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Would a self driving car world make it safe for cyclists?

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Would a self driving car world make it safe for cyclists?

Old 06-15-17, 02:31 PM
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Originally Posted by coominya
I'd just like to see a Laptop that doesn't glitch up or crash every week or two.
Mine doesn't. Neither does my wife's. When I did hardware support I would routinely come across PC's and laptops with 3% CPU availability with 13 open applications running (not running). Don't do that.
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Old 06-15-17, 02:39 PM
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Originally Posted by coominya
40 million Americans doubt the moon landings ever occurred, out of them 20 million deny they ever did. How could there be such a level of delusion in a modern western society? I see the same blind belief in driverless technology. A blind, almost religious belief, that these technologies can save us from the diminishing returns of technologies. Any rational discussion on it is shouted down and those skeptical are treated like hairy monks in caves.
Only you could take a near perfect setup to argue for a more rational tone to the discussion and twist it to support the contrarion argument. Well done, sir! Not. The roads thing is a thing. That hasn't gotten so much press of late because... well because we are supposed to be doing quite well fiscally according to all the data. Still there are municipalities that are poisoning their citizens and destroying their roads and laying off the entire law enforcement corps in the name of insolvency. You will note that the officials of those cities themselves are never actually indigent. Give up. You have failed. The driverless cars are here and they will make MUCH better road companions for vehicular cyclists than human driven cars. Do you really have a problem with that?
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Old 06-15-17, 03:22 PM
  #178  
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Originally Posted by coominya
I see the same blind belief in driverless technology.
It's not blind. We see the current rate of progress in that area and extrapolate. You can claim we don't extrapolate well, but that's just a blind guess on your part.
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Old 06-15-17, 03:33 PM
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I feel this topic has gone the way of most in our society today.

1/3 have already formed a hard opinion pro Autonomous vehicles, 1/3 against. No matter what is said those 2/3s are set on there opinions.
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Old 06-15-17, 04:19 PM
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Originally Posted by tyrion
It's not blind. We see the current rate of progress in that area and extrapolate. You can claim we don't extrapolate well, but that's just a blind guess on your part.
If progress of a practical application of the current technology is measured by how much money is spent on it, progress is indeed being made on driverless cars being fielded onto the nation's highways. Otherwise, not so much.
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Old 06-15-17, 04:55 PM
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
If progress of a practical application of the current technology is measured by how much money is spent on it, progress is indeed being made on driverless cars being fielded onto the nation's highways. Otherwise, not so much.
Money fuels progress but isn't a valid measure of it. The real world application of technology (millions of miles logged by self driving cars, etc.) is a better yardstick.
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Old 06-15-17, 07:08 PM
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Originally Posted by tyrion
Money fuels progress but isn't a valid measure of it. The real world application of technology (millions of miles logged by self driving cars, etc.) is a better yardstick.
+ 1, Many people WILL be killed by driverless cars before they actually become practical/mainstream... So what... Lets say 10,000 people die in the next few years, before it's "figured" out, but, for the next 3 years, (about 40,000 die every year in N America today from humans driving) and everything goes "smoothly" from then on, (nobody else dies, well a few every year from glitches)... And under normal conditions, and, sure it can also be hacked, so what, it's murder by the hacker, (you line them up against the wall and shoot them)...

https://www.driverless-future.com/?page_id=774

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Old 06-15-17, 07:13 PM
  #183  
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Anyway, back on topic.

Why Driverless Cars Will Screech to a Hal
t

Why Driverless Cars Will Screech to a Stop | Observer

Excerpts...
Think about it: Every driver makes hundreds of daily driving decisions that, strictly speaking, break driving laws (for example, crossing the yellow line to pull around a double-parked vehicle). It all works out fine because of something called “human judgment.” But what company is going to program its driverless cars to break the law? And what regulators will approve that product, knowing that it has been programmed to break the law?

Will insurance policies for driverless cars cover the car itself? Or will they cover the owner of the vehicle? Or perhaps the technology company that controls the car’s routes? Who will be responsible if there is an accident? ...

It’s clear that Uber and some of the other companies are professional carnival barkers engaged in an amazingly brash self-driving con. The media eats this stuff up. Left out of the reportage often are some of the other companies developing these technologies, that are a bit more honest about the prospects for success. Bradley Stertz, corporate communications manager for Audi, says a fully automated vehicle with no driver is still 20 or 30 years away. “To have the car understand every single possibility is a massive challenge,” he says.

Government regulators at both the federal and state levels have been rightly insisting that the companies go slow with their development. By now it should be apparent to all that Silicon Valley, like Wall Street banksters and gamblers, has no scruples or principles about rolling the dice with the public’s welfare. Whether the company is Airbnb, or Uber, with its pirate mentality of breaking laws and evading taxes, or Google, stashing its mountain of cash in offshore, overseas tax havens, the Silicon Way is to “just do it”—and apologize later.

As a step toward fully autonomous self-driving vehicles, some of these companies are hoping to incorporate individual components into existing cars. Increasingly some of the luxury autos will have semi-autonomous features that allow the vehicle to accelerate, brake and steer a course with limited driver interaction. But that’s still a long way, fortunately, from a fully autonomous vehicle.
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Old 06-15-17, 07:58 PM
  #184  
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Originally Posted by coominya
Anyway, back on topic.

Why Driverless Cars Will Screech to a Hal
t

Why Driverless Cars Will Screech to a Stop | Observer

Excerpts...
Think about it: Every driver makes hundreds of daily driving decisions that, strictly speaking, break driving laws (for example, crossing the yellow line to pull around a double-parked vehicle). It all works out fine because of something called “human judgment.” But what company is going to program its driverless cars to break the law? And what regulators will approve that product, knowing that it has been programmed to break the law?

Will insurance policies for driverless cars cover the car itself? Or will they cover the owner of the vehicle? Or perhaps the technology company that controls the car’s routes? Who will be responsible if there is an accident? ...

It’s clear that Uber and some of the other companies are professional carnival barkers engaged in an amazingly brash self-driving con. The media eats this stuff up. Left out of the reportage often are some of the other companies developing these technologies, that are a bit more honest about the prospects for success. Bradley Stertz, corporate communications manager for Audi, says a fully automated vehicle with no driver is still 20 or 30 years away. “To have the car understand every single possibility is a massive challenge,” he says.

Government regulators at both the federal and state levels have been rightly insisting that the companies go slow with their development. By now it should be apparent to all that Silicon Valley, like Wall Street banksters and gamblers, has no scruples or principles about rolling the dice with the public’s welfare. Whether the company is Airbnb, or Uber, with its pirate mentality of breaking laws and evading taxes, or Google, stashing its mountain of cash in offshore, overseas tax havens, the Silicon Way is to “just do it”—and apologize later.

As a step toward fully autonomous self-driving vehicles, some of these companies are hoping to incorporate individual components into existing cars. Increasingly some of the luxury autos will have semi-autonomous features that allow the vehicle to accelerate, brake and steer a course with limited driver interaction. But that’s still a long way, fortunately, from a fully autonomous vehicle.
Why is it I feel that these are the comments of a buggy whip manufacturer after observing the first "horseless carriage."
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Old 06-15-17, 09:40 PM
  #185  
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Originally Posted by coominya
Think about it: Every driver makes hundreds of daily driving decisions that, strictly speaking, break driving laws (for example, crossing the yellow line to pull around a double-parked vehicle). It all works out fine because of something called “human judgment.” But what company is going to program its driverless cars to break the law? And what regulators will approve that product, knowing that it has been programmed to break the law?
Many US states already have explicit exceptions to the double-yellow 'no passing' rules for situations such as stopped vehicles, other obstructions, or slow-moving traffic (incl. bicycles) which allow for crossing the center-line and passing when it can be done safely. Of course if the driver (or computer) misjudges the 'safely' part then they would be at fault. Unfortunately when such a modification to the vehicle code in California was passed a few years ago our governor decided to veto it. But I'd expect the companies developing autonomous cars to identify such problem areas in the vehicle code as their software developers encounter them and lobby for appropriate changes to the codes.
Originally Posted by coominya
Will insurance policies for driverless cars cover the car itself? Or will they cover the owner of the vehicle? Or perhaps the technology company that controls the car’s routes? Who will be responsible if there is an accident? ...
Basically the same thing that happens now when courts are called upon to determine who was primarily at fault and whether there was contributory fault by others. (I.e. it might be one of the drivers but could also be a design defect of a vehicle, or of the road design, or an unavoidable 'act of nature'.) But I'd expect the autonomous cars to record the details of exactly what led up to the incident and thereby make that determination much clearer.
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Old 06-16-17, 09:05 AM
  #186  
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Originally Posted by prathmann
But I'd expect the autonomous cars to record the details of exactly what led up to the incident and thereby make that determination much clearer.
Sure, you could count on Uber and the like to program the recording software so that the details indicate that they are NEVER at fault. Maybe they can hire the engineers from VW who worked on emission controls software for this task.

Ever wonder why Google can determine that their test cars are NEVER the cause of any accidents?
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Old 06-16-17, 09:12 AM
  #187  
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Originally Posted by genec
Why is it I feel that these are the comments of a buggy whip manufacturer after observing the first "horseless carriage."
The buggy whip manufacturers saw a product that actually worked on the public highways, not just a dreamy vision promoted by speculators with a lot of money to throw around.
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Old 06-16-17, 09:30 AM
  #188  
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Sure, you could count on Uber and the like to program the recording software so that the details indicate that they are NEVER at fault. Maybe they can hire the engineers from VW who worked on emission controls software for this task.

Ever wonder why Google can determine that their test cars are NEVER the cause of any accidents?

Because its quite simple.

Humans cause the incidents.
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Old 06-16-17, 11:36 AM
  #189  
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
The buggy whip manufacturers saw a product that actually worked on the public highways, not just a dreamy vision promoted by speculators with a lot of money to throw around.
Yeah, "worked" as in manages to kill about 40,000 folks a year.

Apparently the first auto collision in The US was with a cyclist. NYC's First Car Accident In 1896 Involved A Bicycle : Gothamist
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Old 06-16-17, 11:36 AM
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Originally Posted by PoorBob
Because its quite simple.

Humans cause the incidents.
Oh you mean like the humans that write and program the software and humans that write the procedures to interpret and react to the data gathered?

Good thing, eh, that the unbiased speculators and promoters/salesmen have hired all the angels that can fit in their HQ's to perfect the foolproof software that enable them to foist their dreamy safety vehicles on the public.
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Old 06-16-17, 11:40 AM
  #191  
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Sure, you could count on Uber and the like to program the recording software so that the details indicate that they are NEVER at fault. Maybe they can hire the engineers from VW who worked on emission controls software for this task.

Ever wonder why Google can determine that their test cars are NEVER the cause of any accidents?
Actually Google admits one of their vehicles did cause a collision...

https://www.theverge.com/2016/2/29/1...r-crash-report

So much for your assumption.
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Old 06-16-17, 11:50 AM
  #192  
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Originally Posted by genec
Yeah, "worked" as in manages to kill about 40,000 folks a year.

Apparently the first auto collision in The US was with a cyclist. NYC's First Car Accident In 1896 Involved A Bicycle : Gothamist
Just think in an imaginary world where you and a few other BF posters prefer to dwell...
when robots do all of society's work, no more work related injuries or fatalities!

when robots do all the work at home, no more injuries or fatalities from doing work or projects at except for falling out of a hammock while taking a nap.

best of all when Virtual Reality devices are perfected there will be no reason for people to travel anywhere, everything worthwhile can be experienced at home and there will be no more need for human transportation and its associated costs!
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Old 06-16-17, 12:13 PM
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Originally Posted by genec
Why is it I feel that these are the comments of a buggy whip manufacturer after observing the first "horseless carriage."
FYI
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/07/t...hallenges.html
"In the minds of many in Silicon Valley and in the auto industry, it is inevitable that cars will eventually drive themselves. It is simply a matter of how long it will take for the technology to be reliably safe.

But as indicated by Google’s challenges with the so-called handoff between machines and humans — not to mention Uber’s problems during recent tests on the streets of San Francisco — there is a lot more work to be done before self-driving cars are ready for the mainstream. Here are some of the challenges facing technologists."
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Old 06-16-17, 12:35 PM
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Sure, you could count on Uber and the like to program the recording software so that the details indicate that they are NEVER at fault. Maybe they can hire the engineers from VW who worked on emission controls software for this task.
Yes, that worked out so nicely for VW.
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Old 06-16-17, 01:25 PM
  #195  
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
FYI
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/07/t...hallenges.html
"In the minds of many in Silicon Valley and in the auto industry, it is inevitable that cars will eventually drive themselves. It is simply a matter of how long it will take for the technology to be reliably safe.

But as indicated by Google’s challenges with the so-called handoff between machines and humans — not to mention Uber’s problems during recent tests on the streets of San Francisco — there is a lot more work to be done before self-driving cars are ready for the mainstream. Here are some of the challenges facing technologists."
I really have to laugh at that article... let me know when humans have managed accomplish all those items listed. All self diving cars have to do is have a better safety record than human drivers.
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Old 06-16-17, 01:26 PM
  #196  
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Just think in an imaginary world where you and a few other BF posters prefer to dwell...
when robots do all of society's work, no more work related injuries or fatalities!

when robots do all the work at home, no more injuries or fatalities from doing work or projects at except for falling out of a hammock while taking a nap.

best of all when Virtual Reality devices are perfected there will be no reason for people to travel anywhere, everything worthwhile can be experienced at home and there will be no more need for human transportation and its associated costs!
Exaggerate much?
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Old 06-16-17, 04:16 PM
  #197  
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Just think in an imaginary world where you and a few other BF posters prefer to dwell...
when robots do all of society's work, no more work related injuries or fatalities!

when robots do all the work at home, no more injuries or fatalities from doing work or projects at except for falling out of a hammock while taking a nap.

best of all when Virtual Reality devices are perfected there will be no reason for people to travel anywhere, everything worthwhile can be experienced at home and there will be no more need for human transportation and its associated costs!
The sci-fi short story was called "With Folded Hands".

Written 70 years ago. I read it when I was in my teens, easily 50 years ago, during my "sci-fi reading craze". Never forgot it. Even a half century later I can still remember the ending with perfect clarity. Better than what I remember what I had for breakfast yesterday. Even back then that story was scary as hell.

That said, I can't wait for the autonomous car to take over the roadways, and the driving chores. I'd feel much safer on my bike out there with the mechanical beasts minus their human conductors.

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Old 06-16-17, 09:35 PM
  #198  
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Originally Posted by genec
Exaggerate much?
I am not the one exaggerating the super-duper safety future of American roads extrapolated from the wishful thinking/sales pitch/hucksterism of the promoters of autonomous driverless vehicles.
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Old 06-17-17, 11:30 AM
  #199  
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Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
I am not the one exaggerating the super-duper safety future of American roads extrapolated from the wishful thinking/sales pitch/hucksterism of the promoters of autonomous driverless vehicles.
We will just never know until it does happen... in the meantime, there are a number of well respected companies working on this tech, so hardly a issue of hucksters. And no matter what, the technology HAS resulted in collision avoidance systems for even human piloted vehicles.

Only time will tell.
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Old 06-17-17, 04:00 PM
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Originally Posted by Daniel4
Why is bad driving an acceptable norm?
What a silly statement? What will you suggest next, that husbands and wives be replaced by robot spouses so people are not in danger of domestic violence? Shall we replace pushbikes with electric bikes because people are injuring their knees and hips and having heart attacks by riding too strenuously?
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