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Giro Predictions

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Old 05-06-08, 01:06 AM
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Stallionforce
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Giro Predictions

Didn't see a thread on this, so...

Killer will repeat. Mountains will be tough but he will limit his losses and take advantage of the multiple time trials.
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Old 05-06-08, 04:26 AM
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It depends if Cancellara is going to try to compete or if he is saving it for the tour. If he tries to compete I think 4 time trials will be pretty good for him.
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Old 05-06-08, 04:33 AM
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Originally Posted by Nikephoros View Post
It depends if Cancellara is going to try to compete or if he is saving it for the tour. If he tries to compete I think 4 time trials will be pretty good for him.
climbs like a sprinter, won't win
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Old 05-06-08, 05:01 AM
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Old 05-06-08, 05:29 AM
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What about the blood passport thing - 23 suspect riders, one or so probably penalized in the near future. DiLuca is one of the riders with the hormone level of a newborn, ditto many of the other top riders from the 2007 Giro.

I don't know who will win, nor do I know who will be ejected from the race (now or later), but I think we'll see some big names kicked out or at least questioned.

I think the last TT will see an extremely fast TT if the wind is favorable. Maybe not the 58kph record but close. It's all downhill! Cancellara should kick some serious butt there.

As much I I may not be a fan of them, I think Astana comes to the race with a lot to prove, very strong riders, and a well tested support staff. Since they weren't planning on being at the Giro, their riders will be fresh in the last week (I think). Also, since they're under incredible scrutiny, I can't believe that any of their riders would be on the suspect list (watch me be wrong). I think Levi will win, anchored by a solid TT that last day. Contador and Kloden will be good too, but Levi has the number 1 on the team. Contador, I would guess, would want to win his home tour badly, and would trade support roles at the Giro for a leadership role at home. Plus he has a lot of time in his career. Levi is rapidly approaching the end of his and I'm sure he wants to hang a Grand Tour jersey on his wall before he retires. Kloden just can't climb like the other two, and there's an uphill TT and a bunch of tough looking climbs during the last week.

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Old 05-06-08, 05:44 AM
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1. It's too bad that they waited until the last minute to invite Astana as that limited their ability to prepare and recon the course.

2. DiLuca's got a strong team.

3. Look out for Rico.

4. I can't wait for the commentators (whichever place you watch the race) to say:

"Serramenti PVC Diquigiovanni-Androni Giocattoli"

I don't think Simoni's big enough for all of that to fit on his jersey.

5. Before doing predictions, I suggest checking the start list. For example, Cancellara, and the Schlecks were never in the Giro mix. CSC has Lund, McGee, Chris Sorensen, Nicki Sorensen, Larsson, McCartney, Voight, Blaudzun, and O'Grady.

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Old 05-06-08, 07:00 AM
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Originally Posted by roadwarrior View Post
5. Before doing predictions, I suggest checking the start list. For example, Cancellara, and the Schlecks were never in the Giro mix. CSC has Lund, McGee, Chris Sorensen, Nicki Sorensen, Larsson, McCartney, Voight, Blaudzun, and O'Grady.
yeah that would have been a good idea lol
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Old 05-06-08, 07:09 AM
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Originally Posted by Stallionforce View Post
Giro Predictions.
The guy who finishes with the best overall time will win.
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Old 05-06-08, 07:14 AM
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I don't know Botto they are crazy Italians.

Also, after looking at the start list look a the stage maps. 1 of the 4 tt's is straight up hill and has spots at 24%. The other two are flat-ish and the TTT. I think Rebellin or Ricco
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Old 05-06-08, 07:14 AM
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Originally Posted by carpediemracing View Post
What about the blood passport thing - 23 suspect riders, one or so probably penalized in the near future. DiLuca is one of the riders with the hormone level of a newborn, ditto many of the other top riders from the 2007 Giro.

I don't know who will win, nor do I know who will be ejected from the race (now or later), but I think we'll see some big names kicked out or at least questioned.

I think the last TT will see an extremely fast TT if the wind is favorable. Maybe not the 58kph record but close. It's all downhill! Cancellara should kick some serious butt there.

As much I I may not be a fan of them, I think Astana comes to the race with a lot to prove, very strong riders, and a well tested support staff. Since they weren't planning on being at the Giro, their riders will be fresh in the last week (I think). Also, since they're under incredible scrutiny, I can't believe that any of their riders would be on the suspect list (watch me be wrong). I think Levi will win, anchored by a solid TT that last day. Contador and Kloden will be good too, but Levi has the number 1 on the team. Contador, I would guess, would want to win his home tour badly, and would trade support roles at the Giro for a leadership role at home. Plus he has a lot of time in his career. Levi is rapidly approaching the end of his and I'm sure he wants to hang a Grand Tour jersey on his wall before he retires.
Kloden just can't climb like the other two, and there's an uphill TT and a bunch of tough looking climbs during the last week.

cdr
Klöden is a better climber and arguably a better TT man than Leipeimer.
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Old 05-06-08, 07:16 AM
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Originally Posted by botto View Post
The guy who finishes with the best overall time will win.
Until one week after the results, in which case it very well likely may be the second or even third.
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Old 05-06-08, 07:17 AM
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Originally Posted by jrennie View Post
I don't know Botto they are crazy Italians.

Also, after looking at the start list look a the stage maps. 1 of the 4 tt's is straight up hill and has spots at 24%. The other two are flat-ish and the TTT.
I think Rebellin or Ricco
Rebellin is not, nor has he ever been, a serious contender for a Grand Tour.
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Old 05-06-08, 07:18 AM
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Old 05-06-08, 07:27 AM
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Originally Posted by botto View Post
Rebellin is not, nor has he ever been, a serious contender for a Grand Tour.
He isn't the typical GC guy but there are a ton of hills and it is a hard mans type of grand tour. He wanted to do well at the giro this year and is on great form. He cant TT like the others or climb as good but for some reason I think he'll do good. Beats the hell out of saying Contador/levi/di luca
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Old 05-06-08, 08:06 AM
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Originally Posted by botto View Post
The guy who finishes with the best overall time will win.
And will be busted for EPO use.
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Old 05-06-08, 08:07 AM
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Vs. TV coverage will suck... Thats my prediction.
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Old 05-06-08, 08:13 AM
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Originally Posted by botto View Post
those three won't be in it for the GC.
Fine, Danny Pate for the GC I really cant see kolden besting contador in the mountains and there is so much up this year.
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Old 05-06-08, 08:30 AM
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Originally Posted by wfrogge View Post
Vs. TV coverage will suck... Thats my prediction.
So watch ESPN's coverage. Or Spike's.

Saying Vs. "sucks" when they at least have SOME cycling coverage for free (with basic cable cable in most cases) is like complaining that when the guy next door mowed your lawn while you were on vacation he didn't do a very good job edging.

Try positive reinforcement, like sending them (and the shows commercial sponsors) an email that you and your friends watch every show and would love more.
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Old 05-06-08, 08:33 AM
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Gilberto Simoni, looked tough earlier this year.

I will go with Kloden though.
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Old 05-06-08, 09:06 AM
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Old 05-06-08, 09:22 AM
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I am only picking dark-horses.. Ricardo Ricco he has had a rough season thus far. How about this kid Kanstantin sweets-off?
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Old 05-06-08, 09:26 AM
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I really think Contador will shine in the last week... and will be in the top ten going into it... so could end up podium...

Kloden is finally looking really good again and has another great team... but once again it is not united behind one rider.

Levi will end up riding support for one of those two.

I'd like to see Simoni be in the mix...

i think this giro will be really great, cant wait.
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Old 05-06-08, 09:32 AM
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Simoni and Leipheimer.

Levi has a diesel sort of engine, like Simoni. Aren't amazing attacking riders, but get them going and they roll.

Except, Leipheimer can roll a flat TT as well. Anything Simoni gets out of him in the mountains, aside from an outright explosion/crack on Leipheimers part, will be made up twofold in the TTs.

Given the TTT, Astana will be a minute or more up on just about everyone else besides CSC, Highroad and Slipstream. Simoni and Di Luca are f***ed, right there.
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Old 05-06-08, 09:45 AM
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Originally Posted by botto View Post
Klöden is a better climber and arguably a better TT man than Leipeimer.
+1

Tough to support the position that someone who finished 2nd in the Tour Day France is not a good climber.
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Old 05-06-08, 09:53 AM
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Originally Posted by botto View Post
Klöden is a better climber and arguably a better TT man than Leipeimer.
+1

I'm picking Contador if he's on form...this will be Astana's "Tour".
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