or two also.
    Quote Originally Posted by rumrunn6 View Post
    walk right in and punch the first guy you meet in the head
    2011 BMC SR02, 2010 Kona Jake, 2009 Felt X City D, 1984 (?) Trek 400, 1995 Trek 850

  20. #20
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Posts
    768
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by dcrowell View Post
    Odds without a ticket:
    0.00000000000000000000

    Odds with a ticket:
    0.00000000569114597006

    Small enough difference to be within the margin of error.
    One is absolute, the other is not. The % delta from zero odds, to some odds (no matter how small) is incalculable. The numerical odds are extremely low, obviously. BUT...someone will win...maybe not tonight, but soon. Would be crazy to see a jackpot over $1B which would probably happen if nobody wins tonight.

    Several years ago there was a group of foreign "investors" who, when the jackpots would get high enough, try to buy millions of tickets and cover as many number combinations as possible. I don't know if they ever won enough to have a real payout -- I suspect they went bust.

  21. #21
    Senior Member BR46's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Location
    Sheboygan Falls WI.
    My Bikes
    Trek , Fisher
    Posts
    233
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by overthehillmedi View Post
    So if you win the jackpot tonight will you buy a new bike for all of us or will you just disappear into the mists of time and forget about your Foo friends.
    It will be free beer at my house and than I'll just disappear for a short time because everyone will want to be my new friend.
    Than when all is clear I'll be back.

  22. #22
    Administrator Allen's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Atomic batteries to power; turbines to speed
    My Bikes
    Salsa La Raza, Panasonic Electric, Bria, Bamboo touring, Bamboo cargo
    Posts
    4,707
    Mentioned
    3 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    It's up to $640,000,000.00 now.

  23. #23
    Cool Beans MangoPumpkin's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Location
    Lancaster County, PA
    My Bikes
    Raleigh Cadent
    Posts
    165
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    They said on the news that if you wanted to buy a ticket for every number combination possible...you would have to buy 50 tickets a week for 68,000 years....better get to buying.
    I've got your restraining order right here. [grabs crotch] Restrain this!

  24. #24
    Chepooka StupidlyBrave's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    South Central PA
    My Bikes
    1990 Trek 1400 7spd; 2001 Litespeed Arenberg 10 speed
    Posts
    1,157
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by MangoPumpkin View Post
    They said on the news that if you wanted to buy a ticket for every number combination possible...you would have to buy 50 tickets a week for 68,000 years....better get to buying.
    Hmm. The Brute Force approach. I like your thinking.

  25. #25
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Location
    Nanaimo.B.C. The We't coast of Canada
    Posts
    1,287
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Well my chances of winning all that money is zero as I don't have a ticket on that draw but I do have one or two on our lottery for tonight and tomorrow. If I win, unlike most of you, I get ALL the money and the taxman gets squat. Lottery winnings in Canada are tax free.

Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •