Your spring/summer predictions?
02-06-14, 03:21 PM
#1
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Your spring/summer predictions?
So for most of the US, our winter was rather rough. Maybe the coldest in a while, maybe not, maybe just more snow than the last few.
So what do you think the spring and summer's going to be like? Extra rainy? Dry? Mild? Super hot?
M.
So what do you think the spring and summer's going to be like? Extra rainy? Dry? Mild? Super hot?
M.
02-06-14, 05:55 PM
#2
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Whatever it is, it's got a great chance of being better than this. Unless all the snow melts at once.
02-06-14, 06:25 PM
#3
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After hearing that the Farmer's Almanac was predicting a cold and very snowy winter, then experiencing exactly what Farmer's Almanac predicted, I'd bet my money on check the Farmer's Almanac 
Then again, I just looked it up. For my area, "Winter will be milder than normal..." Ha! Never in my life have I seen -32° (temperature, NOT wind chill.) That certainly isn't anywhere close to normal. Of course, that is just the oddball days that it's been extremely cold. Most of the winter so far until mid January has been pretty mild.
Prior to this winter, our winters have been very unusually warm with hardly any snow. While the south that never gets snow got snow, here in northwestern PA, we had very very little. Normal is several snowstorms of 10 to up to 18 inches of snow at least a few times each winter.
The summers though other than last summer has been extremely hot. 2010 saw record breaking high temperatures early in the year. That was the year we went to Disneyworld and had record breaking temps down there in early June (miserable with the coldest day at 103!) A coworker went to Myrtle Beach and said never again. Temps well into the 100's there too early.
2011 I was installing a new pool in the back yard in 95° heat on Labor Day weekend. Normal temps should have been in the 70's.
2013 on the other hand in the summer, hardly ever used the pool. Normal August weather is mid 90's and extremely humid. Last we used the pool was 4th of July week. After that, we hardly had a day out of the 70's. Humid as always for sure and still miserable any time you did any work outside and moved around, but cool.
I'm going to say another hot spring with temps evening out and falling below normal as the summer wears on.
Then again, I just looked it up. For my area, "Winter will be milder than normal..." Ha! Never in my life have I seen -32° (temperature, NOT wind chill.) That certainly isn't anywhere close to normal. Of course, that is just the oddball days that it's been extremely cold. Most of the winter so far until mid January has been pretty mild.
Prior to this winter, our winters have been very unusually warm with hardly any snow. While the south that never gets snow got snow, here in northwestern PA, we had very very little. Normal is several snowstorms of 10 to up to 18 inches of snow at least a few times each winter.
The summers though other than last summer has been extremely hot. 2010 saw record breaking high temperatures early in the year. That was the year we went to Disneyworld and had record breaking temps down there in early June (miserable with the coldest day at 103!) A coworker went to Myrtle Beach and said never again. Temps well into the 100's there too early.
2011 I was installing a new pool in the back yard in 95° heat on Labor Day weekend. Normal temps should have been in the 70's.
2013 on the other hand in the summer, hardly ever used the pool. Normal August weather is mid 90's and extremely humid. Last we used the pool was 4th of July week. After that, we hardly had a day out of the 70's. Humid as always for sure and still miserable any time you did any work outside and moved around, but cool.
I'm going to say another hot spring with temps evening out and falling below normal as the summer wears on.
02-07-14, 01:50 PM
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Summer. Hot. Sticky. Smelly. Gross. I'm never optimistic about summer. I hate summer. And they're only getting worse.
02-07-14, 02:02 PM
#5
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What is the prize for guessing right? A free set of tires? I'll say summer will be hot and humid, as usual. At least I have access to a shower now. Love to be wrong, and have every day 65 degrees in the morning and 80 in the evening with no humidity. Kind of how I imagine California.
02-07-14, 02:21 PM
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it's gonna suck, it always sucks, can't remember the last time early April was beautiful
02-07-14, 05:05 PM
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I recently posted to the Metro Boston thread about hibernating the Specialized S-Works:
…BTW, I am now riding just my beater winter bike even though the roads are nice and dry, because I don't want to expose my beautiful Specialized S-works to any salt. Am I being too fastidious? I even considered buying a cheaper road bike for the winter, but decided to stick with the Cannondale mountain bike.
C'mon Jim. Gotta go get that Roubaix dirty, its only a real bike once it sees bad weather.
…My Roubaix already has had its baptism by riding it once this summer in some drizzle. I spent a couple days cleaning the chain after that using the Sheldon Brown Chain Cleaning System as pictured below. No Más. 
02-08-14, 07:30 AM
#9
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Like rumrunn6, I'm in the Boston area; we had an April Fool's Day blizzard several years ago---no joke. Nonetheless I'm hoping to take the studs off the beater mountain bike in early April and bring out the carbon fiber.
I recently posted to the Metro Boston thread about hibernating the Specialized S-Works:
I recently posted to the Metro Boston thread about hibernating the Specialized S-Works:
Marc
02-08-14, 08:26 PM
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I predict lots of rain the spring and a normal summer.
02-08-14, 09:24 PM
#11
don't try this at home.
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The National Weather Service has 3-month outlook maps for temperature and precipitation.
From the map explanation page:
White is equal probability of either warmer, average, or colder. There's no blue (below average) predictions for this year!
Here's the page with all the future months thumbnail maps. It looks like a hotter and drier southwest, a hotter south and east coast, but with normal precipitation.
2.5 month lead time, 3 month April-May-June temperature outlook:
From the map explanation page:
...three categories are defined from the 30 observations from 1981-2010. The coldest or driest 1/3 (10 years) define the B category, the warmest or wettest 1/3 (10 years) define the A category, and the remaining 10 years in between define the middle (N) category.
So the brown shading shows an increased probability of temperatures like the warmest 10 years of the past 30 years. The darker brown is a 50% probability of those warmer temperatures.White is equal probability of either warmer, average, or colder. There's no blue (below average) predictions for this year!
Here's the page with all the future months thumbnail maps. It looks like a hotter and drier southwest, a hotter south and east coast, but with normal precipitation.
2.5 month lead time, 3 month April-May-June temperature outlook:
02-08-14, 11:05 PM
#12
Banned
Spring will return .. followed by summer, then autumn then winter .. again.. 
though equatorial regions this may not apply..
here, drier season starts on around the 5th of July.. Junuary is the previous month..
though equatorial regions this may not apply..
here, drier season starts on around the 5th of July.. Junuary is the previous month..
Last edited by fietsbob; 02-08-14 at 11:08 PM.
02-08-14, 11:34 PM
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Boise is pretty predicable, we'll get a last minute "winter storm" in the first few weeks of spring followed by a little rain and nice weather. Then first week week of May it'll snow and then warm up to 60f int he same day which marks early summer followed by too many 100f plus days which of course means most of Idaho will be at that point on fire. Fire means smoke and the smoke is just in time for summer inversion which makes it so you can feel the air you breathe. Of course this is all loosely based on my opinions 
02-09-14, 12:21 AM
#15
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Supposed to be 87 next week in Phoenix. I'm guessing a long hot summer this year....
02-09-14, 05:55 AM
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02-09-14, 07:39 AM
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Predicting weather more than about 2 weeks out is a mug's game.
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02-09-14, 12:09 PM
#18
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02-09-14, 12:42 PM
#19
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Cold/cooler and wetter than normal till mid June then hot and humid
02-10-14, 07:28 AM
#20
I don't get out enough
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For my area? No brainer. Hot as Hades and dry. And the spring will be filled with days of 40 to 70 mph gusts.
02-10-14, 07:31 AM
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Warmer than now. Other than that.. There's an old saying, if you don't like the weather now, wait 15 min..
02-11-14, 06:51 AM
#23
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02-11-14, 06:58 AM
#24
Bicycle Repair Man !!!
Boise is pretty predicable, we'll get a last minute "winter storm" in the first few weeks of spring followed by a little rain and nice weather. Then first week week of May it'll snow and then warm up to 60f int he same day which marks early summer followed by too many 100f plus days which of course means most of Idaho will be at that point on fire. Fire means smoke and the smoke is just in time for summer inversion which makes it so you can feel the air you breathe. Of course this is all loosely based on my opinions
