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Old 08-04-10, 02:02 PM
  #106  
MDcatV
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^ Pedaleur's team mate has a valid discussion point, but bottom line, a group of 4 is up the road. 2 of Pedaleur's team mates are in it so ignoring individual abilities, they have a 2 in 4 or 50% probability of winning.

when the 8-person chase group goes, Pedaleur is correct to jump on to it, because he has to assume that the break is going to become 12 strong, ignoring individual attributes, 3 in 12 is better than 2 in 11. that the chase became 3 including Pedaleur only strengthens this argument because 3 in 7 are better odds than 2 in 6.

when it becomes 3 in 7 and uncooperative, it's up to the 3 to thin the herd. if I'm one of the 4, assuming no other representation, i work, just hard enough to be fluid while paying attention to what's going on. I'll take my legs against 7 than against the field.
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