Yes he will Cadel, won't even be on the podium.
1) The guy has the fire, his attitude harkens back to the days of Hinault and Lemond, he wants to win and he shows it.
2) Has the talent, look at this years Giro he has hardly any team supporting him yet he was nipping at Contador and the powerhouse of Astana, and totally wrecked Team LPR, (which was put together just to win the Giro).
3) Who else is going to win Cadel, doesn't stand a chance, Valverde I wouldn't bet a dime on him. Menchov, sure he won a very lack-luster Vuelta but he is hasn't done anything lately.
CSC maybe the younger Schleck will come in second, and to round out the podium Kirchen in third.