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Cult of Carbon

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Old 11-14-11, 05:18 AM
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Cult of Carbon

Since it appears almost every bike company makes an affordable CF frame, components are now offered by most companies in CF. Is it safe to say very soon everyone will be riding on CF..Costs keep dropping, quality improving. I fear that steel/Ti/Alum will become rare and very costly.......A decent steel/ti/alum frame is now in the $1,200-2,500 range. A full CF bike is starting @ $1,200.
What will our future look like?
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Old 11-14-11, 06:19 AM
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Any 3 year old in Asia can slap weave in a mold, paint it, and call it a bike. When it comes to steel, Ti, alum these require some skills to assemble.
My crystal ball tells me that cheap CF will take over the world by 2014. Then we will rebel and demand bikes that don't break when ridden hard, has a stiff BB and can take a season racing.
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Old 11-14-11, 06:38 AM
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Originally Posted by dwatson
Any 3 year old in Asia can slap weave in a mold, paint it, and call it a bike. When it comes to steel, Ti, alum these require some skills to assemble.
My crystal ball tells me that cheap CF will take over the world by 2014. Then we will rebel and demand bikes that don't break when ridden hard, has a stiff BB and can take a season racing.
Any monkey can braze 4130, slap some paint on it and call it vintage. When it cames to carbon it requires some skill to design, lay-up, and finish.

My icyrstal tells me that carbon is already ubiquitous and since it doesn't break when ridden hard, has a stiff BB and can take many seasons of racing it will dominate until something better comes along.
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Old 11-14-11, 08:17 AM
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Don't feed the troll.
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Old 11-14-11, 08:22 AM
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full CF bike can be had for under $500 shipped. add $300 for carbon wheelset. search 3k 54cm on e-bay.
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Old 11-14-11, 08:34 AM
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Originally Posted by BillyD
Don't feed the troll.
This one has no skills.
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Old 11-14-11, 08:44 AM
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I want my frame made by monkeys fed organic bananas
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Old 11-14-11, 08:47 AM
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Quiet music, hushed voices, and flowers on your chest....

Oh, the future of BICYCLES! Heck fire, I dunno!

I would speculate (as opposed to predicting or claiming to know) that at some price point CF just doesn't work economically. There will be a point where the costs cannot be cut so deeply and still have a safe bike to ride. Like a steel or Ti frame, can't take the tubes but just so thin.

Just a speculation, not an expert on today's CF construction (my experience is with fighters in the '80's, not bikes).

Now, any predictions on the next miracle material?
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Old 11-14-11, 09:10 AM
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You can now build a really lightweight (sub-15 lb.) carbon fiber bike off ebay for dirt cheap....at this point I don't know why people buy expensive bikes other then to show they have money, but its like buying a ferrari.
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Old 11-14-11, 09:13 AM
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Originally Posted by VA_Esquire
You can now build a really lightweight (sub-15 lb.) carbon fiber bike off ebay for dirt cheap....at this point I don't know why people buy expensive bikes other then to show they have money, but its like buying a ferrari.
The benefits of buying through more traditional distribution models has been well established, let's not pretend that there aren't sensible reasons for doing so.
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Old 11-14-11, 09:17 AM
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Originally Posted by VA_Esquire
You can now build a really lightweight (sub-15 lb.) carbon fiber bike off ebay for dirt cheap....at this point I don't know why people buy expensive bikes other then to show they have money, but its like buying a ferrari.
Not all carbon is created equal...
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Old 11-14-11, 09:27 AM
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Originally Posted by thehammerdog
What will our future look like?
this is what my future looks like:

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Old 11-14-11, 09:33 AM
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Originally Posted by WhyFi
The benefits of buying through more traditional distribution models has been well established, let's not pretend that there aren't sensible reasons for doing so.
You can't justify a $4,000 frameset to me sorry lol
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Old 11-14-11, 09:40 AM
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Originally Posted by VA_Esquire
You can't justify a $4,000 frameset to me sorry lol
Seriously though, there is a huge difference between an ebay carbon frame and a high end frame made by a reputable carbon fiber manufacturer. I've spent significant amounts of time riding the different levels of carbon frames from a major reputable manufacturer and the differences are readily discernible. Even between the most expensive models there are easily noticeable differences in ride quality.
And then if you compare one of the top end carbon frames to an entry level carbon frame, it just blows it out of the water. You don't need to ride both for more than 5 minutes to figure this out.
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Old 11-14-11, 09:40 AM
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Originally Posted by VA_Esquire
You can't justify a $4,000 frameset to me sorry lol
Who said anything about a $4k frameset?
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Old 11-14-11, 09:40 AM
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Originally Posted by david58
Now, any predictions on the next miracle material?
Graphene probably.
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Old 11-14-11, 09:45 AM
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On the 1 in 100 chance this is not a troll, I do want to add a comment.

For those of us who do not fit on the bell curve and need custom geometry, carbon is not an affordable option and may not be for the time being.

I recently got a new custom-geometry bike and was under a fairly tight budget. Custom carbon frames cost $4,000 to $6,000 US for the frame/fork only....way too pricey.

I ended up with a Habenero Ti.

One of these days I would love to try a carbon fiber frame but there is no way a mass-produced "stock" frame is going to fit.
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Old 11-14-11, 09:45 AM
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Originally Posted by dwatson
Any 3 year old in Asia can slap weave in a mold, paint it, and call it a bike. When it comes to steel, Ti, alum these require some skills to assemble.
My crystal ball tells me that cheap CF will take over the world by 2014. Then we will rebel and demand bikes that don't break when ridden hard, has a stiff BB and can take a season racing.
That is some skilled 3 year old!
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Old 11-14-11, 09:54 AM
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Originally Posted by VA_Esquire
You can't justify a $4,000 frameset to me sorry lol
That is because of your values and your pocketbook. Surprisingly, others have different perspectives and they're equally valid - this is a lesson that would be a good one to learn before you get out in to the real world.
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Old 11-14-11, 10:51 AM
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Originally Posted by danvuquoc
Graphene probably.
the thought of a graphene crankset makes me very, very giddy.
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Old 11-14-11, 10:55 AM
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I predict that people will continue to want different kinds of bikes for different purposes, styles, and tastes.
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Old 11-14-11, 01:03 PM
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where can I get this super cheap E-bay bike and who do you know that has one?
I'm not proud I have owned top o the line Ti frames, steel, alum and now Carbon all name brands....I'm a poor fellow so e-bay sounds good to me....Just not an ebayer so not sure of the process.
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Old 11-14-11, 01:04 PM
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[QUOTE=datlas;13490991]On the 1 in 100 chance this is not a troll,

I gotta confess I am not sure why the Troll tag is being tossed about.........half the stuff posted on the forum is insane. What is an example of a Non troll post..clearly I have no clue?
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Old 11-14-11, 01:10 PM
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Originally Posted by AngryScientist
this is what my future looks like:

That's the cleanest cassette I've ever seen.
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Old 11-14-11, 01:26 PM
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Originally Posted by thehammerdog
where can I get this super cheap E-bay bike and who do you know that has one?
https://www.ebay.com/itm/2011-FR301-F...#ht_3083wt_947

Just add groupset. I have one, raced it all last season. I'm happy with the ride quality
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