Go Back  Bike Forums > Bike Forums > Advocacy & Safety
Reload this Page >

Would a self driving car world make it safe for cyclists?

Notices
Advocacy & Safety Cyclists should expect and demand safe accommodation on every public road, just as do all other users. Discuss your bicycle advocacy and safety concerns here.

Would a self driving car world make it safe for cyclists?

Old 03-22-18, 12:29 PM
  #2401  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by robertorolfo
The observer is of course an afterthought, as she was clearly looking at her phone,...
The observer was a guy.

Last edited by njkayaker; 03-22-18 at 12:55 PM.
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:38 PM
  #2402  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
The video:

1- there's a car breaking in the distance.
2- her shoes are visible at about 1/4-1/3 into the right lane.
3- The bicycle wheels and her lower legs are visible soon after.
3- Her head is identifiable about 1/2 of the right lane.
4- At around 3/4 across the right lane she turns her head towards the car (before that, it appears she was looking forward).
5- She's on the right side of the bicycle holding something white (a bag?) in her right hand.
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:39 PM
  #2403  
Senior Member
 
squirtdad's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: San Jose (Willow Glen) Ca
Posts: 9,673

Bikes: Kirk Custom JK Special, '84 Team Miyata,(dura ace old school) 80?? SR Semi-Pro 600 Arabesque

Mentioned: 103 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2209 Post(s)
Liked 2,567 Times in 1,406 Posts
some outside "experts" suggest AV should have been able to detect the person killed. ???


https://www.yahoo.com/tech/police-re...232906380.html
__________________
Life is too short not to ride the best bike you have, as much as you can
(looking for Torpado Super light frame/fork or for Raleigh International frame fork 58cm)



squirtdad is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:42 PM
  #2404  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by squirtdad
some outside "experts" suggest AV should have been able to detect the person killed. ???
Sure. There doesn't seem any reason it shouldn't have been able to.

The video does not necessarily show what a human could have seen.
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:43 PM
  #2405  
Senior Member
 
CliffordK's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Eugene, Oregon, USA
Posts: 27,588
Mentioned: 217 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 18056 Post(s)
Liked 4,363 Times in 3,260 Posts
Originally Posted by njkayaker
There were three points of failure:

1- the pedestrian didn't yield nor did she appear to be looking.

1- The pedestrian has a requirement (practical and legal) to take due care. She was at risk by her own actions whatever the vehicle was.
Part of the problem is becoming "trapped"

It is a common type of accident when one is in the middle of an intersection when the light changes.

In this case, the woman may well have started walking across the street 1/4 mile in front of the vehicle. At which point, there is an expectation that the oncoming vehicle will slow down or stop. Looking away from the vehicle, there is a greater expectation that the vehicle will yield, at least in theory, except when they don't.
CliffordK is online now  
Old 03-22-18, 12:44 PM
  #2406  
Been Around Awhile
 
I-Like-To-Bike's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Burlington Iowa
Posts: 29,851

Bikes: Vaterland and Ragazzi

Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 12 Post(s)
Liked 1,454 Times in 985 Posts
Originally Posted by njkayaker
The video:

1- there's a car breaking in the distance.
2- her shoes are visible at about 1/4-1/3 into the right lane.
3- The bicycle wheels and her lower legs are visible soon after.
3- Her head is identifiable about 1/2 of the right lane.
4- At around 3/4 across the right lane she turns her head towards the car (before that, it appears she was looking forward).
5- She's on the right side of the bicycle holding something white (a bag?) in her right hand.
The dash cam doesn't show too much as it is obviously a POS device, or that is what the released video indicates, but it does show the direction the victim was walking to dispense with the notion that she suddenly emerged from a hidden location on the right side of the road making the collision unavoidable by a man or machine controlled vehicle.
I-Like-To-Bike is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:44 PM
  #2407  
Senior Member
 
squirtdad's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: San Jose (Willow Glen) Ca
Posts: 9,673

Bikes: Kirk Custom JK Special, '84 Team Miyata,(dura ace old school) 80?? SR Semi-Pro 600 Arabesque

Mentioned: 103 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2209 Post(s)
Liked 2,567 Times in 1,406 Posts
Originally Posted by njkayaker
BS.

The video doesn't show that at all.
The video clearly show the 'driver" looking down twice once for about 3 seconds and a second time, ended by the crash for about 4 seconds.

whether the driver was looking at a cell phone or something else is not clear, but what is clear is she was not paying attention for about 7 of 9 seconds before the collision
__________________
Life is too short not to ride the best bike you have, as much as you can
(looking for Torpado Super light frame/fork or for Raleigh International frame fork 58cm)



squirtdad is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:46 PM
  #2408  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
The dash cam doesn't show too much as it is obviously a POS device, ...
The video might not show everything and it might be giving a misleading impression of how visible she was but the stuff I listed appear to be fairly clear.
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:48 PM
  #2409  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by squirtdad
The video clearly show the 'driver" looking down twice once for about 3 seconds and a second time, ended by the crash for about 4 seconds.

whether the driver was looking at a cell phone or something else is not clear, but what is clear is she was not paying attention for about 7 of 9 seconds before the collision
Oops. The "driver" is a guy (I associated "she" with the victim).

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polic...232906380.html

Tempe police have identified the driver as 44-year-old Rafael Vasquez

Last edited by njkayaker; 03-22-18 at 12:54 PM.
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:54 PM
  #2410  
Been Around Awhile
 
I-Like-To-Bike's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Burlington Iowa
Posts: 29,851

Bikes: Vaterland and Ragazzi

Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 12 Post(s)
Liked 1,454 Times in 985 Posts
Originally Posted by njkayaker
The video might not show everything and it might be giving a misleading impression of how visible she was but the stuff I listed appear to be fairly clear.
True.
I-Like-To-Bike is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 12:59 PM
  #2411  
Senior Member
 
squirtdad's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: San Jose (Willow Glen) Ca
Posts: 9,673

Bikes: Kirk Custom JK Special, '84 Team Miyata,(dura ace old school) 80?? SR Semi-Pro 600 Arabesque

Mentioned: 103 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2209 Post(s)
Liked 2,567 Times in 1,406 Posts
Originally Posted by njkayaker
Oops. The "driver" is a guy (I associated "she" with the victim).

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polic...232906380.html
confusing as the driver has also been identified as Raphaela...... and the video image could support Raphael or Raphaela
__________________
Life is too short not to ride the best bike you have, as much as you can
(looking for Torpado Super light frame/fork or for Raleigh International frame fork 58cm)



squirtdad is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:01 PM
  #2412  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by CliffordK
Part of the problem is becoming "trapped"

It is a common type of accident when one is in the middle of an intersection when the light changes.

In this case, the woman may well have started walking across the street 1/4 mile in front of the vehicle. At which point, there is an expectation that the oncoming vehicle will slow down or stop.
Yes, that's possible. It doesn't preclude her not being careful enough.

It's not a great place to cross.

From around 1/4 to 3/4 of the right lane, it appears she was still looking forward (there's nothing that indicates what direction she was looking at before then).

The video:

1- there's a car breaking in the distance.
2- her shoes are visible at about 1/4-1/3 into the right lane.
3- The bicycle wheels and her lower legs are visible soon after.
3- Her head is identifiable about 1/2 of the right lane.
4- At around 3/4 across the right lane she turns her head towards the car (before that, it appears she was looking forward).
5- She's on the right side of the bicycle holding something white (a bag?) in her right hand.

Originally Posted by CliffordK
Looking away from the vehicle, there is a greater expectation that the vehicle will yield, at least in theory, except when they don't.
This doesn't seem to be anything more than a guess.

Last edited by njkayaker; 03-22-18 at 01:08 PM.
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:02 PM
  #2413  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 4,526
Mentioned: 34 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2109 Post(s)
Liked 662 Times in 442 Posts
Originally Posted by njkayaker
Oops. The "driver" is a guy (I associated "she" with the victim).
The safety driver is a woman, Rafaela Vasquez, and prefers the pronouns she/her/hers.

-mr. bill
mr_bill is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:12 PM
  #2414  
Senior Member
 
KD5NRH's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Stephenville TX
Posts: 3,697

Bikes: 2010 Trek 7100

Mentioned: 6 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 697 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 2 Times in 2 Posts
Originally Posted by GrainBrain
Wearing a dark black shirt
Well, it's hard to find light black shirts.
KD5NRH is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:13 PM
  #2415  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by mr_bill
The safety driver is a woman, Rafaela Vasquez, and prefers the pronouns she/her/hers.

-mr. bill
Felon who was at wheel of killer self-driving Uber car | Daily Mail Online
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:18 PM
  #2416  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 5,769
Mentioned: 25 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2334 Post(s)
Liked 631 Times in 454 Posts
Originally Posted by Maelochs
Of course, the video camera was only recording---the AV was relying on other sensors.
Of course. THIS, people! Do you all really think the test car was relying on a $19.99 dash cam to do the good work of navigating tens of thousands of dollars and thousands of pounds of test vehicle and human test pilot through dark city streets! Do you? Of course it had other sensors. And likely they detected the jaywalker. And? What? Pointlessly apply the brakes and possibly make things worse? The jaywalker was doomed. The computer knew it. The computer was not programmed for pointless responses! This will be hard for human forensics experts to fathom WHEN this happens again.

I have a cousin who lived for decades in a semi-vegetative state after a collision at night at age 27. He cost us at least $20M in medical expenses and I am not saying it wasn't worth it. I know it wasn't worth it. Had he been able to, he would have said it wasn't worth it either. I knew him well. Top Gun type. Man of action. Smart, funny, active. No way he wanted to exist for 22 years on a hospital gurney with tubes everywhere. I doubt that deer that got bumped at 15mph lived all that well afterward. Or for long.

A human driver wouldn't even be charged in an accident like this. In fact it is a certainty that on the very night this woman was killed at least two other Americans met their demise in exactly the same way except because the drivers were human the non-story failed to make even the local news.
Leisesturm is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:21 PM
  #2417  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 5,769
Mentioned: 25 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2334 Post(s)
Liked 631 Times in 454 Posts
Originally Posted by KD5NRH
"May not?" I have yet to find one that shows even a quarter of what's visible to normal sight unless it has an actual low-light mode.
And ... IDK ... you don't think it likely that a vehicle expected to operate in darkness would have such a mode for its camera(s)? Maybe even something approaching military spec 'night vision'? I do.
Leisesturm is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:24 PM
  #2418  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by Leisesturm
Of course. THIS, people! Do you all really think the test car was relying on a $19.99 dash cam to do the good work of navigating tens of thousands of dollars and thousands of pounds of test vehicle and human test pilot through dark city streets! Do you?
No, we don't.
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:34 PM
  #2419  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 5,769
Mentioned: 25 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2334 Post(s)
Liked 631 Times in 454 Posts
Originally Posted by AlexanderLS
The test pilots are there because this technology is still in it's infancy and needs perfecting still. There will eventually be a time when test pilots are not longer needed, the tech is not there yet.
The tech is there. WE are not there. LAWYERS are why the 'test pilots' are there and GREED is why they aren't paid better and/or vetted better so that they may actually provide some useful purpose. But it really boils down to the impossible Catch-22 that if a human test pilot could intervene then there was no emergency. In an actual emergency even a human is helpless to act fast enough as was the case here. So... no human test pilots necessary. By putting the cars on public roads at all the developers were confident enough in their ability to function optimally. Anyone who thinks this accident could be prevented believes in miracles and is beyond my reach or even my interest in convincing otherwise. There was a time when supersonic air travel was approaching routine. A single accident ended that and decades later there is still no interest in resuming supersonic air travel. There are many who even claim it is impossible. When informed that not only is it possible, it existed. They scoff. Much like many of you scoff at the idea of a computer driving an automobile at all, let alone better than a human. Yes, it is entirely possible that a single fatal accident could bring AV development to a complete halt OR at least result in several jurisdictions in the country refusing to allow their introduction into the traffic stream. Indefinitely. Humans are just that capricious.
Leisesturm is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:35 PM
  #2420  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 5,769
Mentioned: 25 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2334 Post(s)
Liked 631 Times in 454 Posts
Originally Posted by njkayaker
No, we don't.
speak for yourself.
Leisesturm is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:39 PM
  #2421  
Senior Member
 
jefnvk's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Metro Detroit/AA
Posts: 8,215

Bikes: 2016 Novara Mazama

Mentioned: 63 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 3640 Post(s)
Liked 81 Times in 51 Posts
Originally Posted by AlmostTrick
She did not walk (rather slowly) from the center line to almost the other side of the lane in one second. (four steps!) Your math is off.
She was already into the lane when her feet became visible. The camera shows enough to calculate a close enough estimate of distance, the known speed can tell you how long she had, and she didn't make it across an entire lane. Even watching the video, you can clearly see from the Youtube timer that an estimate of a second is right in the ballpark, although unfortunately the timestamp is obfuscated.

Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
Your so-called math about when the victim became visible based on the video recorded by the cheapo lo-tech dash cam used by Uber is mystifying.
The cheapo lo-tech dash cam used by Uber may not have even a fraction of the resolution or range of normal human vision.
Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
I'll take your word on that, I was just trying to be conservative at pointing out the obtuseness of those who assume that the dash cam recording provides an accurate representation of what would be visible to a human paying attention.
And it may have been. Or a driver may have had crappy eyesight. Or the foreground light she was walking behind may have been brighter and caused too much of a contrast for a drivers eye to adjust. Or a driver may have been looking to the right side of the road where the sidewalk is and not caught her in time. Or any other number of scenarios.

What-ifs can work in both directions. As I mentioned, I have been in this scenario before, where folks in dark clothes were playing in the middle of the street not in view of a streetlightat about 1am. No, people in black clothing in the middle of a dark road where you don't expect them to be, even if driving attentively, aren't always obvious.

Originally Posted by Daniel4
The vehicle was driving beyond the lights. At night with only headlights to rely on, the vehicle should have done the 2-second rule. That allows the backup system (the human operator) a chance to respond in case the primary system failed (which it did). We also know the operator wasn't paying attention, so an attention sensor should be added to make sure the backup would work.
Valid point, and it may be a consideration for the future, but again to draw this to human drivers, no one does that. According to this from NHTSA (https://www.nhtsa.gov/DOT/NHTSA/Traf...les/deadly.pdf) we'd need to set all unlit road nitetime speed limits to around 35MPH.

Originally Posted by I-Like-To-Bike
I would agree if the headlights actually were as dim to human vision as they appear in the video recorded by the cheap dash cam used by the Uber vehicle. I assume the NHSTA will investigate if the headlights were really as dim as the dash cam portrays.
Headlights are notoriously bad on many new cars, it is actually one safety feature I wish would come up to modern day par. People don't test drive cars at night, it is an easy way to cut corners on price. It wasn't even until 2016 that IIHS rated vehicles based on them: Most midsize SUV headlights are marginal or poor. XC90 is at the bottom of the "marginal" rating

Last edited by jefnvk; 03-22-18 at 01:43 PM.
jefnvk is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:40 PM
  #2422  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Far beyond the pale horizon.
Posts: 14,149
Mentioned: 31 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4157 Post(s)
Liked 1,274 Times in 882 Posts
Originally Posted by Leisesturm
speak for yourself.
I don't think anybody else made the claim.

Originally Posted by Leisesturm
There was a time when supersonic air travel was approaching routine. A single accident ended that and decades later there is still no interest in resuming supersonic air travel.
???
njkayaker is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:47 PM
  #2423  
Arizona Dessert
 
noisebeam's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: AZ
Posts: 15,030

Bikes: Cannondale SuperSix, Lemond Poprad. Retired: Jamis Sputnik, Centurion LeMans Fixed, Diamond Back ascent ex

Mentioned: 76 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 5344 Post(s)
Liked 2,169 Times in 1,288 Posts
Just out of curiosity I looked at the Strava heatmap of the area. Visible is a very faint track where some cross very near to where she did. The blue box is the intersection of Curry and Mill. The two bright yellow tracks just north and south of the lake (salt river) are MUPs
Capture heatmap.JPG
noisebeam is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 01:56 PM
  #2424  
Randomhead
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Happy Valley, Pennsylvania
Posts: 24,095
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4 Post(s)
Liked 3,415 Times in 2,341 Posts
Originally Posted by noisebeam
Just out of curiosity I looked at the Strava heatmap of the area. Visible is a very faint track where some cross very near to where she did. The blue box is the intersection of Curry and Mill. The two bright yellow tracks just north and south of the lake (salt river) are MUPs
There is a path there, you can see it just behind the car in the above aerial pic. Not sure why they decided to make a path terminate there with no crossing, it's weird.

There are no cameras with the dynamic range of human vision. Why wouldn't they be using an IR camera, that would have shown the victim just fine. I feel like this might have been a close call with a human driver in most cases. The human drivers looking at their phones would have also killed the victim, but I feel like this is not the standard which a AV should be held. I also am pretty sure there is a programming error exposed by this incident.
unterhausen is offline  
Old 03-22-18, 02:01 PM
  #2425  
Senior Member
 
jefnvk's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Metro Detroit/AA
Posts: 8,215

Bikes: 2016 Novara Mazama

Mentioned: 63 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 3640 Post(s)
Liked 81 Times in 51 Posts
Originally Posted by Leisesturm
There was a time when supersonic air travel was approaching routine. A single accident ended that and decades later there is still no interest in resuming supersonic air travel.
Uh, no. There was never a time when supersonic air travel was remotely close to routine. The immense cost of operating supersonic aircraft, the lack of profitability, the fact they were three man flight crews, that they were nearing the end of their service life and there was no immediate replacement or demand, and the operational fact they were limited to transoceanic routes already had supersonic planes on the downward spiral, the Air France crash was merely the coup de gras that did them in.

A more akin situation would be when the first Airbus fly-by-wire demonstration system crashed at an airshow in France in the 80s, we did not stop fly by wire development.
jefnvk is offline  

Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information -

Copyright © 2023 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.