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Would a self driving car world make it safe for cyclists?

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Old 03-26-18, 12:24 PM
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Originally Posted by RFEngineer
For those of you blaming the victim, what is really the technical difference between this situation and a bicycle traveling properly down the road in the same lane as the AV
For one thing, there’s a bicycle lane next to the two traffic lanes. If the AV was respecting the lane markers a cyclist would be fine. If the AV was transitioning through the bicycle lane to make a right turn that could pose a problem. I suspect a cyclist with blinking lights and reflective clothing would be a lot easier for the AV to detect. Also, the speed differential would be much lower if the bicyle was doing 15-20mph.

I’ll be staying in Tempe this week for work. I may end up driving my rental car up Mill Ave to see the lighting situation at night. I know that camera exposures can make things look lighter or darker than they do in person.
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Old 03-26-18, 12:38 PM
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I missed the new video showing what Elaine was doing before her shoes became visible in the previously release video. Please re-share.
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Old 03-26-18, 12:39 PM
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Originally Posted by CliffordK
Waymo CEO On Uber Crash: Our Self-Driving Car Would Have Avoided Pedestrian

Hopefully they've made an effort to recreate the incident. But, this sounds like a limitation specific to Uber.

That does sound a BIT opportunistic. Given the gravity of the situation it's sorta in poor taste and not very reassuring.
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Old 03-26-18, 12:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Dunbar
For one thing, there’s a bicycle lane next to the two traffic lanes.
People on bikes make left turns, right? (If I was making a left turn to West Washington St I might already have been making my way over to the left turn lanes. Or I might have gone straight to do a two-stage left turn. But my choice.)

Drivers who think that people on bikes are only in bike lanes are bad drivers, no matter if they are human drivers are automated drivers.

-mr. bill
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Old 03-26-18, 12:46 PM
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Originally Posted by CliffordK
Waymo CEO On Uber Crash: Our Self-Driving Car Would Have Avoided Pedestrian

Hopefully they've made an effort to recreate the incident. But, this sounds like a limitation specific to Uber.
Uber isn't the only AV promoter testing prototypes on public roads in AZ with little or no oversight by the state or local officials. Last week it was Uber's turn to be caught in the glare of the Media's Headlights due to the result of the inadequacies of its testing procedures and/or its AV prototypes, next week it may be Google's turn.
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Old 03-26-18, 01:13 PM
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
I previously responded to another poster who also made bogus aspersions about conspiracy mongering on this subject. See Would a self driving car world make it safe for cyclists?

What I believe is that the Tempe police chief showed very poor judgement by drawing her rush to judgement and questionable conclusion from the poor quality dash cam video and the statement of the distracted driver and going on the record with it in a peculiar "exclusive" to an out of town newspaper- “it’s very clear it would have been difficult to avoid this collision in any kind of mode (autonomous or human-driven) based on how she came from the shadows right into the roadway.”

Her "motive" was probably her own stupidity.
It was a week ago, but you were pushing vague conspiracy nonsense too.

You suggested something "odd" happened:

Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Do you know of any reason why the Tempe police chief would be giving this "exclusive" to a San Francisco newspaper prior to the completion of any investigation? Doesn't that seem a little odd?
You continued with comments about "motives":

Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Really, I don't see the Tempe police chief's comments/conclusions picked up by any other news organization. I also question the motives of the Tempe police chief providing his opinions on the cause of a local fatality and Uber's lack of fault/blame only to a SF reporter, with undue haste and prior even to the beginning of any credible investigation by any organization.
You piled on to the conspiracy mongering of another poster:

Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Originally Posted by robertorolfo
A SF newspaper acting as a mouthpiece for/covering up for the Silicon Valley hand that feeds them? Nahhhh, totally implausible...

Some local AZ police chief not being the absolute best of characters? Nahhhh, who would believe that?
Certainly not the AV fan-bois, political prostitutes and/or media hucksters who are "all in" with the AV promoters' we can do no wrong (in fact are incapable of doing wrong), no need to require impartial regulatory oversight hype machine.
You made vague aspersions about "reputation":

Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Yeah, just speculating here but if the Tempe police chief should be outed as less than reputable, there is always the precedent of a presidential pardon for a corrupt AZ police chief.

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Old 03-26-18, 01:28 PM
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Originally Posted by noisebeam
I missed the new video showing what Elaine was doing before her shoes became visible in the previously release video. Please re-share.
As far as I can tell, the video on the web has no further resolution. I tried a frame save, and tried to adjust the brightness and contrast and got nothing.

Of course, JPG and MPG are both "lossy" formats. So the vehicle may have had substantially more data in the original uncompressed files.

However, it is unlikely that Captain Kirk teleported her into the middle of the road just before the accident. So, the most plausible explanation is that she did, in fact, cross through all 3 traffic lanes to get where she was hit.

One can see taillights of a car in the distance, but no other signs of cars near the Uber including no evidence of headlights in the adjacent lanes.

There was another video posted of a person driving in the same area at night with a webcam that was able to show substantially more visibility than the Uber video.
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Old 03-26-18, 01:39 PM
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Originally Posted by Rollfast
That does sound a BIT opportunistic. Given the gravity of the situation it's sorta in poor taste and not very reassuring.
Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Uber isn't the only AV promoter testing prototypes on public roads in AZ with little or no oversight by the state or local officials. Last week it was Uber's turn to be caught in the glare of the Media's Headlights due to the result of the inadequacies of its testing procedures and/or its AV prototypes, next week it may be Google's turn.
Google/Waymo may have received more data about the collision than has been made public, and spent some time evaluating the scenario to conclude that their car would not have killed the pedestrian. Perhaps even driving on the same street.

And, I believe they initially stopped driving after the incident. So, an evaluation of the likelihood of this occurring would be necessary before resuming the testing.

But, yes, we'll see more AV incidents, and fatalities. Perhaps the next one will be a situation that would otherwise be unpredictable such as a pedestrian stepping out from behind a car/tree/other obstruction. Or, perhaps trying to cut across rush hour traffic, then made a sudden course reversal.

Or, perhaps a sleepy driver crossing the center lane causing a head-on crash with Google/Waymo.

However, this Uber accident appears to be a lone pedestrian in the middle of the road... yes, dimly lit, but the car should have been using multiple data sources, we're all left wondering why the accident occurred.
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Old 03-26-18, 02:12 PM
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Having been in the area many time at night I have no idea why Elaine did not see the approaching AV. Its headlights would be visible for a long time coming. Or why when it was very obviously coming she didn't pause before crossing the lane it was in.
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Old 03-26-18, 02:16 PM
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Originally Posted by CliffordK
As far as I can tell, the video on the web has no further resolution. I tried a frame save, and tried to adjust the brightness and contrast and got nothing.

Of course, JPG and MPG are both "lossy" formats. So the vehicle may have had substantially more data in the original uncompressed files.

However, it is unlikely that Captain Kirk teleported her into the middle of the road just before the accident. So, the most plausible explanation is that she did, in fact, cross through all 3 traffic lanes to get where she was hit.

One can see taillights of a car in the distance, but no other signs of cars near the Uber including no evidence of headlights in the adjacent lanes.

There was another video posted of a person driving in the same area at night with a webcam that was able to show substantially more visibility than the Uber video.
I thought I read either in this thread of the related one that the AV should have seen her crossing so I was curious to see the video of her crossing to validate that statement. I missed it. The only vid I've seen is her 'appearing out of nowhere" teleported as you say. It is brighter than the released video here, but mainly on the right side of the street.
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Old 03-26-18, 02:44 PM
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Originally Posted by mtb_addict
Wikipedia says the car was going 38 in 35 MPH zone.

So besides failure to see, Uber was speeding too.
Except the speed limit signs there say 45 mph.
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Old 03-26-18, 02:51 PM
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Originally Posted by Maelochs
The only reason I would not is because the lady had no legal right to be where she was.

As a cheezy prosecutor I would play up the drug-addled homeless crap, but in a court of law ... I strongly doubt it would ever get to trial. The judge has to follow the law, and the law is pretty clear that pedestrians are only supposed to be on roadways in very specific fashions: In crosswalks, when traffic lights are right, and when no cars are coming. To do otherwise is to use the roadway in an unsafe fashion.

Jaywalking is a ticketable offense. She was engaged in illegal and unsafe behavior and in fact, endangered not just herself the but also the driver.

if I drove my car over a median and perpendicularly across the road and got hit, whose fault would it be?

No good lawyer would let this go to a jury. it might make it into a civil court ... but the legal argument would be the same. "Your honor, my client (Uber and its driver) was driving exactly as the situation demanded---7 mph below the speed limit in fact.

"There was no negligence whatsoever. the safety driver is there in case it looks like the Uber is about to make a mistake---but in this instance, the Uber was proceeding down its lane of travel at an appropriate speed---a lower speed, in fact than any of us would likely have been driving (at which point I would bring in radar-results of speeds sampled over several days, proving that (as would be expected) most human drivers were between 40 and 50 mph through that stretch of road)---and simply had no time to react to a person moving abruptly out of the shadows and crossing the road illegally.

"The driver has no reason to expect such behavior, because such behavior is illegal, and in fact, put my client at extreme risk. had the driver Tried to avoid the homeless, drug-addled pedestrian, she might well have lost control and injured herself---or worse.

"We are all sorry for the deceased, but the fact remains that she has No Legal Right to be there and shouldn't have been, and her negligence put both herself and my client in peril.

"Holding my client answerable for the illegal and dangerous actions of another is simply unconscionable--it would be a mockery of justice."

Anyone who has ever hit a deer or any other animal at night knows how it is. As prepared as you might be for what you expect to happen, you cannot (by definition) expect the unexpected.

If people always had to drive as though at any moment anyone could suddenly run across the roadway or swerve from one lane to another, every trip would take six times as long. We could never drive more than 20 mph, and never get withing two car-lengths of another car--and would have to use only two lanes of three-lane roads, of one lane of two-lane roads.

A good lawyer would make everyone in that jury box picture him- or herself rolling down that same stretch of road---and most of them would be doing 55, particularly at that time of night, and they'd know it---and having some homeless drug addict stumble out of the dark into their paths.

"Imagine never holding your children again---never going to their high-school games or graduations or their weddings---never holding your grandchildren---because you were jailed because some homeless drug addict darted in front of your car late at night, while crossing the road Illegally in the darkest spot possible."

You want the other end of that argument?
I wouldn't exclude a large settlement.

First of all, it is not legal to run over people no matter whether one thinks they have the right-of-way or not.

And, it is quite possible that the prosecutors will be able to demonstrate that both Google/Waymo, as well as alert human drivers would have been able to stop. With the NHTSA investigation, this may well be the most analyzed and documented incident with a "homeless" person being run over ever.

Has it been confirmed that she was actually homeless? Or did the Tempe police just consider all cyclists carrying shopping bags homeless?

The prosecutors will likely argue against a double standard, and that all human lives should be treated equal whether one is down in the doldrums, or king of the world.

Jaywalking is an issue, and the city of Tempe may have liability due to both bringing Uber in with limited oversight, as well as creating a crossing, then posting it as "do not use".

At worst, one might give the Elaine Herzberg 50% liability, and Uber 50% liability. However, with a death, all that gets tossed out the window... and say there was a $5 Million settlement with 50% being $2.5 Million.

It is hard to say. Uber has made "mistakes" such as apparently dropping from 2 drivers to 1 driver prematurely. Or, not developing equipment interfaces that could be done while maintaining eyes on the road.
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Old 03-26-18, 03:09 PM
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Originally Posted by noisebeam
I missed the new video showing what Elaine was doing before her shoes became visible in the previously release video. Please re-share.
Originally Posted by noisebeam
Having been in the area many time at night I have no idea why Elaine did not see the approaching AV. Its headlights would be visible for a long time coming. Or why when it was very obviously coming she didn't pause before crossing the lane it was in.
See the video embedded in this link:
https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/03...nt-believe-it/

It doesn't show Elaine, but does demonstrate that she should have been clearly visible with at least a moderate quality video camera system. Early in the clip, there are several pedestrians visible wearing both light and dark clothing, but of course, under different lights.

We need a "local" to really tell us what a human driving with low beams could discern, but this doesn't appear to be a dark alley.

Originally Posted by prathmann
Except the speed limit signs there say 45 mph.
See the video above.

Traveling over what appears to be a bridge or overpass at the beginning of the clip is a 35 MPH speed limit sign. I don't see any signs that override that.
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Old 03-26-18, 03:28 PM
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Originally Posted by CliffordK
See the video embedded in this link:
https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/03...nt-believe-it/

It doesn't show Elaine, but does demonstrate that she should have been clearly visible with at least a moderate quality video camera system. Early in the clip, there are several pedestrians visible wearing both light and dark clothing, but of course, under different lights.

We need a "local" to really tell us what a human driving with low beams could discern, but this doesn't appear to be a dark alley.

See the video above.

Traveling over what appears to be a bridge or overpass at the beginning of the clip is a 35 MPH speed limit sign. I don't see any signs that override that.
How can you say anyone should have been visible if it isn't even known where they were? People are posting that she was on the median and stepped out from behind a bush? How is this known?
I assure you it is a 45mph zone. It has been every time I've cycled under the freeway there including on Sat.
I thought based on recent discussion there was new data made available as to where Elaine was and when she should have been sensed, but if the same as last week there is nothing new here.

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Old 03-26-18, 03:55 PM
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Originally Posted by noisebeam
I thought based on recent discussion there was new data made available as to where Elaine was and when she should have been sensed, but if the same as last week there is nothing new here.
No it is about the fourth generation of recycling ... people join the thread but don't read it and hash out all the stuff which was settles a week ago.

I am waiting for some new info .... not much can be done meanwhile ... except what everyone else is doing ... no thanks.
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Old 03-26-18, 03:57 PM
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Probably not the first homeless person run over as she crossed a road in the dark (pushing a bike laden with assorted desideratum) who suddenly emerged from the shadows and into the path of an oncoming automobile but apparently the first known pedestrian to have been killed by a self-driving car. I cannot tell from reading the responses whether some seem to expect more or less of a "self-driving car" but, it's a good thing Trump wasn't behind the wheel or they would be calls for a lynching.
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Old 03-26-18, 04:02 PM
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Originally Posted by noisebeam
How can you say anyone should have been visible if it isn't even known where they were? People are posting that she was on the median and stepped out from behind a bush? How is this known?
I assure you it is a 45mph zone. It has been every time I've cycled under the freeway there including on Sat.
I thought based on recent discussion there was new data made available as to where Elaine was and when she should have been sensed, but if the same as last week there is nothing new here.
She was hit in the right most lane. She crossed the highway from the left side. She had to cross 3 lanes to the left to get there. She didn't appear to be rushing in the video.

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Old 03-26-18, 04:18 PM
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Originally Posted by CliffordK
See the video above.

Traveling over what appears to be a bridge or overpass at the beginning of the clip is a 35 MPH speed limit sign. I don't see any signs that override that.
Relying on the video to see or read signs is a mistake.

You can use Google Street View to look for signs.

There's a 35 mph sign at the start of the bridge that crosses a river/canal.

At the end of the bridge, before a highway overpass, there's a 45 mph sign.

There's another 45 mph sign north of E. Curry Road.

The collision occurred in a 45 mph zone.
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Old 03-26-18, 04:39 PM
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Originally Posted by McBTC
...who suddenly emerged from the shadows and into the path of an oncoming automobile ...
Except, this didn't appear to have happened.

She had to cross three lanes of highway before reaching the right lane where she was hit.

The video from the car might not be a reasonable representation of what a human would be able to see.

The video certainly doesn't represent what the car is able to see.

Originally Posted by McBTC
I cannot tell from reading the responses whether some seem to expect more or less of a "self-driving car"...
There isn't much excuse for a self-driving car to have missed somebody crossing (not very quickly) three lanes.

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Old 03-26-18, 04:41 PM
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Originally Posted by CliffordK
Google/Waymo may have received more data about the collision than has been made public, and spent some time evaluating the scenario to conclude that their car would not have killed the pedestrian. Perhaps even driving on the same street.
Why would Google/Waymo be given the data gathered by the Uber vehicle to evaluate? Who do you think provided it to them -Uber, NHSTA, or perhaps another "exclusive" from the Tempe police chief
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Old 03-26-18, 04:51 PM
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Originally Posted by CliffordK
I wouldn't exclude a large settlement.
Any financial settlement for the victim may be tempered by the case (if it is true) that she was 59 YO and homeless, and presumably with little likelihood of much future income. May not be fair but often future earning potential is often considered in such cases.
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Old 03-26-18, 04:53 PM
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Any financial settlement for the victim may be tempered by the case (if it is true) that she was 59 YO and homeless, and presumably with little likelihood of much future income. May not be fair but often future earning potential is often considered in such cases.
49 years old.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/21/uber...ase-video.html
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Old 03-26-18, 04:53 PM
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Originally Posted by noisebeam
How can you say anyone should have been visible if it isn't even known where they were? People are posting that she was on the median and stepped out from behind a bush? How is this known?
Because they made it up, or believed other people who did.
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Old 03-26-18, 05:00 PM
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Originally Posted by njkayaker
Thanks for clearing that up.

Doesn't make that much difference as far as the likely future earnings for a homeless person.
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Old 03-26-18, 05:12 PM
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Originally Posted by njkayaker
She was hit in the right most lane. She crossed the highway from the left side. She had to cross 3 lanes to the left to get there. She didn't appear to be rushing in the video.
Over the weekend there was discussion about her being in the median and stepping out from behind a bush and how the right type of sensors should have detected her even behind that bush. I was only looking for the new video or detail that this was the case. Apparently it was made up and the public at this point still has no idea what she was doing before her shoes showed up in the crappy dashcam vid.
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