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Well, let's see....
$30 for a new fork spring (needed, as the weaker old one pitched me off the bike, breaking my c-bone in 5 places); $70 for a new rear shock to replace the failed OEM. $40 for new cables after 2 years; 12 tires (some went on other bikes in the family cuz I didn't like 'em, but I used up 8, including the two still on the bike), total cost there about $260. $400 after two years, which doesn't count upgrades (saddle, crank) or chain lube; I do need to add $50 for a new cassette/chain. I spent more than $450 on gas & PLPD in six months! And that was before the spike in gas prices! I think I'm money ahead.... |
Originally Posted by PaulRivers
(Post 9279340)
I disagree with "Mile for mile, cyclists get killed at a 1.5x greater rate than drivers". Partly because I've never heard this before but it sounds silly, frankly, but mostly because I don't think they have any way of figuring that out - how would they know how many miles someone biked in a year? How would they randomly collect and sample the statistics? It's *very* difficult for me to believe you're more likely to be killed on a bike than in a car given the vast number of people who refuse to bike regularly on the roads and only bike on trails - how the heck would they get killed?
It just doesn't seem to pass my "common sense" filter. :-( Either way, you can read THE ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS OF BICYCLING AND WALKING FHWA CASE STUDY #15. From the US DOT. It is kindof old (1993), but it is the most recent study that I am aware of that was conducted by the US Government. If you take their optimistic estimate of 21 Billion bicycle miles traveled and 1,000 cyclists died. That is 4.76 deaths per 100 million bicycle miles traveled. Compare that with 1.36 deaths per 100 million car miles traveled in 2007 (NHTSA). That is actually 3.5x more likely to die per mile on a bicycle in 1993 compared to in a car in 2007. I don't like the numbers any more than you do, but there they are. I wish we had more up to date numbers (deaths are up to date, but no estimate on mileage for bicycles). The rate is probably lower now, if you believe that annual mileage hasn't decreased since 1993, which is probably a reasonable thing to think. Now, as for your disbelief in statistics and random sampling, what else don't you believe? Do you not believe the official unemployment rate because they only randomly sample 60,000 homes in the US? What about Oregon's unemployment rate, they only randomly sample 1,000 homes! |
I live in Los Angeles. It would be virtually impossible to live around here without a car. Of course you can take taxis and some minimal public transportation + bike but this is basically car culture.
If I lived in NYC, Seoul, London, Paris, Tokyo, etc...there's no way I would own a car. |
Lies, Damn lies, and statistics.
From: Activity # Fatalities per 1,000,000 exposure hours ------------------------------------------------ Skydiving 128.71 General Aviation 15.58 On-road Motorcycling 8.80 Scuba Diving 1.98 Living (all causes of death) 1.53 Swimming 1.07 Snowmobiling .88 Passenger cars .47 Water skiing .28 Bicycling .26 Flying (scheduled domestic airlines) .15 Hunting .08 Cosmic Radiation from transcontinental flights .035 Home Living (active) .027 Traveling in a School Bus .022 Passenger Car Post-collision fire .017 Home Living, active & passive (sleeping) .014 Residential Fire .003 I've always liked the above chart and based on average speeds it seems to support the previous mile for mile stat. From the same site I find it statistically significant that in a typical year over 90% of cycling deaths involve collisions with motor vehicles. From the previous posts I will assume that 100% of driving deaths involve at least one motor vehicle and at least some if not virtually all deaths of pedestrians also involve motor vehicles. Since cars have at least a 3 to 1 kill ratio. It seems to me that the solution is less cars not more. As for cost, anecdotally, for the average cost of a auto mechanic's invoice I could buy at least a new single speed / Fixie. On a bad day a 105 to Ultegra race bike. The bike I commute on cost me $1,400. I think it is far safer and vastly more reliable than all cars in a similar price range. The average American spends $6,000 on auto expenses. The median household income in 2007 is $50,740. If everyone rode we could afford to take an extra six weeks of holiday a year. The idea almost sells itself but unfortunately mostly everyone employed in an auto sector would get 52 weeks of holidays per year (unemployed) to spend camping (homeless). I'm sure approximately 150 million North Americans agree with the original post. How could they be wrong? |
Originally Posted by Tabor
(Post 9282469)
If you take their optimistic estimate of 21 Billion bicycle miles traveled and 1,000 cyclists died. That is 4.76 deaths per 100 million bicycle miles traveled. Compare that with 1.36 deaths per 100 million car miles traveled in 2007 (NHTSA).
-Mark Twain I suspect many of those bicycle miles are ridden in places like china where you are likely to have a large number of bikes riding in a sea of bikes. This situation will result in quite a few scrapes and broken bones, but, it is extremely unlikely to result in death. Compare this to a typical US commute where many of us have to do battle with the big fast metal things that like to kill us. What I am getting at is that throwing around stats with something that varies extremely with the environment is kinda dumb. Urban bike commuting is certainly more risky than car commuting in a similar area, because, if you are in a car in a congested area, by definition, you are likely going slow. But even at those speeds, a bike comuter can get dead with frightful ease. Compare this to a 17 year old high school kid driving a car on rural roads to school or riding his bike to school. 17 year old boys + high speed vehicles sometimes = death. In this case, the bike is safer, IMO. It all comes down to just weighing each situation, trying to use good judgement and crossing our fingers. If we all started living to try to maximize our statistical odds of not getting dead, we'd live pretty miserable lives. |
Originally Posted by trekker pete
(Post 9282890)
I suspect many of those bicycle miles are ridden in places like china where you are likely to have a large number of bikes riding in a sea of bikes.
On another interesting note, some people have calculated that 30,000 people per year die from exposure to automobile exhaust every year in the US. That would raise the death rate from the ~45,000/year that die in collisions to a total of 75,000/year. |
well, the thing about deaths per mile is that it takes a car more miles to get to a destination than it takes a bike.
|
Your math is flawed!
Originally Posted by adlai
(Post 9275184)
I bike commute, and I have to say that it is not cheaper than taking a car. Here's why.
1. There's a fair bit of maintenance to do on the bicycle. Over the past two years I've had to replace an entire rear derailleur after it ate a spoke on my rear wheel, change out the chain, replace the tires, change at least a dozen flats, spend about 3 hrs adjusting the front derailleur (and no, the LBS people didn't do it right). I'd say that the costs of maintinence and various upgrades over the past year or two has amounted to about 500 There may be periods when lots of things go wrong on an old well-used bike at once, at which case maybe it is better financially (though not environmentally) to scrap the thing and buy a new commuter for about $350 or $400 with a few years of warranty on it.
Originally Posted by adlai
(Post 9275184)
2. True, car expenses include things like yearly registration, paying for parking, gasoline, replacing broken parts, etc. However, by and far car maintinence is, mile-for-mile, cheaper. Tires are a great example. The last flat tire I got in a car was entirely my fault and a result of a flagrant misjudgement. I regularly get flats in bicycles, both road and mountain, while doing on regular pavement. Otherwise, a low-end tire will take you 40k miles, and a set will cost maybe $500. With bicycles, you're buying a new pair of gatorskins at $80 every 4k miles. Cheaper tires last shorter.
Originally Posted by adlai
(Post 9275184)
3. there are other costs not accounted for. An obvious ones of course are the greater mobility of the car allowing you more freedom in getting to jobs, carrying capacity of people and cargo, and the fact that cars are safer than bicycles due to safety regs which will ensure that you're okay should you ever be hit. With a bicycle, mile-for-mile, you're at a greatly increased risk of death compared to a car, in general it takes you longer to get to places, you're breathing in toxic fumes from the vehicles on the road.
Now of course, I love bicycles and commuting in them so that's what I choose, but economically, at best it's a wash in terms of cost savings. But while mentioning other costs not accounted for there's the gym membership I don't need because I bike commute and get in shape that way, the sick days I don't need to take because I'm healthier, the societal costs of the car I don't add to my city, the more productive I am due to getting to work in a better mood, and less stress not having to hunt for parking. |
Originally Posted by Tabor
(Post 9282469)
...
If you take their optimistic estimate of 21 Billion bicycle miles traveled and 1,000 cyclists died. That is 4.76 deaths per 100 million bicycle miles traveled. Compare that with 1.36 deaths per 100 million car miles traveled in 2007 (NHTSA). That is actually 3.5x more likely to die per mile on a bicycle in 1993 compared to in a car in 2007. I don't like the numbers any more than you do, but there they are. I wish we had more up to date numbers (deaths are up to date, but no estimate on mileage for bicycles). The rate is probably lower now, if you believe that annual mileage hasn't decreased since 1993, which is probably a reasonable thing to think. .... What do cyclists get? A piece of styrofoam to wear on their heads. I'm not complaining. We just need to understand we are riding on the streets using a vehicle that offers us no protection from collisions at all and we should act accordingly. |
Originally Posted by timmythology
(Post 9275542)
I'll bite:)
The biggest savings that I have gained from being a commuter is quitting smoking after 30 years. You can smoke and drive much easier. also... the amount of environmental impact of the automobile cult in our country should be enough to motivate all of us to dismantle it. |
Originally Posted by tjspiel
(Post 9286269)
I don't know why anyone would find this that shocking. A great deal of money, research, and public education has gone into increasing the likelihood that people involved in a car crash will survive with minimal injuries.
What do cyclists get? A piece of styrofoam to wear on their heads. I'm not complaining. We just need to understand we are riding on the streets using a vehicle that offers us no protection from collisions at all and we should act accordingly. 1. Cars are often travelling at 60-75mph, where as bikes and cars using the same streets are typically on streets where the speed limit is 25-40mph. 2. Cars always have to be on the streets, whereas bikes can be on separate bike-only bike trails. A biker going down at 20mph or hitting another bike head-on at that speed is bad, but 200lbs of biker + bike hitting something (perhaps another 200lbs of biker + bike) is very different than a 3,500 pound car hitting another 3,500 pound car. If everyone is biking on streets with cars I could understand. I cannot believe that cars on streets have a worse fatality rate than bikes on bike paths. I would agree with what you're saying, theoretically, in car vs bike collisions. |
Originally Posted by BrownBagginIt
(Post 9286497)
i smoke, and while it is easier to smoke while driving... it's much more fun on a bike. although i'm not advocating that people smoke.
also... the amount of environmental impact of the automobile cult in our country should be enough to motivate all of us to dismantle it. |
Originally Posted by PaulRivers
(Post 9286527)
Except that there are 2 major considerations you didn't mention:
1. Cars are often travelling at 60-75mph, where as bikes and cars using the same streets are typically on streets where the speed limit is 25-40mph. 2. Cars always have to be on the streets, whereas bikes can be on separate bike-only bike trails. A biker going down at 20mph or hitting another bike head-on at that speed is bad, but 200lbs of biker + bike hitting something (perhaps another 200lbs of biker + bike) is very different than a 3,500 pound car hitting another 3,500 pound car. If everyone is biking on streets with cars I could understand. I cannot believe that cars on streets have a worse fatality rate than bikes on bike paths. I would agree with what you're saying, theoretically, in car vs bike collisions. Even though cars are often traveling at 60+ mph, my guess is that most collisions (car or bike) occur at intersections which are more frequent in areas where the speed limit is 25-45 mph. |
we all have our reasons for commuting, why try to rain on someone else's parade. Some people around here can't afford to make a distinction between saving money by commuting by bike and commuting by bike out of necessity. Just because you can't save money by biking doesn't mean that someone else who is more frugal or more carefull with their equipment can't.
Same idea applies to those people you see driving a 20 year old beat up peice of junk car because thats all they can afford and they make it work. You should just be glad that you have a choice to make. |
Originally Posted by benda18
(Post 9276127)
from a strictly financial standpoint bicycle commuting probably is more expensive for me than driving, BUT at the end of the day my quality of life is much greater. much of the money i save on gasoline is spent on bike gear, which is much more tangible than gasoline. plus i'm in better shape physically and mentally.
Set goals the last 2 years of over 7500 cycling miles and under 5000 truck miles. Though we're not car-lite it's gratifying to reach those goals. This contributes to a sense of well being and optimism in a time of great social consternation. My medical needs are minmal as when one is healthy overall there're less maladies than can attack one's immune system. All that aside it's just FUN to ride a bike. :thumb: |
Originally Posted by JeffS
(Post 9275416)
Sell the car, redo your math and you have a fair comparison.
Toxic fumes? If you don't think you're breathing those sitting in your car you're wrong. 3 hours adjusting a derailleur? I should have stopped reading right there. |
Originally Posted by adlai
(Post 9283596)
well, the thing about deaths per mile is that it takes a car more miles to get to a destination than it takes a bike.
|
According to certian statistics it costs me about $0.72 a mile to drive my Jeep Compass. I believe this includes average cost of all possible maintenance, insurance, financing, registration, etc. Basically any sort of cost involved with motor vehicles was factored in and averaged and $0.72 a mile is about what it costs me to drive. I'll be conservative and say would I drive about 7,500 total miles during the time of year I ride bike. That equals a total of about $5400. Since 2008 I have commuted or rand errands on my bike a total of; 1,345.46 miles. 1,345.46 x $0.72 per mile = $968 that I saved by NOT driving my Jeep to commute to/from work or run errands. There is no way I have spent $968 since I started tracking this in 2008 on my bike.
I do not buy that driving a motor vehicle costs the same as commuting by bicycle. |
When I sold my car in 2002, I recall that at that time the average cost per year to run a vehicle was $7000 (Canadian). That cost included everything...insurance, maintenance, fuel, depreciation, etc. With that saving in mind, I budgeted to spend about half that $7000 per year on a combination of alternative transit…bikes/equipment, public transit and the occasional car rental.
My greatest expense is public transit, which is about a grand a year and I spend very little over that amount for all modes of transportation in the whole year. I bought myself a "pretty" bike for a little over a grand and use my "beater" as a workhorse. The cost of running both bikes is so negligible, I consider it almost nil. In fact, if every year someone stole my good bike and I had to replace it with a comparably priced one; I’d still be much further ahead than with the car. Don’t' forget, the cost of maintaining a car (especially insurance and fuel), have gone up more than the cost of living since 2002 when I sold the car, so I'm much further ahead than the ruff shot cost analysis predicted at the time. My advice is if you are making an OK income and you are able to sell your car, then get yourself a nice bike and don’t fret about picking up some luxury bike extras as a treat.:D Leo |
Originally Posted by meanwhile
(Post 9290089)
I regret to say that if you're breathing harder you're sucking in more of those fumes.
There are disadvantages to bike commuting, like the weather or taking additional time or not being able to hop in your car and go to lunch with someone else....I just don't think air pollution is one of them unless you're under some really unusual circumstances (like the only way you could bike is a path running alongside a busy freeway), and even then it's up in the air. |
The big things that put cars over, so far as I can tell, are maintenance and parking. This assumes you aren't buying a Really Nice Car, since of course they're expensive on their own.
But if you've got free parking, bike commuting and car commuting can be a wash. Parking gets really expensive at higher density levels. |
Originally Posted by adlai
(Post 9275184)
I bike commute, and I have to say that it is not cheaper than taking a car. Here's why.
1. There's a fair bit of maintenance to do on the bicycle. Over the past two years I've had to replace an entire rear derailleur after it ate a spoke on my rear wheel, change out the chain, replace the tires, change at least a dozen flats, spend about 3 hrs adjusting the front derailleur (and no, the LBS people didn't do it right). I'd say that the costs of maintinence and various upgrades over the past year or two has amounted to about 500 2. True, car expenses include things like yearly registration, paying for parking, gasoline, replacing broken parts, etc. However, by and far car maintinence is, mile-for-mile, cheaper. Tires are a great example. The last flat tire I got in a car was entirely my fault and a result of a flagrant misjudgement. I regularly get flats in bicycles, both road and mountain, while doing on regular pavement. Otherwise, a low-end tire will take you 40k miles, and a set will cost maybe $500. With bicycles, you're buying a new pair of gatorskins at $80 every 4k miles. Cheaper tires last shorter. 3. there are other costs not accounted for. An obvious ones of course are the greater mobility of the car allowing you more freedom in getting to jobs, carrying capacity of people and cargo, and the fact that cars are safer than bicycles due to safety regs which will ensure that you're okay should you ever be hit. With a bicycle, mile-for-mile, you're at a greatly increased risk of death compared to a car, in general it takes you longer to get to places, you're breathing in toxic fumes from the vehicles on the road. Now of course, I love bicycles and commuting in them so that's what I choose, but economically, at best it's a wash in terms of cost savings. This said, biking isn't a practical "alternative" to driving in many situations, and it's wise to stop trying to "compare" bikes with cars. |
As for the 1.5x higher death rate for cyclists. The biggest problem I have with this stat is that it is measuring rate by miles traveled. I think hours driven vs. hours cycling would be a much more relevant measure.
A cyclist is never going to match miles traveled by a car, so it really isn't comparing apples to apples. For example, I spend three hours commuting to work and back (46 miles). A car can travel roughly 180 miles in that same amount of time. Time of exposure to the dangers of a given task is a much more accurate measure of risk than mileage. |
Hmm... Troll alert?
Originally Posted by adlai
(Post 9275184)
I bike commute, and I have to say that it is not cheaper than taking a car.
1. There's a fair bit of maintenance to do on the bicycle. 2. True, car expenses include things like yearly registration, paying for parking, gasoline, replacing broken parts, etc. However, by and far car maintinence is, mile-for-mile, cheaper. The last flat tire I got in a car was entirely my fault and a result of a flagrant misjudgement. I regularly get flats in bicycles, both road and mountain, while doing on regular pavement. Anyway, I know it's bad luck to brag about a long flat-free stretch, but in the last two years I had perhaps two or three flats, one of which was my own fault (riding an old bike with worn out tires). Otherwise, a low-end tire will take you 40k miles, and a set will cost maybe $500. With bicycles, you're buying a new pair of gatorskins at $80 every 4k miles. Cheaper tires last shorter. 3. there are other costs not accounted for. An obvious ones of course are the greater mobility of the car allowing you more freedom in getting to jobs carrying capacity of people and cargo Again, I've never felt restricted in this regard. You can always rent a car, you know, if you want to transport something bulky. You can also get lots of things delivered: even if you have to pay for it every once in a while it will be cheaper overall than owning a car. cars are safer than bicycles With a bicycle, mile-for-mile, you're at a greatly increased risk of death compared to a car, in general it takes you longer to get to places you're breathing in toxic fumes from the vehicles on the road. Now of course, I love bicycles and commuting in them so that's what I choose, but economically, at best it's a wash in terms of cost savings. |
My costs over 1 year and 5000 miles of commuting: Bike, $300. 3 Tires and 3 tubes, $70. Upgrades - stem, handlebar and bar-ends, $50. Waterbottles, pump and computer, $50. That's about $470, and really that's it.
In savings we ditched one car, which would have been about $500 in gas and insurance alone over the same period. Figure in repairs and that's where it really looks good - I could replace my whole bike for another $300-400, but there's not much you can do to a car that's that cheap. |
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