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Old 07-08-05, 07:04 PM   #1
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Stage 15: Lezat/Leze - Saint Lary Soulan

Stage 15: Lezat/Leze - Saint Lary Soulan 205.5 km

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Old 07-14-05, 03:41 PM   #2
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This stage looks easy enough.
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Old 07-14-05, 03:45 PM   #3
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Mckewen in sprint finish over Hushvord and O'Grady taking the green jersey for the first time.
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Old 07-14-05, 05:23 PM   #4
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Lance is not known for being a "sentimental" sort of guy. But, there are two stages that would make tempting targets for his memory book. Stage 15 is the last stage in Lance's career that ends with a climb. What better way to write into history his ability to win in the mountains? And, of course, he very much wants a win in the final time trial.

Sitting here on Thursday, looking at the "Top Five" riders in the GC, the "crystal ball" is a bit foggy as to who will be in the "Top Five" after Stage 15. But, applying "W.A.G. Analysis", my prediction for who makes it from Thursday to Sunday and remains on the top is:

THURSDAY NIGHT:

-Armstrong
-Rasmussen
-Moreau
-Basso
-Valverde

SUNDAY NIGHT:

-Armstrong
-Basso
-Botero
-Ullrich
-Leipheimer

My choice of Ullrich is just pure sentimentality on my part. To be in the "Top Five" on Sunday night, Ullrich will have to ride to win on both Saturday and Sunday. And, lately, Ullrich rides more like a guy who is riding for second place.

Other than Ullrich, my "Top Five" prediction is guaranteed to be at least 20% correct. Valverde was on my "Top Five" list...but then he up and quit the race Friday. But, Valverde will be on the podium in Paris in future years. He is the real deal.

Last edited by alanbikehouston; 07-15-05 at 08:58 AM.
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Old 07-14-05, 05:34 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SunSwingsLow
This stage looks easy enough.
...especially since the course will be lined with crazed Basque fans wearing orange and cheering for anyone on Euskaltel. To bad Laiseka didn't make the team this year. He wins the mountains competition in the Tour de Suisse and isn't chosen? Oh well, Aitor wasn't chosen either; maybe they'll win the Vuelta.

Possibly Landaluze, Zubeldia, or, let's hope Mayo today.
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Old 07-15-05, 08:20 AM   #6
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Boring stage. Easy. Lance should ride it backards, on a Green Machine.
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Old 07-15-05, 01:37 PM   #7
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I got a nose bleed just looking at the map
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Old 07-15-05, 02:15 PM   #8
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Originally Posted by SAB
Boring stage. Easy. Lance should ride it backards, on a Green Machine.
I had one of those as a kid.

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Old 07-15-05, 06:51 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by SunSwingsLow
This stage looks easy enough.
Really, it's only 120 miles
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Old 07-15-05, 07:49 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by waltergodefroot
let's hope Mayo today.
Mayo looks like he forgot how to climb... I sure hope he can pull a pheonix act...

I think this is the day for Telekom to attack... Vino... again??
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Old 07-15-05, 08:42 PM   #11
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[QUOTE=alanbikehouston]Lance is not known for being a "sentimental" sort of guy. QUOTE]

He may be when it comes to his former teammate Fabio Casartelli (Team Motorola), when he died on the decent of Col de Portet dAspet. I believe this will give Lance extra motivation to torture his opponents.


newswww.bbc.net.uk/sport2/hi/other_sports/cycling/3756775.stm
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Old 07-15-05, 11:46 PM   #12
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Is this the same stage?

I remember Lance said he felt like he was riding with the strength of two men and he felt no pain on that stage.
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Old 07-16-05, 06:18 AM   #13
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Is this the same stage?
I'm pretty sure it's the exact six climbs used in 2001, yes
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Old 07-16-05, 11:12 AM   #14
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I change my predictions... Botero attacks.. Vino tries to stick... Julick paces Basso who tries to attack at some point...
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Old 07-16-05, 12:15 PM   #15
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I've said this before, but i can't imagine a breakaway staying away on this grueling stage. I think Armstrong wins it.
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Old 07-16-05, 12:41 PM   #16
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Lance Lance Lance... blah blah blah... Lance Lance Lance...
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Old 07-16-05, 01:07 PM   #17
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Originally Posted by skinnyone
Lance Lance Lance... blah blah blah... Lance Lance Lance...
Next year you can talk about someone else.
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Old 07-16-05, 01:12 PM   #18
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Next year you can talk about someone else.
I guess....

I dont hate the guy... All the asskissing and proclamations are getting to be a bit too much ...
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Old 07-16-05, 01:38 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by skinnyone
I guess....

I dont hate the guy... All the asskissing and proclamations are getting to be a bit too much ...

Isnt it all deserved though?

Hes a self made man from a broken home and very little money.
He has survived cancer that gave him only a 10% chance of living.
Climbed back on a bike and won the most grueling event in the world 6 and most likely 7 times in a row. Putting him above all else in TdF success.
To boot hes banging Cheryl Crow.

I mean if you can show me a ***** in the armor im all ears.
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Old 07-16-05, 02:22 PM   #20
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I'm as big a Lance fan as everyone else, but it does get old. I'd love to here more about the other riders, Popo, Landis, Levi, Horner, Basso....those are my favorites other than Lance. Dave Zabriskie and Tom Boonen as well but they dropped out.
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Old 07-16-05, 02:32 PM   #21
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Well one of the problems is that most of America doesnt really understand Bicycle competitions and they dont really see the glory in finishing 2nd or 3rd or even a surprise ride that puts someone in the top 10. So with the TdF and Lance its going to be ALL ABOUT Lance, with sproratic blurbs of Team Disco and jan Ullrich and Vino. Its the reason the US is watching. Im not casting judgement one way or the other, but its just the simple fact of it all. America is watching because of Lance. You would have to expect that the majority of comments and discussion will be about him.
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Old 07-16-05, 04:49 PM   #22
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Yes, completely understand what you're saying. Lance has put american cycling at the forefront but they should also talk about the other Americans as well. IMHO
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Old 07-16-05, 05:19 PM   #23
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Originally Posted by FreeridinLoon
Yes, completely understand what you're saying. Lance has put american cycling at the forefront but they should also talk about the other Americans as well. IMHO
Agreed. But the in the US its only press if your #1. Same thing happens in golf with Tiger Woods. He brings all the non-avid fans out to watch. When hes in contention ratings sky rocket. When hes off the leaderboard they plummet. Same thing happens to a magnitude of 10 with cycling and Lance because there are far fewer bike fans than golf fans. It sucks but we love what is considered an obscure sport in the USA and the only way its going to get coverage is if someone from the US is in major contention and most likely needing to be leading the whole damn thing. Thats our cake whether we like it or not, its what we have to eat.
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Old 07-16-05, 05:26 PM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by skinnyone
I guess....

I dont hate the guy... All the asskissing and proclamations are getting to be a bit too much ...
Yeah it's a trend to go against trends.

I don't know why but there's always a tendency for people to hate anything and everything popular. Oh well.
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Old 07-16-05, 05:37 PM   #25
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Its not like the guy has changed all that much in 7 years, yaknow. I mean he comes back from cancer and hes everybodies golden child. Now 7 years later hes still the dominant rider he was but somehow its time to root against him because he's won too much I guess, or possibly percieved to easily??
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