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Originally Posted by dr_lha
(Post 17683692)
I'm a scientist (Astrophysics to be precise) and I love looking at stuff like this, especially for the red-flags and supposed "trends" that aren't there. For example, take a look at this page:
http://bikeforums.net/attachment.php...hmentid=442756 Those three graphs show a supposed "trend", with the blue lines are the errors in the measurement. Not only do they deceive by scaling the graphs from not-zero to show the maximum apparent difference, but if you believe their error analysis is correct, the fact is that all three of those graphs show no measurable differences between any of the frame materials in any of the tests. What I find interesting is that they say "Trend of stiffer bike requiring less effort". Then in the discussions on page 16, they write "Hypothesize there is an energy cost of stiff bikes" which is contrary to the not-significant trend they noted on the previous page. I agree that they need a better variety of bikes, including classic Vitus Aluminum bikes which have a reputation for not being the stiffest on the block, as well as the Specialized Roubaix. A single induced "bump" is hardly a good comparison when considering smooth pavement vs course pavement. Anyway, it all seems like a pretty null study. |
Frame material discussions are always entertaining. :thumb:
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Originally Posted by rpenmanparker
(Post 17683850)
****
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Originally Posted by indyfabz
(Post 17683957)
I watched "Good Will Hunting" last night. How do you like them apples?
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Originally Posted by bt
(Post 17684800)
you were already in.
On the other hand, I didn't think it counted as being in if you didn't show you knew where the thread was headed. |
Originally Posted by CliffordK
(Post 17684670)
Interesting chart. They say "trend", not 99% significant.
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Originally Posted by dr_lha
(Post 17684840)
I think you may be hitting on a pet peeve of mine here. A "trend" is not something that you can see, but is statistically insignificant. Trends have to have a proven statistical significance to be meaningful. The "trend" they show here is consistent with a the trend they report, no trend, and an opposite trend, as far as I can see. If any trend exists, it's certainly not 99% significant, we'll agree on that!
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Originally Posted by rpenmanparker
(Post 17684850)
You could not be more................RIGHT! Yes RIGHT! Well said.
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They certainly need more data, and could well have conducted the study for hours rather than 5 minutes and might have reached statistical significance (also switching bikes often so that there is no order & fatigue bias).
However, I'm doubting their study is giving any meaningful data for general rideability. For a track setting (smooth concrete or wood), I would expect a benefit from the stiffest frame possible). Smooth pavement with the periodic interruption... perhaps also tending towards a stiffer frame. Rough pavement (chipseal) is annoying, and I could imagine a significant power loss for noncompliant tires/frames. My guess that their study was like riding in the gutter, or on a sidewalk with a very smooth surface with a few thumps. It just doesn't seem like it would capture the effect of riding on chipseal, gravel, or cobbles. And the smooth nature of the treadmill may tend towards benefiting the stiff frames. |
So we all agree this is bollocks then? Good. ;)
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Originally Posted by rpenmanparker
(Post 17684597)
You are wrong. On page 4 they say that they want to develop a system to characterize the EFFECT of transmitted road vibration in road bikes and to do that they propose to measure the vibration and rider performance. It is clear they are attempting to measure the EFFECT of the vibration on performance. That thing which brings about an EFFECT is a CAUSE. They obviously are proposing that road vibration may cause changes in rider performance. But they don't keep all the other variables under control by using the same single bicycle and applying different levels of vibration through it. They use three different bicycles and measure the vibration and performance as two dependent variables. They try to keep some other variables fixed, but it isn't possible to know every possible variable. It is a clumsy way to go about the study. First they needed to measure the effect of different levels of vibration through one specific frame (any one) on performance. Then they could have (follow up study) measured the differences in transmitted vibration through different frames once again at a range of transmitted vibration levels. If the performance effect for a given transmitted vibration level was the same on any frame and significant, then it would be possible to claim transmitted vibration as a cause of the performance effect. Alternatively, a statistical design of experiments could have been used to collapse the two experiments into one and to attempt to separate and quantify the many different equipment related causes of rider performance effects. Apparently that would have required an experimental skill level far beyond this team's capability.
Bottom line is that it is easy to design perform an experiment but quite difficult to design and perform a meaningful one. Again, the purpose was not to establish causal relationships, but to develop a system to characterize the effects of transmitted road vibration. |
Study Objectives Develop a system to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration in road bikes
They developed a system.. YES. Vibration.. Maybe Rider Performance.. Null Results They did use 3 different frames.. YES Demonstrate Frame Material Differences... Not really. 1000 frames available, and they chose 3, with 1 in each category. Some vibration response (of the 3 frames tested). Cyclist Performance... Null For testing a frame, a periodic bump on a treadmill may be good. However, that doesn't mean that it is the same as road vibration on rider performance, and thus one might not expect a significant or meaningful result. So, they did develop a test. But the applicability is minimal, and certainly the results aren't generalizable. And they failed to answer comfort or performance which is where the money is. |
Originally Posted by chaadster
(Post 17685065)
I honestly don't know why this is so hard for you. As you wrote above, quoting the paper, the objective was "to develop a system to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration." Develop a system. Say it again, "the objective was to develop a system," NOT to prove a causal relationship between vibration and rider performance. One can characterize an effect as insignificant or zero, but again, the purpose was not establish an effect existed, but to develop a system...pause there for a moment to consider...to develop a system with which to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration on rider performance. The results of which, by the way, they go on to characterize as precluding generalization *by design* and requiring further study.
Again, the purpose was not to establish causal relationships, but to develop a system to characterize the effects of transmitted road vibration. Yes, they now have a test protocol, if that is what you mean by a system, but it is worthless. When they choose any frame to test in future, they won't know if the vibration transmission or something else is the cause of any performance effect they measure. No, a condition of succes was not to prove the cause and effect relationship. WHY? Because the assumed it going in. |
Originally Posted by rpenmanparker
(Post 17685218)
But they did not develop a system to do .... They don't know what was affecting performance. That is my point. They measured two different things and assumed one affected the other. But the many other aspects of the frame differences could be what was affecting the performance. For example power transmission, not vibration. To do what they wanted to do they would have had to start with one frame and a variable source of vibration. It is so obvious that your refusal to see it is bizarre.
Yes, they now have a test protocol, if that is what you mean by a system, but it is worthless. When they choose any frame to test in future, they won't know if the vibration transmission or something else is the cause of any performance effect they measure. No, a condition of succes was not to prove the cause and effect relationship. WHY? Because the assumed it going in. Your point is simply not germane to the study; it's a condition that you are reading into the study, because it was not part of the study's objectives, which makes it your problem, not one of the study. |
April Fools' day was yesterday.
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Originally Posted by chaadster
(Post 17685065)
As you wrote above, quoting the paper, the objective was "to develop a system to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration." Develop a system. Say it again, "the objective was to develop a system," NOT to prove a causal relationship between vibration and rider performance.
Will they technically prove such a relationship? No, but by holding as many other factors as possible constant (same rider, same position/fit on bike, same wheels & tires, same saddle & pedals) their conclusions will almost undoubtedly be that any significant change in rider performance that correlates with variations in transmitted road vibration is in fact an effect of those variations. Otherwise they will not have achieved their objective to "characterize the effect of transmitted road variation." |
Originally Posted by chaadster
(Post 17685374)
Wow. Knowing what was affecting performance was NOT the purpose of the study. I don't know how else to explain it to you, and whether a causal relationship was assumed doesn't matter, because they have a testing system to quantify transmitted vibration, which WAS the point of the study.
Your point is simply not germane to the study; it's a condition that you are reading into the study, because it was not part of the study's objectives, which makes it your problem, not one of the study. |
Originally Posted by prathmann
(Post 17685476)
I read this as indicating the objective is "to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration." Developing a system is merely the means to achieve that end. And if the study 'to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration' is going to do so by measuring the rider performance with varying degrees of transmitted road vibration it's not much of a leap to conclude that they are looking for a cause and effect relationship with the cause being the level of transmitted road vibration and the effect being a change in rider performance.
Will they technically prove such a relationship? No, but by holding as many other factors as possible constant (same rider, same position/fit on bike, same wheels & tires, same saddle & pedals) their conclusions will almost undoubtedly be that any significant change in rider performance that correlates with variations in transmitted road vibration is in fact an effect of those variations. Otherwise they will not have achieved their objective to "characterize the effect of transmitted road variation." |
Originally Posted by prathmann
(Post 17685476)
I read this as indicating the objective is "to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration." Developing a system is merely the means to achieve that end. And if the study 'to characterize the effect of transmitted road vibration' is going to do so by measuring the rider performance with varying degrees of transmitted road vibration it's not much of a leap to conclude that they are looking for a cause and effect relationship with the cause being the level of transmitted road vibration and the effect being a change in rider performance.
Will they technically prove such a relationship? No, but by holding as many other factors as possible constant (same rider, same position/fit on bike, same wheels & tires, same saddle & pedals) their conclusions will almost undoubtedly be that any significant change in rider performance that correlates with variations in transmitted road vibration is in fact an effect of those variations. Otherwise they will not have achieved their objective to "characterize the effect of transmitted road variation." |
Now that we're posting our C.V.s on a public forum, it would be wise to remember that even the best schools have graduated their share of numbnutz. My own alma mater claims John Kennedy Jr (actually a classmate of mine), who thought that if you're famous enough, the marine layer doesn't roll in on a summer evening, so it wouldn't be a problem to pilot a plane across Long Island sound on a July evening without being instrument rated. Sadly, he wasn't the only person on the plane.
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Originally Posted by rpenmanparker
(Post 17685218)
But the many other aspects of the frame differences could be what was affecting the performance. For example power transmission, not vibration. To do what they wanted to do they would have had to start with one frame and a variable source of vibration. It is so obvious that your refusal to see it is bizarre.
If in fact, the aluminum frame is stiffer than the CF or steel, that could account for the (not statistically significant) performance improvement. However, simply attaching an electric vibrator to the bike would tell one absolutely nothing. Well, I suppose it would tell one if vibration alone is affecting the rider's performance. The theory with high pressure hard tires vs low pressure soft tires is that bumps cause micro vertical accelerations and a corresponding energy loss. In theory, these accelerations could be dampened by either the tires or the frame. So your vibrator would not give one a good understanding of parasitic power losses of road induced vibrations. Perhaps an option would be to use a full suspension MTB frame (or a similar custom "road" frame), then vary the suspension parameters between rides. |
Just when I thought it couldn't get any richer...voilą.
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Originally Posted by chaadster
(Post 17686142)
Just when I thought it couldn't get any richer...voilą.
Lets take aluminum for example. Lets say that Cervelo makes a crappy aluminum bike. Most know the Soloist for example is a very stiff bike...has a VERY stiff ride. Btw, there is further conflation if not lack of differentiation between vertical stiffness normally considered important for ride quality and laterial stiffness important for energy transfer. This isn't even addressed in the article. The Soloist is VERY vertically stiff and not stiff laterally compared to many top racing frames. This is because of its aero tube sections. So the Soloist bike feels stiff but actually isn't when it comes to transferring power from the pedals to the rear wheel...the other aspect of the article woefully misrepresented. Also, how can it be that the softest material in the study aka Aluminum had the best energy transfer...even better than carbon? Many don't know that Aluminum is soft. And yet generally Aluminum bikes have a stiff ride. Aluminum has the lowest modulus of elasticity of either carbon fiber or steel. That is a fact. And yet, a Solist rides like a covered wagon. This is because of the geometry. The Vitus was mentioned which sometimes comes up in these types of discussions. And now the CAAD10 has arrived which many believe is the best race bike for the cash...although the Spesh Allez gives it a run for the money. They are different, in fact so radically different in ride quality, its almost hard to believe they are made from the same material and yet they are. Geometry matters a lot when is comes to vibration damping and ride quality and energy transfer from pedal to drive wheel and the article doesn't even address the root cause. But make no mistake which material quells vibration better. Its the epoxy matrix in carbon fiber. It natively damps vibration. I mentioned the Allez which is considered one if not the best Al race bike on the market. Comparing it to its carbon brother...the Tarmac, there is no comparison in ride quality....the Tarmac as stiff as it is and it has world class stiffness as a premier race bike...it absorbs bumps and attenuates road shock better than the Al Allez. Can I ask your science background? |
I wonder how many guys racing this stuff for a paycheck give a hoot about this.
As they used to tell me..."Here's your bike. Shut up and ride or we will find somebody else." Good lord... |
Originally Posted by roadwarrior
(Post 17686369)
I wonder how many guys racing this stuff for a paycheck give a hoot about this.
As they used to tell me..."Here's your bike. Shut up and ride or we will find somebody else." Good lord... I also hope you aren't suggesting that this discussion doesn't matter. These considerations in fact are the underpinning of why bikes have improved so much...every frame material. A tremendous amount of technical analysis. Its just, the article is basically crap is the point. I have a friend who lives in my complex and used to race for Trek. We ride together once in a while and he is still a good rider. His current bike is a carbon Pinarello. He knows a lot about bikes and we have some interesting discussions about geometry, material, fit etc. We share a similar view of fit for example in that he doesn't ride real slammed and loves to ride in the drops like I do. He told me when the first carbon Madones came out and he was given one to race how much he hated the bike. He couldn't stand the BB. This guy is a beefy sprinter type. So he rode an Aluminum Trek when others were switching to the Madone because he hated the bottom bracket. Early Madones weren't exactly loved as many recall. Early carbon wasn't very good but that all has changed. |
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