8th, he wont have ac to wait for him on a mtn stage and neutralize attacks from the schlecks like he did last year on ventoux; no team time trial, without which he would not have been on the podium; his team was great in 2004 but now they are just name brand old guys.
la is a great bicycle racer, good enough for top 10 at TdF kind of like christophe moreau or mancebo, but it would be very surprising to me if he's in the mix at the end. honestly, just being able to participate actively at 38 y.o. is pretty amazing.
I do think the cobblestone stage will be exciting and anticipate a RS/Saxo collusion like the LA astana's and Columbia did last year in the crosswind stage intended to gap off AC. RS will do it to be dicks, Saxo will because they know neither schleck can hold AC's wheel in the mtns and neither can TT within a minute of him.