Originally Posted by
CarinusMalmari
@
rekmeyata Let me start to point out, with the risk of sounding condescending, that the future involves a lot more than the future of America, since more than 95% of people, including Yours Truly live elsewhere. As it is, cycling is already big in a lot of places, and it doesn't look like the age of the bicycle will end anytime soon. If anything, the opposite is true. But even in America, cars will sooner or later become unsustainable, simply because fossil fuels will start to run out, and since there isn't a real alternative, driving will simply become too expensive for most.
Weather is less than an issue than you seem to think, since successful implementation of of utility cycling exists in a wide range of climates. From tropical climate in developing countries in east Asia to the cool climate of Scandinavia. I don't want to pretend our local weather is harsh or something, but even around here it's common for people age 8-80 to cycle trough normal weather ranging from roughly -10 to 30 Celsius with extremes of roughly -20 to 40 Celsius, without even resorting to specialized equipment. And what can't be overcome by simply (wo)manning up, can be dealt with by means of technology. Of course cycling probably won't ever be very big during Canadian or Siberian winters, but in the end most of humanity lives in temperate or warmer climates anyways.
Perhaps this map will shed some light on the situation; see:
Bike to Work: U.S. Cities Map Just hover your pointer over any area and see the results. There are more areas then not where commuting by bike is a very small percentage and it's all due to climate. Hover over Davis CA then hover over Duluth MN where they have actually had a decrease in commuting, hover over where I live in Fort Wayne IN and look at the results, very few people commute to work on bikes in most places across the US, in warmer climates it's not as big of a deal, but cyclling will not become important in the colder climates EVER...unless global warming does a better job.