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Hypothetical: If Lance were to return...

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Hypothetical: If Lance were to return...

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Old 09-08-08, 11:57 PM
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Hypothetical: If Lance were to return...

Ok, say Lance did make a comeback. Say he rode the TDF and placed well but didn't win, maybe even finished near, but off the podium. Through it all he tests clean in UCI tests, and additional third party tests, and even gives permission for his blood to be stored to be tested at a later date in the event new tests are invented.

What would this lead you to believe? How would the general public view it? How would the cycling community interpret it?

1) Lance's inability to win, combined with the clean blood tests, likely means he was doping in order to win previously.

2) Lance's high-level performance (even though he didn't win), combined with the clean blood tests, suggests he was clean during his 7-peat.

3) I don't know and I don't care.

It's late and I should be asleep instead of channeling Stuart Smalley...

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Old 09-08-08, 11:59 PM
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it would mean that lemond was right all along about doping in the pro peloton.
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Old 09-09-08, 12:01 AM
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#3 - i find lance boring for some reason
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Old 09-09-08, 12:02 AM
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#3
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Old 09-09-08, 12:03 AM
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It would mean that he's getting too old for this sort of thing.
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Old 09-09-08, 12:06 AM
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Pretty much what Tinrobot said. If he were to ride the TdF again at all, that shows a pretty freaking amazing level of ability.

I don't really understand why some people are so determined that *everyone* is doping. It happens a lot, yeah, but there are also genuinely amazing athletes out there and we should be celebrating that instead of yipping around like tiny little dogs trying to bring down the pack leader.

Um, I may have had too much coffee today. Feel free to ignore me.
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Old 09-09-08, 12:47 AM
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Means nothing. If you've made up your mind that Lance was a doper, that's your opinion, but to conclude anything based on results as a 37 year-old coming back after four years removed is an obvious fallacy.
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Old 09-09-08, 12:54 AM
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#3. I think somebody wants to get his name in the news some more.
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Old 09-09-08, 01:12 AM
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Originally Posted by tinrobot
It would mean that he's getting too fat for this sort of thing.
Fixed (for Pcad).
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Old 09-09-08, 03:13 AM
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You're all pathetic friggin bike weenies with pathetic, empty, boring lives.

I am your leader. Shiver in my presence. Or yawn. Either one.
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Old 09-09-08, 06:48 AM
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3. Where do I get on the anti-bandwagon?
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Old 09-09-08, 06:51 AM
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it means lance and matthew are lovers
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Old 09-09-08, 06:59 AM
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There are fifty reasons Armstrong will NEVER race in Europe again, and this is one of them. If he loses, but tests "clean", most of the world will take that to mean that he was winning "dirty".

And, although the odds of him winning the Tour would not be better than 20 to 1, if he DID win, he would be tested by the same French lab whose lab work has been compared (unfavorably) to "science" done by a drunken chimp. And, he would be subject to getting a "French" result.
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Old 09-09-08, 07:03 AM
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win= lance rules. loss= lance rules.
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Old 09-09-08, 07:08 AM
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Originally Posted by dmb2786
win= lance rules. loss= lance rules.
+1

Anti-Lance sentiment is trendy right now.
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Old 09-09-08, 07:11 AM
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Originally Posted by patentcad
You're all pathetic friggin bike weenies with pathetic, empty, boring lives.

I am your leader. Shiver in my presence. Or yawn. Either one.
I'll probably just yawn but have a piss shiver too.
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Old 09-09-08, 07:13 AM
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Considering no one cyclist has dominated the past few Tours, I would give Lance a great chance of winning again if he commits to this comeback. If he has a strong team, he will be competitive to say the least. Definitely a risk to his legacy if he lost, but if he were to win or be on the podium, it would be a huge win.
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Old 09-09-08, 07:17 AM
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Originally Posted by SushiJoe
+1

Anti-Lance sentiment is trendy right now.
I hear the same anti-lance crapola every day. From the roadies to the racers.
I think it's funny.
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Old 09-09-08, 07:19 AM
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I don't think you can draw any conclusion about 1999-2005, from 2009 performance.

I do think there's a reasonably strong inference to be drawn from the fact that he's coming back:

Armstrong wins 7 TDFs when for most of the time there was no effective test for EPO, and PEDS were rampant in the peleton.

Armstrong retires when many around him are getting popped for PED's.

Armstrong unretires when many teams now have enhanced antidoping protocols and it appears the sport is actually cleaning up.

So the inference would be that Armstrong believes that the sport is sufficiently clean now, that it is possible to compete without PEDs.

That would be a positive inference going forward.
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Old 09-09-08, 08:31 AM
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Originally Posted by merlinextraligh
I don't think you can draw any conclusion about 1999-2005, from 2009 performance.

I do think there's a reasonably strong inference to be drawn from the fact that he's coming back:

Armstrong wins 7 TDFs when for most of the time there was no effective test for EPO, and PEDS were rampant in the peleton.

Armstrong retires when many around him are getting popped for PED's.

Armstrong unretires when many teams now have enhanced antidoping protocols and it appears the sport is actually cleaning up.

So the inference would be that Armstrong believes that the sport is sufficiently clean now, that it is possible to compete without PEDs.

That would be a positive inference going forward.

this thinking is spot on.
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Old 09-09-08, 09:22 AM
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Originally Posted by tinrobot
It would mean that he's getting too old for this sort of thing.
Just like Erik Zabel, right?
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Old 09-09-08, 09:25 AM
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More importantly, Will Kate Hudson be in the booth with Phil, Paul and Bob?

Is he still shagging Kate Hudson?
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Old 09-09-08, 05:12 PM
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Originally Posted by alanbikehouston
There are fifty reasons Armstrong will NEVER race in Europe again, and this is one of them. If he loses, but tests "clean", most of the world will take that to mean that he was winning "dirty".

And, although the odds of him winning the Tour would not be better than 20 to 1, if he DID win, he would be tested by the same French lab whose lab work has been compared (unfavorably) to "science" done by a drunken chimp. And, he would be subject to getting a "French" result.
At his age, a "win" would be what? Top 5? No less than top 10? After 4 years off, if he does ride the tour, if he were to complete for a podium spot and tests clean he's an all-time cycling god. I'd love to see him come back and just smoke the field but I don't think that's realistic. I just hope that he doesn't look terrible, but I'm sure if that's the case he'll bow out.

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