Good analyses by everyone. My view is that Simoni must attack from far out because of his deficit. I don't think he can depend on letting Salvodelli sit on him until the ultimate climb...he would be hoping he could take 2'09" out of Salvodelli, but Salvodelli has shown resiliency under attacks in the mountains. He bends but doesn't break. So Simoni must attack on the first climb if he has any real aspirations for the maglia rosa. Salvodelli's job will be to stick with Simoni or within 2" of Simoni and thus far, Salvodelli has shown that is within his capabilities. So the key for Simoni is if he tries to escape from Salvodelli on the first climb. If he doesn't Salvodelli will remain in pink.