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TDF Predictions? It's about that time

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Old 06-30-10, 07:06 AM
  #126  
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Originally Posted by crhilton
I've got no clue. But from the tour de suisse post interview I believe Lance believes he can win. And that seems significant (he seems to be a smart guy).

I'd like to see Cancellara win.
Originally Posted by merlinextraligh
Put down the crack pipe and step away from the keyboard. Cancellara has .0000000000000001% chance of winning GC at the 2010 TDF.

Its conceivable, albeit extremely unlikely, he could become a GC threat with a complete makeover, but it would be a multi year process.
Originally Posted by crhilton
I know reading comprehension is hard. But if you try you might succeed.
I understood exactly what you wrote. I'd like to see myself when the TDF, but that's only slightly less likely than Cancellera winning the 2010 TDF.

Point is that it is ridiculous to even consider Cancerella winning this year's Tour.
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Old 06-30-10, 07:10 AM
  #127  
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Originally Posted by thump55
Contador does not race Paris-Roubaix or Tour of Flanders, which both have cobbles. He has virtually no experience racing on the the cobbles, while others do. Cobbles invariably break up the field some, and provide opportunities for attacks. They are narrow, hard on equipment and cause crashes. The cobbles on Stage 3 this year are especially dangerous because they are so close to the finish line. (See Cancellara's expertly executed attack in this year's Paris-Roubaix)
And this potentially could cause Contador to lose a minute or two. At the end of the 3 weeks, its not likely to be meaningful. Unless perhaps those two minutes are lost to Andy Schleck.
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Old 06-30-10, 07:15 AM
  #128  
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Originally Posted by thump55
Contador does not race Paris-Roubaix or Tour of Flanders, which both have cobbles. He has virtually no experience racing on the the cobbles, while others do. Cobbles invariably break up the field some, and provide opportunities for attacks. They are narrow, hard on equipment and cause crashes. The cobbles on Stage 3 this year are especially dangerous because they are so close to the finish line. (See Cancellara's expertly executed attack in this year's Paris-Roubaix)
Ah, so it's not that he's proven he lacks the skill, it's that he's not experienced them in races where others have. OK, thanks. Perhaps it's like a lot of things we fear: if the anticipation gives him pause, that alone may make him more hesitant to respond aggressively to an attack. And if his whole team is equally hesitant, then he's definitely at risk to lose time here. With the seven sections being near the end of the stage, that could be a killer. Sound about right?
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Old 06-30-10, 07:42 AM
  #129  
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The other thing about cobbles is they're a lower cadence/high power type of riding. Lightweight climbers don't excel at them. Hence Cancellara and Hushovd's success on them.
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Old 06-30-10, 08:01 AM
  #130  
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Originally Posted by therhodeo
The other thing about cobbles is they're a lower cadence/high power type of riding. Lightweight climbers don't excel at them. Hence Cancellara and Hushovd's success on them.
Yes, that matches my own experiences. Wichita has its own "cobbles" and I certainly bounce around on those at higher cadences. I'm out the door to go experience some now.
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Old 06-30-10, 08:05 AM
  #131  
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Originally Posted by akansaskid
Yes, that matches my own experiences. Wichita has its own "cobbles" and I certainly bounce around on those at higher cadences. I'm out the door to go experience some now.

Brick roads? I grew up down around Coffeyville KS and we had tons of brick roads in those little towns.
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Old 06-30-10, 08:53 AM
  #132  
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the only way contador loses is if he crashes on the cobbles and cant continue or continues injured a la vino the year he got caught for blood doping. he's an overwhelming favorite. in my mind, the biggest favorite since lance armstrong whichever year it was that ulrich was banned for recreational drug use.

a. schleck will be on the podium because of the emphasis on climbing in this tour and lack of TTing. he'll be roughly 4 to 8 minutes behind contador, just like last year, and maybe gifted a stage like f schleck was last year.

louis leon sanchez for the 3rd step of the podium, shored up in the last TT. he'll be this years revelation so to speak.

round out top 12: sami sanchez, kreuzinger, sastre, armstrong, basso, menchov, evans, f. schleck. any order.

Last edited by MDcatV; 06-30-10 at 09:04 AM. Reason: switch leipheimer and menchov
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Old 06-30-10, 08:56 AM
  #133  
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I do think Contador will take another win, however I am rooting for Cervelo Test Team. I believe they will have some great results at this years tour.
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Old 06-30-10, 10:46 AM
  #134  
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Originally Posted by merlinextraligh
I understood exactly what you wrote. I'd like to see myself when the TDF, but that's only slightly less likely than Cancellera winning the 2010 TDF.

Point is that it is ridiculous to even consider Cancerella winning this year's Tour.
What's ridiculous is to juxtapose yourself and Cancellara .
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Old 06-30-10, 10:57 AM
  #135  
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Contador,Schleck,Evans,Basso.......whatever, none of those guys stand a chance against the awesomeness that is Vladimir Karpets' russian metallica mullet:

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Old 07-04-10, 11:55 PM
  #136  
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Originally Posted by kneed2wrydemore
Liz Hatch
Winner!
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