Would a self driving car world make it safe for cyclists?
#2952
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I think that was known by the cavemen.
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Cyclists are safer the more separated their network is from the roads. Replacing human drivers with robots but still shoving cyclists on the same roads as them is just putting band-aids on a structural problem (not to mention self-driving cars currently still having a far worse track record than human drivers).
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/software-...213657866.html
According to this article the system recognized the woman and then ignored her because the software parameters were not set properly.
FWIW.
According to this article the system recognized the woman and then ignored her because the software parameters were not set properly.
FWIW.
#2956
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Remember about a year ago, I was obsessed about the world becoming safer for cyclists. I literally wish we had our own cycling highways. But everyday I hear more and more about safer self driving car technology. Now I don't really know how close we are till this technology is improved or perfected. I really don't know.
But if this technology did take off in say 10 years and it was proven to be 100 x safer than human driving, would that be good news for cyclists? Could we just cycle every road without any worries? Imagine what a heaven that would be for us. Just saying.
But if this technology did take off in say 10 years and it was proven to be 100 x safer than human driving, would that be good news for cyclists? Could we just cycle every road without any worries? Imagine what a heaven that would be for us. Just saying.
So the good part is,
1. there is no current regulation that says autonomous cars of any level are required to apply their automatic emergency braking to cyclists
2. Regulation that could say so are (in my estimation) over two years away,
3. The S.1885 AV-START allows each manufacturer to place 50,000 test vehicles on the public roads with zero safety requirements even for other cars, to say nothing of vulnerable road users like cyclists, pedestrians, and wheelchair drivers,
Our chief US advocate, League of American Bicyclists (LAB), has been asking state branches (for example League of Michigan Bicyclists) sign a petition asking Congress to require the AVs "to be given an eye test." This cute phrase sounds like the right thing, but it is not useful at all. For one, recent info says the Uber car did detect (i.e. see) Ms. Hertzberg and her bike, but the software was written to prevent it from acting. So eyes were not the problem. For two, one cannot measure detection on just any sensor - equipped car, because the data is not part of the public data set. Detection by radar would be on a data bus inside the radar sensor or on a bus connecting the sensor (eyes) to a data fusion and analysis box (brains). But even that data connection will most likely be proprietary, which means the Feds have to pay to get the data. With this out-of-focus request for a detection test, automakers will rightly and quickly sidestep the requirement. Whereas they do apply system activation testing for IIHS testing and for modern NCAP certifications.
Better for the LAB and us would be to ask for mandatory tests at a test track to set up a gauntlet of realistic targets (light vehicles, trucks, heavy trucks, motorcycles, pedalcycles, pedestrians, wheelchairs) and on the public data bus (perhaps OBDII, famous at least to car guys) measure whether the collision mitigation and avoidance systems activated the proper safety measures - warning, braking, attention-making, swerving, safing the interior, and finally applying maximum practicable braking as fast as possible.
So my opinion is that if AV-START passes, the AV world will be more dangerous for cyclists, not less dangerous. There will be dangerous cars on the road not restricted by any rules based on well-researched safety regulations.
MODS: apologies if I've taken even A&S off the rails here, but ... seems like one of the right places.
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Yeah ... whatever.
Unless the new regs completely protect AV manufacturers from all criminal and civil suits, and bad publicity ... cyclists needn't worry.
Unless the new regs completely protect AV manufacturers from all criminal and civil suits, and bad publicity ... cyclists needn't worry.
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Around here it is already illegal to:
- Collide with another vehicle from the rear.
- Pass within 3' of a cyclist.
- Drive in a marked bike lane.
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Agreed. I also looked at the LAB request for the 'eye test' requirement to be added to the regulations and it seemed to me to be beside the point. Looking at the amount of negative publicity and restrictions that Uber was subject to after their car hit a pedestrian should make it abundantly clear to any AV company that they need to make safety of vulnerable road users a top priority, even if those users are violating the applicable laws.
#2960
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The issue I am raising is not that there will never be regulation. It's that the Senate bill essentially ensures no interim safety regulations will exist to be imposed on road testing.
Last edited by Road Fan; 05-11-18 at 05:04 AM.
#2961
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Agreed. I also looked at the LAB request for the 'eye test' requirement to be added to the regulations and it seemed to me to be beside the point. Looking at the amount of negative publicity and restrictions that Uber was subject to after their car hit a pedestrian should make it abundantly clear to any AV company that they need to make safety of vulnerable road users a top priority, even if those users are violating the applicable laws.
As to whether public pressure will affect car/software company action significantly, I do not have confidence that companies whom are developing AVs and their software will satisfy safety as you expect, in the pre-production interim. There are peripherally relevant international standards, such as ISO 26262 and specialized standards for forward collision mitigation, and even for pedestrian protection, but they are not mandatory in the United States. Many such ISO standards are legally required in the EU market.
Car companies believe they must provide safe products, and make reasonable efforts considering technology, societal demand, regulations, and feasibility. My experience with Ford and Volvo bears this out. But we are at the edges of all of those factors. When I worked at Ford's main supplier my group used a handful of self-engineered vehicles to develop radars and other sensors and active safety systems, and we maintained a checklist of safety requirements and self-imposed safety requirements, all of which we had to meet. I'm not worried so much about the Fords, Toyotas, General Motors, and Volvos of the world. I am worried about the non-traditional auto companies and auto-related companies like Uber, Tesla, and the many startup EV companies that are out there.
As far as public pressure, a callous management attitude ("circling the wagons") can result in a reduction in safety, just as it can affect quality. Is this what we should trust? As cyclists we don't trust our fellow road users, two-wheeled or four wheeled - that's largely the motivation of A&S as a forum. Well, these drivers are also the executives, managers, engineers and technicians who may make AVs safe for cyclists.
#2962
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Not sure this has been shared explicitly
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/...driving-crash/
This article contains the story about how the Uber software may have had a bad design feature - to ignore obstacle signals that could have been created by a wispy object, like a plastic bag. Unfortunately it was Ms. Hertzberg.
I think we've briefly discussed it, but I don't think the link to this one has been shared. At least I don't see it on a quick skimming of the thread.
This article contains the story about how the Uber software may have had a bad design feature - to ignore obstacle signals that could have been created by a wispy object, like a plastic bag. Unfortunately it was Ms. Hertzberg.
I think we've briefly discussed it, but I don't think the link to this one has been shared. At least I don't see it on a quick skimming of the thread.
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Uber in fatal crash detected pedestrian but had emergency braking disabled
https://techcrunch.com/2018/05/24/ub...king-disabled/
https://techcrunch.com/2018/05/24/ub...king-disabled/
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Uber in fatal crash detected pedestrian but had emergency braking disabled
https://techcrunch.com/2018/05/24/ub...king-disabled/
https://techcrunch.com/2018/05/24/ub...king-disabled/
https://goo.gl/2C6ZCH
Perhaps some of the posters who previously bought into the Tempe police chief's haste to exonerate Uber and AZ's willingness to turn over all control of prototype testing on public streets to the likes of Uber and their ilk would care to comment.
More at https://www.citylab.com/transportati...nicate/561230/
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NTSB Preliminary Report:
https://goo.gl/2C6ZCH
Perhaps some of the posters who previously bought into the Tempe police chief's haste to exonerate Uber and AZ's willingness to turn over all control of prototype testing on public streets to the likes of Uber and their ilk would care to comment.
https://goo.gl/2C6ZCH
Perhaps some of the posters who previously bought into the Tempe police chief's haste to exonerate Uber and AZ's willingness to turn over all control of prototype testing on public streets to the likes of Uber and their ilk would care to comment.
But more than that ... the pedestrian screwed up. Just as some of us thought, she pushed her bike right into the path of an oncoming car, with working headlights, and was oblivious to it until an instant before impact.
Uber's system was definitely not ready for prime time ... but if pedestrians are going to walk in front of cars totally without looking, sooner or later they are going to get hit.
Oh and by the way ... this was denied at the start and has now been um ... Clarified ...
"Toxicology test results for the pedestrian were positive for methamphetamine and marijuana"
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An intoxicated pedestrian like an intoxicated cyclist or an intoxicated driver, is apt to make bad decisions and put him or herself in harm's way, and even to take actions which result in harm which others cannot avoid because others cannot predict the irrational behavior.
If the safety driver had been drunk, even in a self-drive car, no one would be saying "So what?" If a cyclist gets hit and it turns out the cyclist was drunk, or high on meth and marijuana, the driver of the car would bear less or no blame ---the erratic behavior of the intoxicated person, the impaired motor response, the bad judgment---would all be considered contributory factors.
And we all know this.
This is another case where once a debate starts, truth flies out the window and "winning' becomes paramount.
The reason impaired driving is a crime is because people who are impaired and impaired. Very simple. People drunk or on drugs do dangerous things.
For instance, this person walked in front of a oncoming car and apparently didn’t notice it until the car was only a few feet away.
If this had been a human driver without AI backup, said driver would have been exonerated----the driver was not behaving recklessly, and the cyclist was nearly invisible in the dark, and Was behaving recklessly.
Uber’s AI system fell down on the job---or was never up to the job,. That fact had been established Before this accident. But the fact that the pedestrian was impaired cannot be overlooked by any honest person trying Not to apportion blame, but to fully understand the situation.
By the way, a careful reading of the available information suggests Gov. Ducey made the laws lax to favor Google/Waymo, and Uber slipped in along with. There are a lot of AI car companies/ component companies with headquarters in the Phoenix area, taking advantage of the year-round clear weather. The laws were drawn up to suit the big ones (Waymo and Intel.) Everyone knew Uber was fourth-rate at best. And now … Uber, which was given a chance, is gone from Arizona.
Post Script: I know I and I think others have linked (in this thread) to many articles and reports which discuss relative disengagement rates f the various systems, which is why I say "everyone:" knew Uber was fourth-rate. In fact, they were by far the worst---the evidence was there before Uber went to Arizona, and before the laws there were signed.
If the safety driver had been drunk, even in a self-drive car, no one would be saying "So what?" If a cyclist gets hit and it turns out the cyclist was drunk, or high on meth and marijuana, the driver of the car would bear less or no blame ---the erratic behavior of the intoxicated person, the impaired motor response, the bad judgment---would all be considered contributory factors.
And we all know this.
This is another case where once a debate starts, truth flies out the window and "winning' becomes paramount.
The reason impaired driving is a crime is because people who are impaired and impaired. Very simple. People drunk or on drugs do dangerous things.
For instance, this person walked in front of a oncoming car and apparently didn’t notice it until the car was only a few feet away.
If this had been a human driver without AI backup, said driver would have been exonerated----the driver was not behaving recklessly, and the cyclist was nearly invisible in the dark, and Was behaving recklessly.
Uber’s AI system fell down on the job---or was never up to the job,. That fact had been established Before this accident. But the fact that the pedestrian was impaired cannot be overlooked by any honest person trying Not to apportion blame, but to fully understand the situation.
By the way, a careful reading of the available information suggests Gov. Ducey made the laws lax to favor Google/Waymo, and Uber slipped in along with. There are a lot of AI car companies/ component companies with headquarters in the Phoenix area, taking advantage of the year-round clear weather. The laws were drawn up to suit the big ones (Waymo and Intel.) Everyone knew Uber was fourth-rate at best. And now … Uber, which was given a chance, is gone from Arizona.
Post Script: I know I and I think others have linked (in this thread) to many articles and reports which discuss relative disengagement rates f the various systems, which is why I say "everyone:" knew Uber was fourth-rate. In fact, they were by far the worst---the evidence was there before Uber went to Arizona, and before the laws there were signed.
Last edited by Maelochs; 05-27-18 at 04:10 AM.
#2968
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More importantly, in your quest to heap all blame and fault on the unfortunate dead victim, just like the Tempe police chief and other Silicon Valley apologists, is your lack of focus on the significant issue: the AZ governor's lack of concern for the safety of the people being exposed to his unholy alliance with Uber and other techno-whizs given free reign to use public roads to test their prototypes.
To rebut your incorrect "by the way" nonsense above, see https://www.theguardian.com/technolo...nor-doug-ducey
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More on "business friendly" (especially Uber friendly) Arizona Governor Ducey. https://www.azcentral.com/story/opin...ace/639118002/
In August 2015, Ducey signed an executive order aimed at luring Uber out of California, one that permitted self-driving cars to be tested on Arizona's streets.
In December 2016, he crowed over Uber’s decision to test hundreds of its driverless cars in Arizona “due to California’s burdensome regulations."
“Arizona welcomes Uber self-driving cars with open arms and wide-open streets,” Ducey said at the time. “While California puts the brakes on innovation and change with more bureaucracy and more regulation, Arizona is paving the way for new technology and new businesses.”
In August 2015, Ducey signed an executive order aimed at luring Uber out of California, one that permitted self-driving cars to be tested on Arizona's streets.
In December 2016, he crowed over Uber’s decision to test hundreds of its driverless cars in Arizona “due to California’s burdensome regulations."
“Arizona welcomes Uber self-driving cars with open arms and wide-open streets,” Ducey said at the time. “While California puts the brakes on innovation and change with more bureaucracy and more regulation, Arizona is paving the way for new technology and new businesses.”
#2970
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read ALL the articles ... and also, Uber played for a lot o fpublixcity and tried hard to get involved in AZ politics ... Ducey let them in a little, then shut them out.
And yes, Every government does a rpess release or a press event to welcome new business .... makes the politician look like he is getting things done.
Read ALL the articles and you might come to the conclusion that Intel (which has a factory in nearby Carson, where Waymos started its testing) and Waymo were the firms Ducey was playing to ... Not Uber, which already had a terrible record in California.
In fact, the signing of the March 1 bill to allow driverless testing just happened to coincide with Waymo being ready to start testing its driverless cars on the road in Carson.
And yes, Every government does a rpess release or a press event to welcome new business .... makes the politician look like he is getting things done.
Read ALL the articles and you might come to the conclusion that Intel (which has a factory in nearby Carson, where Waymos started its testing) and Waymo were the firms Ducey was playing to ... Not Uber, which already had a terrible record in California.
In fact, the signing of the March 1 bill to allow driverless testing just happened to coincide with Waymo being ready to start testing its driverless cars on the road in Carson.
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Silly.
If u really want safer conditions for the cyclist push for some kind of barrier system and follow the rules.. I think a concrete barrier would be best..all the millions and billions spent could be spent on this and public transit..self driving is bull sh*t. There is still the massive problem of pollution both in driving a car and the manufacture of the car and roads. Only when the last breath of air is gone will "intelligent" humans understand.....
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From: https://www.drugabuse.gov/publicatio...rugged-driving
It is difficult to determine how specific drugs affect driving because people tend to mix various substances, including alcohol. But we do know that even small amounts of some drugs can have a measurable effect. As a result, some states have zero-tolerance laws for drugged driving. This means a person can face charges for driving under the influence (DUI) if there is any amount of drug in the blood or urine.
So in some states, if the woman had been operating a motor vehicle, she would have been charged with DUI regardless of her blood level, and regardless of who was at fault in the accident.
From: https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api...ication/812231
Drivers are considered to be alcohol-impaired when their blood alcohol concentrations (BACs) are .08 grams per deciliter (g/dL) or higher. Thus, any fatal crash involving a driver with a BAC of .08 g/dL or higher is considered to be an alcohol-impaired-driving crash, and fatalities occurring in those crashes are considered to be alcohol-impaired-driving fatalities. The term "driver" refers to the operator of any motor vehicle, including a motorcycle.
Suppose you were minding your own business driving down the street at the speed limit, and some fool ran a stop sign at a cross street and hit you. If you happened to have 0.08g/dL alcohol in your blood, you could be arrested for DUI, and this accident would be classified as an "alcohol-impaired-driving crash", even though alcohol had nothing whatsoever to do with the cause.
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This means a person can face charges for driving under the influence (DUI) if there is any amount of drug in the blood or urine.
So in some states, if the woman had been operating a motor vehicle, she would have been charged with DUI regardless of her blood level, and regardless of who was at fault in the accident.
So in some states, if the woman had been operating a motor vehicle, she would have been charged with DUI regardless of her blood level, and regardless of who was at fault in the accident.
But she wasn't riding a flying pig, nor driving a motor vehicle so the presence of meth and/or weed in her bloodstream is a red herring for those looking to divert attention from the near criminal indifference to public safety by Uber, Tempe police chief, and Az government officials.
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#2974
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Here's something more USEFUL for this topic...
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If Uber thought their software could respond appropriately to the situation that killed the cyclist, they would have had it do that. They didn't think it would work in a significant number of situations.