Don't Believe the Hype
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: chicagoland area
Bikes: 1999 Steelman SR525, 2002 Lightspeed Ultimate, 1988 Trek 830, 2008 Scott Addict
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I feel that overtraining is as much a function of what you are doing for the other 21-22 hours you have off of the bike. Mental and physical layoffs are important. This is also a function of what you did in February. If you have specific goals, then shoot for a date then taper naturally. 8-10 week periods allow you 3 solid rampup's per season.
Keep up with your weight. Many people 'diet' and lose power as they lose weight during the season. No racer loses weight in the height of the season.