"The greatest pleasure in life is doing things other say you cannot do."
In August, I will be biking up Mt. Washington. It'd be great if you could help me raise some money for the Tin Mountain Conservation Center! Thanks!
This banter is eerily familiar. Oh yeah, same stuff I read last year. "Podium? In his dreams. Too old" Flashforward to the Tour... "He got lucky. It was only due to x, or maybe y, but not it wasn't due to his skill" I saw him as the underdog last year and this year is no different. I hope he wipes the place up.
armstrong has a team (again) that will focus solely on his aspirations. sure, they're older than dirt
but they were last year too and they did pretty decently despite the contador vs armstrong
controversy within the team. collectively, the shack team may have more tdf experience
than the rest of the field combined (ok, maybe a slight stretch but they've been there before
and before and before...infinity). a finish in the 5-10 range with team radioshack 100%
behind him is not unreasonable. armstrong, since his return, has morphed into a cadel evans
(of old) type of rider; he hopes & tries to cover the important attacks but lacks that top-flite
kick that he once had which contador now possesses.
I dunno, where he'll place is kind of hard to read this year. Watching him in interviews, he doesn't seem to have that confidence in his voice that he once had. However, he makes it clear that he is after Contador and even says that 2011 will be his last year to race. Not like Lance to come back again for this kind of torture only to finish poorly (whatever he'd consider poorly to be for himself). To place 3rd last year is phenomenal in itself. May not happen but personally I'd love to see anyone, no matter who it might be, break Contador' trigger finger off and stick it right.......
I think there is an even chance he will DNF.
LA is just as likely to contract caca a week into the TDF. He's already had a bout or two this year. The guts start to do strange things with age...
Everybody's got plans... until they get hit.
- Mike Tyson
I think his team is so strong that he should get at least close to the podium, if not on it, though.
I hope #1, realistically top 5 may be a challenge.
Actually I think I have a pretty good guess what would have happened at last year's TDF if Lance hadn't ridden for Alberto. Because I watched last year's TDF. So I'd say in that "hypothetical" situation he would ride a pretty good showing for himself, a strong TTT, and a savvy break into 3rd place.
I'm not a fanboy, I think his wins weren't clean, etc, but damn I would love to see him win it. Just for the spectacle. In sports I love to feel like I'm watching history. Also because while I respect many of them I'm just not in love with any of the other GC contenders. Evans 2.0 maybe an exception.
But it would really take a lot of luck for #8. On his best day he could not lose time in the mountains. Actually making time on the contenders would require big mishaps, like crashes, allergies, or bonking, not just judgment or tactical errors. The high-end burst just isn't there. Also he's just not the TT beast that he was, it's almost a liability now compared to his main competition. No TTT this year means he misses another couple minutes of time he could put on certain rivals.
I say he finishes 4-6, with the podium being Alberto, Schlek the Younger, and a rider to be named later.
kreuziger or basso, evans, a. schleck, contador, le mevel, ll sanchez, joaquim rodriguez, sammy sanchez & tony martin are my potential candidates
for the podium placings ahead of armstrong (sure i'm forgetting a couple). don't think vandevelde or wiggins are going to be there at the end.
one or more will crash out, one will drop out due to illness, two or more will have an absolutely horrible day and lose 5+minutes. shall be interesting...
Or, like many in fading years, he goes for the polka dots?
i still think armstrong will finish anywhere from fifth to tenth. i don't think all of the riders i mentioned will
finish ahead of armstrong-hell, a few are likely not to finish the race. a couple of them will finish ahead of
ol' lancer though. wouldn't be discounting anyone liquigas sends as team leader. symzd, basso & kreuziger
may be the most formidable threesome any team in the race has.
I think it's entirely possible that Lance will finish outside of the top ten or, as said before even a dnf. But it's Lance we're talking about so he can be counted out for something better. I'm hoping to see some good things from Andy Schleck.