The Economics of Bicycling
#51
Senior Member
That cuts both ways. While cars are slightly faster, averaging just over 24 mph over their lifetimes vs the 15-18 mph that a reasonably fit human on a bike will average, they dramatically shorten lifetimes in two ways. First of all, the concentration of carcinogens is 4-7 times higher inside a car than along the roadside. Also, while the estimates vary, for each hour of exercise the human lifespan increases by from thirty to ninety minutes. Therefore, time spent getting around by bike is approximately free time, while time spent driving costs time over the long run.
#52
Senior Member
Correct, "estimates" vary all over the place to the extant that grabbing a favorable (to one's agenda) set of flaky "health cost projections" to make predictions about human lifespan, individual or population, solely based on "x" amount of time bicycling is an exercise in projecting wishful thinking.
The OP's article uses similar "health cost projections" to come up with some of his economic savings.
The OP's article uses similar "health cost projections" to come up with some of his economic savings.
#53
Senior Member
Complex math aside, it's cheaper and more efficient on a per-mile basis to to operate a 30 pound machine rather than a 2,000 pound machine. The savings result mainly from higher variable costs with the car such as gas, oil, maintenance and repairs. Although generally considered a fixed cost, insurance costs can also be reduced in places where low-mileage discounts are available.
Larger cost savings are realized when car ownership is eliminated, which also eliminates fixed costs such as insurance and registration.
It's ironic that the carfree forum is the only place on the internet where people seriously propose that it's cheaper to operate a 2000 pound vehicle than a 30 pound vehicle. Not even AAA is trying to sell that pile of beans!
Larger cost savings are realized when car ownership is eliminated, which also eliminates fixed costs such as insurance and registration.
It's ironic that the carfree forum is the only place on the internet where people seriously propose that it's cheaper to operate a 2000 pound vehicle than a 30 pound vehicle. Not even AAA is trying to sell that pile of beans!
My point is not that bicycles don't save money as compared to cars. My point is that it's not a savings of $.56/ car mile eliminated.
#54
Senior Member
Yeah, but when I'm driving, I can surf the internet on my Ipad -- can't do that on a bike, as far as I know.
#55
Prefers Cicero
#56
Senior Member
What is your point in this thread? Are you just arguing that the writer's assumptions are off a little and the conclusions may be somewhat exaggerated? Or are you arguing that they're completely incorrect and there is no savings to riding a bike?
I know in my case I save close to $2000/yr in fuel alone, probably another $1000 in tires and maybe another 500 to 1000 in maintenance. Could I drive a less expensive car? Sure, but the point is riding a bike is still considerably less expensive than driving, and more importantly (for me) it's good for fitness and my health. At 55 and riding 10+ hrs/wk I'm healthier now than I was in my 30s and 40s.
i think you just like to argue
I know in my case I save close to $2000/yr in fuel alone, probably another $1000 in tires and maybe another 500 to 1000 in maintenance. Could I drive a less expensive car? Sure, but the point is riding a bike is still considerably less expensive than driving, and more importantly (for me) it's good for fitness and my health. At 55 and riding 10+ hrs/wk I'm healthier now than I was in my 30s and 40s.
i think you just like to argue
Ok, lets say $3.00 per gallon (I paid $1.75 today) and 15 mpg. That's 10,000 miles eliminated. If you ride 520 hours per year, that's more than 19 mph. That's smoking fast.
Unless you're saying that a mile on a bike saves more than a mile in a car. If that's the claim, I don't understand how it works.
I am not saying that riding a bike isn't good for you and I'm not saying that riding a bike as a car replacement doesn't save you some money. What I am saying is that I don't understand the math that gets you from 520 hours/year on the bike to saving $3500 to $4000 per year in transportation expenses.
"Sure, but the point is riding a bike is still considerably less expensive than driving"
Ok, how much less expensive is "considerably?" How many car miles at $ .56/per mile (or whatever you think it should be) do you eliminate by riding your bike 8,000 miles per year at 19 mph and how much does it cost you to ride your bike 8,000 miles per year and how does that affect the cost per mile or your driving? The last question is because if you drive 48,000 before you buy a bike and it's $ 56/per mile, when you eliminate 24,000 miles by riding your bike 8,000 miles, how much does the remaining 24,000 car miles cost per distance unit?
#57
Prefers Cicero
Getting back to the blogger, who really really sucks at math as well as economics, the easiest saving to calculate is in gas cost, which they correctly calculated at about $74/month or $887/year. Any additional costs like savings on tires or general car wear and tear are hard to calculate, and I don't know if they got reductions in car insurance and other fees, but all together it's not going to add up to anywhere near 56 cents per mile not driven, which, by the way, they wrongly calculated by multiplying 0.56 by miles driven (375 X 0.56 = 210) instead of by miles not driven.
Assuming they still use the car for stuff that's too far or heavy to do by bike, it doesn't really matter how far they bike or what their estimated per mile bike cost is. All that is useful for economic analysis is the actual bike capital and maintenance costs
Their cargo bike might have cost $4000. It's hard to justify that as an economic benefit based on gas savings - at that rate it would take 5 years to pay it off, so it's only justifiable based on whatever other value it delivers.
Their time is hard to cost. It might have taken them a bit longer to do some stuff by bike than if they used the car, unless they live in a traffic congested area where the bike can sometimes be faster. However even if the bike is slower, that extra time spent on the bike is an investment in their fitness, so it might have been spent in exercising anyway, plus they may be saving on gym fees, and it might be less stressful than driving. In fact it might be downright enjoyable. It may pay off in improved health and reduced medical bills down the line.
My guess is they are probably coming out well ahead based on a holistic analysis of finance and quality of life, but it is just a guess. They just don't give enough information for a proper analysis.
Assuming they still use the car for stuff that's too far or heavy to do by bike, it doesn't really matter how far they bike or what their estimated per mile bike cost is. All that is useful for economic analysis is the actual bike capital and maintenance costs
Their cargo bike might have cost $4000. It's hard to justify that as an economic benefit based on gas savings - at that rate it would take 5 years to pay it off, so it's only justifiable based on whatever other value it delivers.
Their time is hard to cost. It might have taken them a bit longer to do some stuff by bike than if they used the car, unless they live in a traffic congested area where the bike can sometimes be faster. However even if the bike is slower, that extra time spent on the bike is an investment in their fitness, so it might have been spent in exercising anyway, plus they may be saving on gym fees, and it might be less stressful than driving. In fact it might be downright enjoyable. It may pay off in improved health and reduced medical bills down the line.
My guess is they are probably coming out well ahead based on a holistic analysis of finance and quality of life, but it is just a guess. They just don't give enough information for a proper analysis.
Last edited by cooker; 03-31-15 at 06:47 PM.
#58
Senior Member
The last time I read a book while riding a bicycle I was ten and coming home from the library. I ran into the back of a parked car while riding no hands. Fortunately, I was on a 24" Schwinn and the car's owner didn't sue me for the damage I caused even at a low speed. I still ride no hands from time to time, but not while reading a book.
#59
Senior Member
If you had a 10 mile (round trip) commute to work, and started doing it by bicycle, you would see a reduction in driving of 50 miles a week. Assuming you own a car that gets 25 mpg, that's a savings of 2 gallons a week. At current gas prices, that's about six dollars a week or 300 dollars a year. Not large, but significant in most family budgets.
Most people would save more on other variable costs like repairs, wear and tear, and so forth. These are difficult to calculate.
Some people would save considerably more because they have commuting costs like higher insurance, parking fees, tolls, and other costs associated with driving to work.
Savings vary a lot, but your contention that they are insignificant remains laughable.
These are savings associated with a short work commute only. As you and everybody else knows, the savings from actually eliminating a car would be much greater.
Most people would save more on other variable costs like repairs, wear and tear, and so forth. These are difficult to calculate.
Some people would save considerably more because they have commuting costs like higher insurance, parking fees, tolls, and other costs associated with driving to work.
Savings vary a lot, but your contention that they are insignificant remains laughable.
These are savings associated with a short work commute only. As you and everybody else knows, the savings from actually eliminating a car would be much greater.
Again, I'm not saying you can't save money by riding a bike. What I am saying is that you are calculating the bike's cost at zero and bicycles, and their maintenance, are not free.
#60
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What is the meaning of that question?
The value of time is emense. Time is one of the few essential resources that money won't buy. Sorry but you've got around a hundred years even if you're in the top couple percent in your lifetime.
In recognition of how valuable time is, I don't want to waste it! The time I waste can never be recovered. For me personally I'm wasting time when I drive a car. Pure waste. I'm sitting there in the stereotypical metal cage (there's a reason for the stereotype of course). It's like a mental void. I'm just listening to music and waiting for that old slow fart to get out of my way. I'm living for the destination. The time spent traveling is a waste. I'm insulated from the world.
But it's worse than that. I'm not just wasting my time by using it up on the front-end with relatively empty experiences, I'm also using it up on the back-end by shortening my life as my legs melt into a jello-like substance on the car seat.
On my bicycle I'm making the most of my time. There might be at least one experience that's a better use of my time, but I need to get around and shop and go to work, etc. Doing that on my bicycle is a rich experience for me. I feel much more in contact and engaged in the world. Every day is both different enough to keep me feeling alive with new experiences, and also familiar enough for me to draw on known solutions for most of the challenges. For example if it's 25F outside, I draw on my experience and know how to stay comfortable at that temperature. Then when I'm out there I feel energized. The world passes by more slowly than in the car. I like that. I can wave hello to a lonely soul on the street and meet their gaze before vanishing in the dust.
Instead of thinking of time purely in terms of its passage, think about how much quality time you can have in your life. The potential is equal to your lifetime at least in theory. Considered in those terms, the time that elapses while driving subtracts time both from my immediate future, and also from my potential lifetime. Bicycling rather, not only maximizes the quality of my immediate future, it extends my potential lifetime. So the car is a double-wammy subtraction from my lifetime, while the bicycle is a double-wammy addition to it.
The value of time is emense. Time is one of the few essential resources that money won't buy. Sorry but you've got around a hundred years even if you're in the top couple percent in your lifetime.
In recognition of how valuable time is, I don't want to waste it! The time I waste can never be recovered. For me personally I'm wasting time when I drive a car. Pure waste. I'm sitting there in the stereotypical metal cage (there's a reason for the stereotype of course). It's like a mental void. I'm just listening to music and waiting for that old slow fart to get out of my way. I'm living for the destination. The time spent traveling is a waste. I'm insulated from the world.
But it's worse than that. I'm not just wasting my time by using it up on the front-end with relatively empty experiences, I'm also using it up on the back-end by shortening my life as my legs melt into a jello-like substance on the car seat.
On my bicycle I'm making the most of my time. There might be at least one experience that's a better use of my time, but I need to get around and shop and go to work, etc. Doing that on my bicycle is a rich experience for me. I feel much more in contact and engaged in the world. Every day is both different enough to keep me feeling alive with new experiences, and also familiar enough for me to draw on known solutions for most of the challenges. For example if it's 25F outside, I draw on my experience and know how to stay comfortable at that temperature. Then when I'm out there I feel energized. The world passes by more slowly than in the car. I like that. I can wave hello to a lonely soul on the street and meet their gaze before vanishing in the dust.
Instead of thinking of time purely in terms of its passage, think about how much quality time you can have in your life. The potential is equal to your lifetime at least in theory. Considered in those terms, the time that elapses while driving subtracts time both from my immediate future, and also from my potential lifetime. Bicycling rather, not only maximizes the quality of my immediate future, it extends my potential lifetime. So the car is a double-wammy subtraction from my lifetime, while the bicycle is a double-wammy addition to it.
#61
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Giving up driving completely typically involves an interim period of living car light because people are used to having a car at their disposal so they don't typically sell the car the day they start bike commuting.
Also, switching from shopping by car to shopping by bike has an effect somewhat comparable to those weight-loss surgeries where your stomach volume is reduced so you feel more full with smaller meals. I find that I shop much more efficiently now than I used to. I used to take a large bike trailer maybe once a month to do grocery shopping. Now I just stop by a couple times a week and carry what fits in the basket and I might end up carrying a couple hand-held bags on the handlebars.
Things like rice and pasta store well and are light because they're dehydrated. Dried beans are also not that big a hassle to soak and cook once you get the hang of it. These are not only the most easily transportable but also some of the most affordable grocery foods. If they are lighter to carry and last longer dry and without refrigeration, that translates into lower supply-side costs as well as making them good bike-carry groceries. Efficiency is efficiency. It produces savings at all levels from the business side to the saving of effort carrying them home. The only thing that costs more effort is preparation but, like I said, once you get the hang of it it's a breeze.
Why did you put this in small font? It is these collective cost of driving that get ignored because individuals focus on their direct household costs and assume someone else pays all these other costs, like rich taxpayers (who pass the costs on to consumers to maintain business revenues and investment income).
Comparing bikes with cars on a per mile basis is a logical trap. Obviously cars are more efficient per mile travelled. The problem is that once you're driving everywhere, the number of miles travelled per unit meaningful accomplishment goes up. Once you are living car free, the total number of miles you travel falls well below what many people drive but you find that you've put together a lifestyle where your needs are met and you're happy, all with less miles travelled.
And, especially if you can fix your own bike (and get the necessary parts, which can be difficult if you can't secure good parts suppliers), then your costs go way down. I spent about four hours the last two days rebuilding a bottom bracket twice because it broke again after I fixed it the first time. That was a nightmare in terms of bike repairs but I still got way less stressed and wasted less money than when I have dealt with similar nightmares while trying to fix a car.
Plus, typically if you have only one car, which I assume most people do, you can't drive it to go get the parts you need to fix it AND if you're riding a bike to go get the parts, they are sometimes to heavy and clumsy to carry effectively by bike, though I have done that in the past. A bike is like the lightsaber of vehicles, in the elegance and simplicity of maintaining it yourself mechanically as well as the riding of it. https://youtu.be/0aRtupiY9Dw
Also, switching from shopping by car to shopping by bike has an effect somewhat comparable to those weight-loss surgeries where your stomach volume is reduced so you feel more full with smaller meals. I find that I shop much more efficiently now than I used to. I used to take a large bike trailer maybe once a month to do grocery shopping. Now I just stop by a couple times a week and carry what fits in the basket and I might end up carrying a couple hand-held bags on the handlebars.
Things like rice and pasta store well and are light because they're dehydrated. Dried beans are also not that big a hassle to soak and cook once you get the hang of it. These are not only the most easily transportable but also some of the most affordable grocery foods. If they are lighter to carry and last longer dry and without refrigeration, that translates into lower supply-side costs as well as making them good bike-carry groceries. Efficiency is efficiency. It produces savings at all levels from the business side to the saving of effort carrying them home. The only thing that costs more effort is preparation but, like I said, once you get the hang of it it's a breeze.
Why did you put this in small font? It is these collective cost of driving that get ignored because individuals focus on their direct household costs and assume someone else pays all these other costs, like rich taxpayers (who pass the costs on to consumers to maintain business revenues and investment income).
And, especially if you can fix your own bike (and get the necessary parts, which can be difficult if you can't secure good parts suppliers), then your costs go way down. I spent about four hours the last two days rebuilding a bottom bracket twice because it broke again after I fixed it the first time. That was a nightmare in terms of bike repairs but I still got way less stressed and wasted less money than when I have dealt with similar nightmares while trying to fix a car.
Plus, typically if you have only one car, which I assume most people do, you can't drive it to go get the parts you need to fix it AND if you're riding a bike to go get the parts, they are sometimes to heavy and clumsy to carry effectively by bike, though I have done that in the past. A bike is like the lightsaber of vehicles, in the elegance and simplicity of maintaining it yourself mechanically as well as the riding of it. https://youtu.be/0aRtupiY9Dw
Last edited by tandempower; 03-31-15 at 07:22 PM.
#62
Prefers Cicero
The last time I read a book while riding a bicycle I was ten and coming home from the library. I ran into the back of a parked car while riding no hands. Fortunately, I was on a 24" Schwinn and the car's owner didn't sue me for the damage I caused even at a low speed. I still ride no hands from time to time, but not while reading a book.
#63
Senior Member
"tasks" are not the same as mileage. As we all experience, (and echoing Walter S above) when you drive you're likely to add in extraneous miles - circling the block looking for a parking spot - driving even as much as a few extra miles to a farther store because it has a parking lot, going back a forth several times for small items instead of planning ahead and getting everything at once, going comparison shopping for deals that are probably negated by your extra gas costs. So typically you accomplish the same tasks with a lot fewer miles, with a bike compared to a car.
I'm not saying you can't save money by riding a bike and I'm not saying that those costs can't be significant. I am saying that I don't believe that the average person will eliminate more than one car mile per bicycle mile (my guess is that the savings is less than one car mile per bike mile) and that "we all" don't experience what you claim that "we all experience." If you present actual evidence to the contrary, I might be convinced that I am wrong. If it's good evidence, I probably will be.
#64
Senior Member
#65
Senior Member
You are probably in a very small percentage of American bicyclists. That's a compliment, by the way, not snark. I can't do that. I spend at least a minute every mile I ride waiting on traffic. If I could average 20 mph between stop signs and traffic lights, and I can't, I'd still end up averaging only 15 mph. Yesterday I spent nearly eight minutes waiting for a train to pass. The only way I can get my average speed up significantly is to go over to Memorial park and ride the 1.2 mile loop for about an hour. Anymore, the only bikes I ride are lugged steel so I expend a lot of energy getting up to speed in between the lights, stop signs, railroad crossings, and driving dopes. But that's ok. Ergs are ergs, so they say.
#66
Senior Member
Maybe. I always thought that real expensive oil would have a significant affect. And it did, for about a week. Then everybody (well, not everybody -- I'm not speaking for "We all") adjusted. No, we don't treat energy costs as cavalierly as we did when gas was $ 25 and we had gas wars, but Americans, as a group, still like to waste it.
#67
Senior Member
I[...]
That avoids borrowing money. You have to be able to somehow get ahead on that first car purchase. In my case it was a gift from my dear old Dad. After that I was not exactly rolling in dough but this practice let me find the money when I needed it. It just magically accumulated a little bit at a time.
That avoids borrowing money. You have to be able to somehow get ahead on that first car purchase. In my case it was a gift from my dear old Dad. After that I was not exactly rolling in dough but this practice let me find the money when I needed it. It just magically accumulated a little bit at a time.
#68
Senior Member
Not driving on salted winter roads has allowed me to keep my car for 30 years. That clearly saves some money. Around here, parking at work can be a couple hundred dollars a month (assuming you can find a spot), That adds up after a while. I think they are real cost savings, just not the one the website claims.
#69
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I can't speak for what everyone experiences, but I can say that your experience is not mine. Having a car available does not cause me to make extraneous trips or to waste driving miles. I rarely circle blocks looking for parking (maybe once per month at the most -- that's maybe 50 miles per year). When I go out for something it's much more likely to be six or eight sheets of plywood or ten sacks of concrete mix than it is to be five or six pounds of groceries. Even if you were correct with your assertions, it's not fair to attribute the savings to bicycle riding as opposed to just exercising good discipline. You don't need a bicycle to eliminate trips to the store for single cans of beer or a pack of gum or a bag of pinto beans. You can realize all those savings just by being a frugal driver.
I'm not saying you can't save money by riding a bike and I'm not saying that those costs can't be significant. I am saying that I don't believe that the average person will eliminate more than one car mile per bicycle mile (my guess is that the savings is less than one car mile per bike mile) and that "we all" don't experience what you claim that "we all experience." If you present actual evidence to the contrary, I might be convinced that I am wrong. If it's good evidence, I probably will be.
I'm not saying you can't save money by riding a bike and I'm not saying that those costs can't be significant. I am saying that I don't believe that the average person will eliminate more than one car mile per bicycle mile (my guess is that the savings is less than one car mile per bike mile) and that "we all" don't experience what you claim that "we all experience." If you present actual evidence to the contrary, I might be convinced that I am wrong. If it's good evidence, I probably will be.
Then I went car free. No more discipline! I'm a free man. I stay fit as an athlete by just living my life. The discipline to go to work and to shop and such is easy for me. The rest is just a side effect of living. Not much discipline involved.
Edit: Easiest of all is avoiding unnecessary driving
Last edited by Walter S; 03-31-15 at 08:17 PM.
#70
Pedaled too far.
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I bike commuted while I was working on making the World Book Multimedia Encyclopedia.
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#71
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More power to you. That's a pretty reliable 20 year old car if it doesn't ever have mechanical problems or need a brake job. Since you already have it, you don't need to buy it right? Cars don't do well when they sit for weeks or months at a time without being driven. That's one of the reasons I finally sold mine.
Point is cars do not always have to cost an arm and a leg, riding a bike instead when practical and/or enjoyable can provide the individual a boatload of satisfaction and save some money. It is not necessary to exaggerate those savings to justify the advantage/benefits of bike riding for local transportation purposes.
The serious/significant savings come if it adequately replaces an expensive motor vehicle car only being used for local travel which is more than likely an inappropriate vehicle anyway for someone who has set a high priority on saving as much money as possible.
#72
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I bought a second car in 2009 to commute to my new job site 75 miles from my residence. The car was a 9 year old Honda with 144,000 miles on it and cost $3500. Never spent a dime on maintenance in 5 years except for a couple of oil changes. I drove to the job on Monday, stayed in an apartment during the week and returned home at the end of the work week. Did this for three years prior to retirement except for 2 6month job assignments overseas; my wife started it every now and then during my absence but never drove it off the driveway. I kept it for another 2 years before selling it since for the last 2 years I barely used it all though it worked without any issues. $ savings by selling were what I would consider insignificant since my fixed costs were $50/year for registration, liability and comprehensive was about $230/yr minus about $125/yr for the multi car discount.
Point is cars do not always have to cost an arm and a leg, riding a bike instead when practical and/or enjoyable can provide the individual a boatload of satisfaction and save some money. It is not necessary to exaggerate those savings to justify the advantage/benefits of bike riding for local transportation purposes.
The serious/significant savings come if it adequately replaces an expensive motor vehicle car only being used for local travel which is more than likely an inappropriate vehicle anyway for someone who has set a high priority on saving as much money as possible.
Point is cars do not always have to cost an arm and a leg, riding a bike instead when practical and/or enjoyable can provide the individual a boatload of satisfaction and save some money. It is not necessary to exaggerate those savings to justify the advantage/benefits of bike riding for local transportation purposes.
The serious/significant savings come if it adequately replaces an expensive motor vehicle car only being used for local travel which is more than likely an inappropriate vehicle anyway for someone who has set a high priority on saving as much money as possible.
#73
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Audio books and tape player way back when, then CD player, and now mp3 players with the ease of free library downloads makes "reading" books while riding or driving quite feasible. Makes bike riding even more enjoyable, long distance car driving less "boring."
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What have I exxagerated? I've had a little worse luck than you describe with maintenance costs. But I don't have some big stake in seeing that people view cars as expensive. Money is actually kind of low on my list of reasons to be car free. And I find some of the economics other than monetary to be more interesting. What I've had to say comes from my personal experience and nothing more.
#75
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Ok, lets say $3.00 per gallon (I paid $1.75 today) and 15 mpg. That's 10,000 miles eliminated. If you ride 520 hours per year, that's more than 19 mph. That's smoking fast.
I am not saying that riding a bike isn't good for you and I'm not saying that riding a bike as a car replacement doesn't save you some money. What I am saying is that I don't understand the math that gets you from 520 hours/year on the bike to saving $3500 to $4000 per year in transportation expenses.
"Sure, but the point is riding a bike is still considerably less expensive than driving"
Ok, how much less expensive is "considerably?" How many car miles at $ .56/per mile (or whatever you think it should be) do you eliminate by riding your bike 8,000 miles per year at 19 mph and how much does it cost you to ride your bike 8,000 miles per year and how does that affect the cost per mile or your driving? The last question is because if you drive 48,000 before you buy a bike and it's $ 56/per mile, when you eliminate 24,000 miles by riding your bike 8,000 miles, how much does the remaining 24,000 car miles cost per distance unit?
edit: I forgot one of the biggest benefits I get from biking is avoiding the frustration of being stuck in slow traffic. It doesn't happen all the time when I drive but often enough to annoy me when it happens. My bike ride may take a little longer but I never get frustrated on the bike.
Last edited by gregf83; 03-31-15 at 09:34 PM.