Wired Magazine analysis on bike safety
#76
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In order to manage spousal fears on the dangers of cycling, I had been looking for an actuarial analysis of both sides of this issue (dangers vs health benefits).
I finally found it in Wired magazine a couple months back. They projected fatality likelihood, how it statistically shortens lives in bicycle riders as compared to car drivers/passengers. Then, they looked at the life elongating effects of the exercise of bicycling.
They're results? All things being equal, bicycling slightly improves longevity. When one factors in helmet use and controlling for safer cycling routes, the benefits of cycling far outweigh the dangers from an actuarial viewpoint.
I showed this study to my wife, to which she retorted, "Oh you think some little study is a match for my worrying power? Think again!"
Your mileage may vary.
I finally found it in Wired magazine a couple months back. They projected fatality likelihood, how it statistically shortens lives in bicycle riders as compared to car drivers/passengers. Then, they looked at the life elongating effects of the exercise of bicycling.
They're results? All things being equal, bicycling slightly improves longevity. When one factors in helmet use and controlling for safer cycling routes, the benefits of cycling far outweigh the dangers from an actuarial viewpoint.
I showed this study to my wife, to which she retorted, "Oh you think some little study is a match for my worrying power? Think again!"
Your mileage may vary.
#77
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#78
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I forgot to mention what safety is. Yes, it's not taking the reflectors off your bike, unless it's to replace them with lights. It's paying attention, and riding defensively (which ironically is sometimes riding aggressively). It's about being on the right side of the road and being seen. It's about getting more cyclists out there riding, because the more of us out there, the more we're expected to be there and the more we're seen. It's about more and better infrastructure, because separating bicycles from cars where possible only makes good sense. It isn't about over-concern with helmets or other personal protection devices as it is about avoiding collisions and negating the need for them.
What is it to you?
What is it to you?
I feel safety is about lights at night (which is the law in some states) helmets, technique, riding styles and personal habits. Respecting the fact that a person on a bike is at the mercy of the seventeen year old kid behind the wheel of the car who just got their license 2 weeks ago. To be vigilant, not to take for granted that everyone is going to give them a wide margin, or even be sober for that matter.
Safety is proper equipment for the style of riding being done. If your out free-styling on your trick bike, it's probably wise to use headgear, elbow and knee pads and the proper hand armor to protect against falls.
Safety is wearing the corny colored clothing in low light times so you can be seen by automobiles. Using a superflash tail light to be well seen. Knowing how to use clipless pedals before venturing into traffic with them on.
Even knowing what to carry on your bike for those days you blow out your tire 45 miles away from home. Experience is a great educator. I always carry a small road rash kit on all my bikes. I could go on and on, but I think you get the feel for where I'm coming from...
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#80
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The other issue that folks are glossing over is that a minor collision with "another road user" if between two motor vehicles will generally result in no harm to either party, while the same cannot be said for a cyclist colliding with a motor vehicle. Even a minor collision can result in scrapes and bruises and possibly broken bones.
It's a personal call, but I'd trade a bit of road rash for prevention of circulatory disease any day.
If some cyclists think banging the drum of fear is the best way to get people on bikes, I guess that's their issue, but when the automotive industry (that has a fatality rate twice that of cyclists per exposure hour) has done a pretty good job of selling the public on the benefits and safety of their product, I think some cycling advocates still have a thing or two to learn.
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The odds of an individual being killed by a car in the US in a given year does indeed average out to about 0.01%. But I wasn't limiting myself to a given year, but instead looking at the odds of a car being what ends their life -- in which case the odds are around 1%.
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It seems, strangely, that most everyone here and I agree on most points, except for the point that, here in safety and advocacy, the danger aspect of cycling, while actually small, is so emphasized that bicycling looks like something so death-defying I would never try it. I don't generally participate in activities where cameras are required to record people who are trying to kill me and where helmets are required because I'm going to get mangled. Luckily, I started cycling many years before I read any threads here so I know better.
All I'm saying is that I have a hard time with someone saying they are advocating an activity, which by definition is promotion, and then wants to emphasize every little thing that might be negative about it. It makes no sense to me.
All I'm saying is that I have a hard time with someone saying they are advocating an activity, which by definition is promotion, and then wants to emphasize every little thing that might be negative about it. It makes no sense to me.
#83
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...If some cyclists think banging the drum of fear is the best way to get people on bikes, I guess that's their issue, but when the automotive industry (that has a fatality rate twice that of cyclists per exposure hour) has done a pretty good job of selling the public on the benefits and safety of their product, I think some cycling advocates still have a thing or two to learn.
Yeah, we should be just like the auto industry and have advertisements with people speeding through cities on bicycles without consequence, racing snowballs down mountains. We should do product placement of carbon fiber bikes in action movies where the hero leaps over bridges and onto the roofs of moving freight trains to sell our favorite bike. All of this, again, without ever showing the consequences because, after all, we wouldn't want to bang the drum of fear and give anyone the idea that it could be dangerous to do such things.
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It's not like most drivers go "you know, I've got an hour to burn, let's go spend it driving".
I should also mention that "deaths per exposure hour" statistics I'm familiar with are poorly sourced and most of the data used used is over a decade out of date -- but overall deaths caused by motor vehicles are way down in the last few years (the number of cyclists killed is down, but the motorists deaths are down even more.)
Just for the record, I'm not saying that cycling is particularly dangerous. I'm just asking people to stop abusing this particular statistic as if it was somehow relevant or timely. And yes, I'm aware of the futility of this request.
Last edited by dougmc; 11-29-11 at 03:22 PM.
#85
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It seems, strangely, that most everyone here and I agree on most points, except for the point that, here in safety and advocacy, the danger aspect of cycling, while actually small, is so emphasized that bicycling looks like something so death-defying I would never try it. I don't generally participate in activities where cameras are required to record people who are trying to kill me and where helmets are required because I'm going to get mangled. Luckily, I started cycling many years before I read any threads here so I know better.
All I'm saying is that I have a hard time with someone saying they are advocating an activity, which by definition is promotion, and then wants to emphasize every little thing that might be negative about it. It makes no sense to me.
All I'm saying is that I have a hard time with someone saying they are advocating an activity, which by definition is promotion, and then wants to emphasize every little thing that might be negative about it. It makes no sense to me.
Look, if we took the average probability that anyone of us would have a heart attack in the next year and applied that average to each of us equally it might either scare us or give us comfort. But the reality is that each of us has our own unique individual risk. This is where statistical averages are useless. The obese smoking guy with a genetic predisposition to heart disease might be comforted by the statistic, while the heart healthy woman with low cholesterol and good genes would be freaked out.
So one individual might take statins or have to go on a diet. But another one doesn't need statins, doesn't need to go on a diet. Same thing with the camera. If you don't need it don't use it. Maybe your ride is different- ride your own ride let them ride theirs. But there are standard behaviors and protocols that can reduce every one's risk and it's worth it to know what they are- same thing with biking.
I don't put a lot of weight on statistics because there are so many variables to my riding. 1 week I may be commuting on the streets of NYC on my folder, the next week riding a 140 mile road ride on back roads in the mountains, or riding through a snow storm on the bike path in Boston on my hybrid commuter. Or in London on a bike share bike. Maybe if every time I rode I was on the same bike, at the same time of day, on the same roads, in the same weather, for the same amount of time, at the same speed my probability of accident would be more statistically measurable but that isn't how it is for me. Then maybe I could say- "oh, I don't need a helmet." or "I don't need a camera." But my rides are far less predictable. ( BTW, I don't ride with a camera on my helmet but there are certainly times I've wished I had one.)
Maybe for someone in Arizona or Southern CA, where the weather is more consistent and if you do the same commute every day or the same road ride it's hard to imagine how varied other people's rides are- but they are.
#87
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Ah! Now we may be at the "root of the issue". How do we get people jazzed about riding bikes, thereby increasing ridership, while getting them to ride safely and responsibly? Because if we use the automobile industry as the model they have succeeded wildly at the former and failed miserably at the latter (IMO).
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Ah! Now we may be at the "root of the issue". How do we get people jazzed about riding bikes, thereby increasing ridership, while getting them to ride safely and responsibly? Because if we use the automobile industry as the model they have succeeded wildly at the former and failed miserably at the latter (IMO).
You're gonna hate this answer, lol, but riding bicycles is already safer than driving. The auto industry failed miserably at safety because a 2000 pound vehicle traveling 75 mph is inherently dangerous. Moving a 20 pound vehicle at most (for most of us) 25 mph is not. While we would have to remind people to use lights and ride on the right side (left side for you Brits) of the road, we would not have the basic danger factor to deal with.
#89
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Yup, all games of statistics.
What everyone seems to be overlooking is that the bike itself offers no inherent safety... the safety of cycling is based on the skills of the rider and their ability to stay out of situations that can cause harm... this is somewhat counter to the safety of cars, which do have inherent safety features built in... from crash panels to seat belts to air bags. The other issue that folks are glossing over is that a minor collision with "another road user" if between two motor vehicles will generally result in no harm to either party, while the same cannot be said for a cyclist colliding with a motor vehicle. Even a minor collision can result in scrapes and bruises and possibly broken bones.
The bottom line is that cycling is not inherently safe... it depends highly on the skill of the operator... first to balance the bike, second, to stay out of harms way.
Yes, a motor vehicle also has some of the same skill requirements, but if for instance you put an unskilled operator in a car, the car (through various safety features) will somewhat protect even the most clueless operator.
So bottom line, cycling is not really safe... being a safe cyclist is what makes cycling safe. (yeah yeah... a touch of a semantic game...)
What everyone seems to be overlooking is that the bike itself offers no inherent safety... the safety of cycling is based on the skills of the rider and their ability to stay out of situations that can cause harm... this is somewhat counter to the safety of cars, which do have inherent safety features built in... from crash panels to seat belts to air bags. The other issue that folks are glossing over is that a minor collision with "another road user" if between two motor vehicles will generally result in no harm to either party, while the same cannot be said for a cyclist colliding with a motor vehicle. Even a minor collision can result in scrapes and bruises and possibly broken bones.
The bottom line is that cycling is not inherently safe... it depends highly on the skill of the operator... first to balance the bike, second, to stay out of harms way.
Yes, a motor vehicle also has some of the same skill requirements, but if for instance you put an unskilled operator in a car, the car (through various safety features) will somewhat protect even the most clueless operator.
So bottom line, cycling is not really safe... being a safe cyclist is what makes cycling safe. (yeah yeah... a touch of a semantic game...)
This is why I give little or no credence to the "biking is as safe as or safer than driving a car." I'm going to get on the same roads, next to a bunch of automobiles but without the benefit of thousands of pounds of glass and steel and airbags and seat belts and windshields and windshield wipers and heaters and air conditioners and loud horns and bright lights.
The vehicle I'm on requires the skill of balance, manual dexterity and strength and, depending on the distance and speed at which I intend to travel, a relatively high degree of physical fitness and, no matter how tired I may get, mental acuity. Now let's say I decide to visit family 50 miles way- a trip in the car that takes me roughly an hour. On the bike I'll be on the bike for about 3 hours. Again, if I take the same roads, obey speed limits and traffic laws I'm subject to many of the same risks but the means of conveyance of a bike has more risk simply by it's nature. To imply otherwise seems ludicrous. It's only by applying general statistics (and who gathered them? and how accurate could they possibly be?) as they apply to all cyclists, all over the world that I would conclude I am just as safe on the bike as in a car for the same trip- but it's a nice illusion to have.
#90
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You're gonna hate this answer, lol, but riding bicycles is already safer than driving. The auto industry failed miserably at safety because a 2000 pound vehicle traveling 75 mph is inherently dangerous. Moving a 20 pound vehicle at most (for most of us) 25 mph is not. While we would have to remind people to use lights and ride on the right side (left side for you Brits) of the road, we would not have the basic danger factor to deal with.
#91
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You're gonna hate this answer, lol, but riding bicycles is already safer than driving. The auto industry failed miserably at safety because a 2000 pound vehicle traveling 75 mph is inherently dangerous. Moving a 20 pound vehicle at most (for most of us) 25 mph is not. While we would have to remind people to use lights and ride on the right side (left side for you Brits) of the road, we would not have the basic danger factor to deal with.
Or to put this another way... the 75MPH you describe is likely done on a road that the cyclist is excluded from anyway. But even then, with airbags, your level of survival in a modern automobile is still quite good.
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It seems, strangely, that most everyone here and I agree on most points, except for the point that, here in safety and advocacy, the danger aspect of cycling, while actually small, is so emphasized that bicycling looks like something so death-defying I would never try it. I don't generally participate in activities where cameras are required to record people who are trying to kill me and where helmets are required because I'm going to get mangled. Luckily, I started cycling many years before I read any threads here so I know better.
All I'm saying is that I have a hard time with someone saying they are advocating an activity, which by definition is promotion, and then wants to emphasize every little thing that might be negative about it. It makes no sense to me.
All I'm saying is that I have a hard time with someone saying they are advocating an activity, which by definition is promotion, and then wants to emphasize every little thing that might be negative about it. It makes no sense to me.
On the other hand, with a motor vehicle you are protected by seat belts, crash zones, air bags, and the design of the road which also includes crash zones, guard rails, and even cement barriers that guide the vehicle back to the roadway.
Cyclists operate in an environment designed to guide and save the motor vehicle operator. The cyclist in the motoring environment is a stranger in a strange land... granted that doesn't mean that the "stranger" cannot operate in that strange land, but you have to do so with the understanding that you are pretty much on your own for your safety and are likely operating at the edges of the environment.
Last edited by genec; 11-29-11 at 04:35 PM.
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You all are right. Everyone should approach cycling with extreme caution, as it is a deadly passtime. Stay in your cars, where you are safe.
#94
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Gotcha. That's a good way to look at the data, actually.
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So there you go Brian. You need to break out the chalkboard and the abacus, and design the perfect OSHA bike!!
Seriously, I agree with the others on this too. Cycling is NOT inherently safe. It's the rider, and the knowledge he has either shared or earned on the road is really what keeps him/her safe.
I want to be safe. I want others to learn from my close calls and bad experiences. I definitely do not post these things here to scare people out of the sport I love so much. (I'll have to remember that phrase the next time I climb up Hogpen Gap in the N.Georgia mountains.) Last time I started up that climb I told my buddy "man I hate this dang hill"
Anyway, you are at your own devices, and you can simply tell others that the overall feel they may get from this forum would probably be scary, but educational..
Actually I have to admit I'm a bit envious that you guys get all the awesome riding weather, and the cool places to ride...
Seriously, I agree with the others on this too. Cycling is NOT inherently safe. It's the rider, and the knowledge he has either shared or earned on the road is really what keeps him/her safe.
I want to be safe. I want others to learn from my close calls and bad experiences. I definitely do not post these things here to scare people out of the sport I love so much. (I'll have to remember that phrase the next time I climb up Hogpen Gap in the N.Georgia mountains.) Last time I started up that climb I told my buddy "man I hate this dang hill"
Anyway, you are at your own devices, and you can simply tell others that the overall feel they may get from this forum would probably be scary, but educational..
Actually I have to admit I'm a bit envious that you guys get all the awesome riding weather, and the cool places to ride...
#96
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#97
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So there you go Brian. You need to break out the chalkboard and the abacus, and design the perfect OSHA bike!!
Seriously, I agree with the others on this too. Cycling is NOT inherently safe. It's the rider, and the knowledge he has either shared or earned on the road is really what keeps him/her safe.
I want to be safe. I want others to learn from my close calls and bad experiences. I definitely do not post these things here to scare people out of the sport I love so much. (I'll have to remember that phrase the next time I climb up Hogpen Gap in the N.Georgia mountains.) Last time I started up that climb I told my buddy "man I hate this dang hill"
Anyway, you are at your own devices, and you can simply tell others that the overall feel they may get from this forum would probably be scary, but educational..
Actually I have to admit I'm a bit envious that you guys get all the awesome riding weather, and the cool places to ride...
Seriously, I agree with the others on this too. Cycling is NOT inherently safe. It's the rider, and the knowledge he has either shared or earned on the road is really what keeps him/her safe.
I want to be safe. I want others to learn from my close calls and bad experiences. I definitely do not post these things here to scare people out of the sport I love so much. (I'll have to remember that phrase the next time I climb up Hogpen Gap in the N.Georgia mountains.) Last time I started up that climb I told my buddy "man I hate this dang hill"
Anyway, you are at your own devices, and you can simply tell others that the overall feel they may get from this forum would probably be scary, but educational..
Actually I have to admit I'm a bit envious that you guys get all the awesome riding weather, and the cool places to ride...
Where the heck is the advocacy?
#98
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Ah! Now we may be at the "root of the issue". How do we get people jazzed about riding bikes, thereby increasing ridership, while getting them to ride safely and responsibly? Because if we use the automobile industry as the model they have succeeded wildly at the former and failed miserably at the latter (IMO).
I'd bet it'd be the biggest selling drug in the world.
Last edited by closetbiker; 11-29-11 at 05:30 PM.
#99
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I'm pretty sure the long list of possible side effects it would come with would scare some into thinking it was much too dangerous to risk trying!
#100
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When people buy lotto tickets, they don't think of all those tickets that don't pan out, they only think of the one that does.
It doesn't matter if the odds are a million to one or ten million to one, if you're only concerned about one thing, that's what you'll see.
Last edited by closetbiker; 11-29-11 at 07:26 PM.