Yep, you got the area. I've been on the lookout. I also talked to the folks at La Dolce Velo, Hyland, and Spokesman (they did the build, so there's a Spokesman sticker). I posted to Bike Index too.
Rob (La Dolce Velo) says he's seen the guy in his shop shoplifting.
Here's a closeup of the dude and another of him and his accomplice. The woman stands on the street as a lookout. In this picture they had another bike. I'd bet very large sums of money that someone else in the neighborhood lost a bike on Saturday morning.
Bike Thief
thief + lookout accomplice