Dumb Questions
#1
stupid newbie
Thread Starter
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: OKC
Posts: 209
Bikes: 2005 Giant TCR C3, 2003 Raleigh M50 DX "the tank"
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
Dumb Questions
This is my first year really following the tour and watching yesterday's stage, there was something I didn't quite get. Toward the end when the two Disco guys were still 2-3 and Leipheimer was in the second pack, the announcers said something to the effect of "Levi doesn't care, he has two teammates out front, he can just take it easy" and I'm trying to figure out why that mattered. He's going for the overall win, right? So what does it matter to him if he has two guys from his team ahead of him? I understand that he wants to at least stay with Rasmussen but what does having teammates out front have to do with anything?
#2
pan y agua
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Jacksonville
Posts: 31,303
Bikes: Willier Zero 7; Merlin Extralight; Calfee Dragonfly tandem, Calfee Adventure tandem; Cervelo P2; Motebecane Ti Fly 29er; Motebecanne Phantom Cross; Schwinn Paramount Track bike
Mentioned: 17 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1447 Post(s)
Liked 727 Times
in
372 Posts
It's a team sport. Contador in particular is highly placed on GC. If Contador is up the road gaining time, its good for the Team. (and puts pressure on other teams).
The onus is then on other teams to chase, and Levi get's a free ride up with the chasers, while he is excused from working (because you don't attack teammates).
The onus is then on other teams to chase, and Levi get's a free ride up with the chasers, while he is excused from working (because you don't attack teammates).
#3
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Wilmington, NC
Posts: 1,690
Bikes: Serotta Nove
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 22 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
Did anyone notice Frank Schelk(sp) pulling the Vino group? I was a little suprised by that.
Richard
Richard
#4
Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 5,866
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 3 Times
in
2 Posts
This is my first year really following the tour and watching yesterday's stage, there was something I didn't quite get. Toward the end when the two Disco guys were still 2-3 and Leipheimer was in the second pack, the announcers said something to the effect of "Levi doesn't care, he has two teammates out front, he can just take it easy" and I'm trying to figure out why that mattered. He's going for the overall win, right? So what does it matter to him if he has two guys from his team ahead of him? I understand that he wants to at least stay with Rasmussen but what does having teammates out front have to do with anything?
However in this case I have to wonder. Levi was in the second of 2 packs. Once there was a split both packs were working very hard. The front one to stay away, the second to catch. I think his 2 teammates had a better chance if the packs rejoined as they may have then not worked as hard.
In hindsight the real answer is probably that Levi jut did not have much left on the day. He was not fighting for seconds at the end when others were.
#6
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 181
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
even though i highly doubt levi is their GC man, if he was, then having contador gain time helps him immensely. having 2 guys on 1 team means that you can later have 1 of them go on a breakaway, which the other teams will HAVE to chase down, and give your other guy a free tow.
now if your actual GC man is losing time to a breakway, even if it has team members, he's going to have to try and catch up if there are rivals in it.
that's why it's ludicrous to believe that LL is disco's actual leader. you'd think if their actual leader was losing time that bruyneel would send popo back to pace him or at very least have conator and popo sit on the first chase group; instead he has contador and popo try to breakaway to gain time on the field while levi loses valuable minutes.
now if your actual GC man is losing time to a breakway, even if it has team members, he's going to have to try and catch up if there are rivals in it.
that's why it's ludicrous to believe that LL is disco's actual leader. you'd think if their actual leader was losing time that bruyneel would send popo back to pace him or at very least have conator and popo sit on the first chase group; instead he has contador and popo try to breakaway to gain time on the field while levi loses valuable minutes.
#7
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 288
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
that's why it's ludicrous to believe that LL is disco's actual leader. you'd think if their actual leader was losing time that bruyneel would send popo back to pace him or at very least have conator and popo sit on the first chase group; instead he has contador and popo try to breakaway to gain time on the field while levi loses valuable minutes.
If it comes down to it, and it probably will, Contador will pull Levi through the mountains. I think Brunyell is hoping that the climbers in the top ten will fade in the TT's and Levi will be able to move up in the GC. Then it's just a matter of gaining time on the non-climbers in the GC.
#8
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 181
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
you have no idea what you're talking about. contador is not horribel time trialist. levi's been losing time in the alps this year, has proven himself time and agains to be a mediocre time trialist (as well as meh cimber), and somehow he's going to magically not only not lose more time in the ITT's, but contador is going to somehow pull him to victory up the pyrenees?! if that was true why didn't JB have armstrong tow hincapie up the hardest climbs? that would make about the same amount of sense.
#9
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 288
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
Levi's been losing time in the Alps? So that's why he's moved up the GC? Really? Interesting logic.
Yes, Contador is there to help out Levi. It's not the other way around. George Hincapie was to Lance as Contador is to Levi. George is a work horse, Contador will be a work horse when there is climbing. Contador will have his time in the sun, just not this year. He's way too young and inexperienced. This year he will help out Levi as much as he can. Would Brunyell put his hopes on such a young rider with so little experience in the TDF? Unless Levi implodes, all of Discovery will work to get him as far up the podium as possible.
#10
pan y agua
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Jacksonville
Posts: 31,303
Bikes: Willier Zero 7; Merlin Extralight; Calfee Dragonfly tandem, Calfee Adventure tandem; Cervelo P2; Motebecane Ti Fly 29er; Motebecanne Phantom Cross; Schwinn Paramount Track bike
Mentioned: 17 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1447 Post(s)
Liked 727 Times
in
372 Posts
Well, the most direct evidence of their respective TT abilities is that Contador was 5 seconds faster in the prolgue than Leipheimer. Not a significant difference. The short prologue admittedly doesn't say a lot about a longer TT.
Last year's Tour de Romandie Contador road a respectible TT, but conceded 45 seconds to Cadel Evan. over a distance around 20 some kilometers.
My guess is there's not a huge difference between Contador and Leipheimer time trialing.
The bigger question regarding Contador is whether he can finish the 3 weeks without a bad day.
Leipheimer has prooven he knows how to manage a 3 week TDF. I think that's why Bruyneel continues to not put his all his eggs in the Contador basket.
Last year's Tour de Romandie Contador road a respectible TT, but conceded 45 seconds to Cadel Evan. over a distance around 20 some kilometers.
My guess is there's not a huge difference between Contador and Leipheimer time trialing.
The bigger question regarding Contador is whether he can finish the 3 weeks without a bad day.
Leipheimer has prooven he knows how to manage a 3 week TDF. I think that's why Bruyneel continues to not put his all his eggs in the Contador basket.
#11
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 181
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
He's not going to have the results you think he will in a longer time trial. Contador is way too spindaly and skinny to be a good time trialist. Do you really think Contador is a better time trialist than Levi? How so? Give me some evidence or stats. Contador has 45 seconds on Levi, that gap will evaporate in the ITT's.
Levi's been losing time in the Alps? So that's why he's moved up the GC? Really? Interesting logic.
.
Levi's been losing time in the Alps? So that's why he's moved up the GC? Really? Interesting logic.
.
and yes levi's been losing time in the alps. he's moved up in the GC against who? cancellara? hushovd? he hasn't even been in a first chase group.
#12
Senior Member
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Wilmington, NC
Posts: 1,690
Bikes: Serotta Nove
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 22 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
I can't say this enough. Levi is the GC man until he screws the pooch. JB is not hiding anything. He is not secretly plotting to have Contador as his lead guy. Contador is already marked, and will not be allowed in a breakaway.
I am sure JB is pleased that Contador is riding well, and so highly placed. It gives him a lot of options. He is not placing all of his faith in an unknown commodity. He may next year if Contador finishes well.
Richard
I am sure JB is pleased that Contador is riding well, and so highly placed. It gives him a lot of options. He is not placing all of his faith in an unknown commodity. He may next year if Contador finishes well.
Richard
#13
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 288
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
I can't say this enough. Levi is the GC man until he screws the pooch. JB is not hiding anything. He is not secretly plotting to have Contador as his lead guy. Contador is already marked, and will not be allowed in a breakaway.
I am sure JB is pleased that Contador is riding well, and so highly placed. It gives him a lot of options. He is not placing all of his faith in an unknown commodity. He may next year if Contador finishes well.
Richard
I am sure JB is pleased that Contador is riding well, and so highly placed. It gives him a lot of options. He is not placing all of his faith in an unknown commodity. He may next year if Contador finishes well.
Richard
#14
Light Makes Right
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Green Mountain, Colorado
Posts: 1,520
Bikes: Gianni Motta Criterium, Dean Hardtail
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 0 Times
in
0 Posts
I just don't get where this stuff about Levi not being the team's leader comes from. Perhaps from the strategy that Disco used to use with Lance? Where everyone just pulled for Lance and nothing else? In fact the strategy they're using this year is exactly what other teams tried to do to break Lance: leave their leader to mark him while launching multiple attacks to make his team chase and expend energy. Assuming that is Disco's strategy, it's working PERFECTLY and they're looking extremely strong. And the farther Contador gets ahead of Levi the better at this point. Levi's expended a minimal amount of energy so far and if Contador gets some time on him then it just confuses other teams.
At some point they'll have to decide: do we want to keep marking Levi or chase Contador. If they just mark Levi, perhaps Contador ends up winning the tour. If they chase him then the burn energy and Levi just follows and wins the tour. It's a lot like Saeco did with Cunego and Simoni. Sent the young buck attacking up the road constantly. Simoni was certainly the designated leader but everyone else just threw away the Giro that year by focusing on that fact. In that case everyone else just marked Simoni and Cunego won the thing. If they'd chased him, Simoni surely would've.
I think the Tour so far may be an indication that the doping controls are finally starting to work. Nobody can just dominate day after day. People have to pick their spots and conserve energy for the final week.
At some point they'll have to decide: do we want to keep marking Levi or chase Contador. If they just mark Levi, perhaps Contador ends up winning the tour. If they chase him then the burn energy and Levi just follows and wins the tour. It's a lot like Saeco did with Cunego and Simoni. Sent the young buck attacking up the road constantly. Simoni was certainly the designated leader but everyone else just threw away the Giro that year by focusing on that fact. In that case everyone else just marked Simoni and Cunego won the thing. If they'd chased him, Simoni surely would've.
I think the Tour so far may be an indication that the doping controls are finally starting to work. Nobody can just dominate day after day. People have to pick their spots and conserve energy for the final week.
Last edited by GV27; 07-19-07 at 08:35 AM.