1.13.23 Is it time to buy a bike... or keep waiting?
#1
Senior Member
Thread Starter
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 724
Mentioned: 12 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 445 Post(s)
Liked 252 Times
in
139 Posts
1.13.23 Is it time to buy a bike... or keep waiting?
I so rarely buy new, complete bikes. My bikes typically morph - new groupset, new wheels, new frames set. But, the transition to disc and di2 seems to warrant buying a complete bike (and yeah, not necessarily new). Inventory is better. It's not great. But better. Would I be better off waiting a few more months? Will three or six months make a difference? I'm not in a huge hurry. My current bike is fine... just old.
#2
-------
Join Date: Jul 2020
Location: Tejas
Posts: 9,988
Mentioned: 1 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 7590 Post(s)
Liked 4,847 Times
in
2,661 Posts
Winter is buying season. Spring and summer are riding season. When demand spikes, the deals go down.
Likes For biker128pedal:
#4
I'm good to go!
Join Date: Jul 2017
Location: Mississippi
Posts: 12,966
Bikes: Tarmac Disc Comp Di2 - 2020
Mentioned: 46 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 5309 Post(s)
Liked 3,825 Times
in
2,661 Posts
Use to be that March was the better time to buy. New stock being moved in and old stock needing to go. So there were deals to be had. But maybe I got in on the last of those back in 2020.
I think you still have time to look and assess what it is you really want. But if you wait for the latest and greatest thing to emerge, then you'll never have that new bike.
I think you still have time to look and assess what it is you really want. But if you wait for the latest and greatest thing to emerge, then you'll never have that new bike.
#5
Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2019
Location: 757
Posts: 8,436
Bikes: Madone, Emonda, 5500, Ritchey Breakaway
Mentioned: 1 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 7621 Post(s)
Liked 3,594 Times
in
1,543 Posts
I’m always down for a new bike.
#7
Junior Member
Join Date: Jul 2017
Posts: 170
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 111 Post(s)
Liked 14 Times
in
9 Posts
I'm shopping now. I don't see a lot of last season new stock around. Might be better in another year if you can wait till next spring. Haven't decided myself yet. Then again, inflation could just keep going up, or war breaks out near Taiwan or whatever. Seize the day?
Last edited by WT21; 01-14-23 at 12:07 PM.
#8
Full Member
Join Date: Jan 2023
Location: Eastern Shore MD
Posts: 278
Bikes: Trek ALR/Giant TCX/Sette CX1
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 197 Post(s)
Liked 210 Times
in
111 Posts
Was just at my LBS - very few road bikes in stock, and they claim some bikes are expected to be delivered in ‘25.
They were overstocked on cruisers, hybrids…
They were overstocked on cruisers, hybrids…
Likes For Jughed:
#9
Clark W. Griswold
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: ,location, location
Posts: 11,970
Bikes: Foundry Chilkoot Ti W/Ultegra Di2, Salsa Timberjack Ti, Cinelli Mash Work RandoCross Fun Time Machine, 1x9 XT Parts Hybrid, Co-Motion Cascadia, Specialized Langster, Phil Wood Apple VeloXS Frame (w/DA 7400), R+M Supercharger2 Rohloff, Habanero Ti 26
Mentioned: 51 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 3735 Post(s)
Liked 3,183 Times
in
2,123 Posts
My guess is 2025 or 2026 or later for the industry to get back to a new normal. It could be faster if we get rid of the endemic but unfortunately we failed miserably at that so it is going to be tough.
Likes For veganbikes:
#10
Newbie
Join Date: Nov 2022
Posts: 3
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2 Post(s)
Likes: 0
Liked 4 Times
in
2 Posts
I own a large shop. Road bike inventory is going to be significantly, *significantly* better this year, to the point where special orders will become feasible again, rather than being stuck with what's already on the sales floor.
I always tell our community: Spring, summer fall are the best times to ride a bike; winter is the best time to buy a bike.
I always tell our community: Spring, summer fall are the best times to ride a bike; winter is the best time to buy a bike.
#11
Method to My Madness
Join Date: Nov 2020
Location: Orange County, California
Posts: 2,697
Bikes: Trek FX 2, Cannondale Synapse, Cannondale CAAD4, Santa Cruz Stigmata GRX
Mentioned: 3 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1382 Post(s)
Liked 947 Times
in
686 Posts
I was recently in a similar situation. I had been looking for a third bike throughout the pandemic and broadened my horizons in late 2022 to include gravel bikes. At some point in 2022, Santa Cruz had raised the MSRP on its Stigmata (GRX) to $5,149, but in December two chains (Mike's Bikes in northern Cal. and Conte Bikes on the east coast) had this bike at 25% off, and it was out of stock everywhere else. I dithered for a little while, and it sold out at Mike's Bikes, and I finally pulled the trigger on 12/10/2022 and bought what turned out to be the very last one (in any size) at Conte Bikes. Now, a month later, this bike is in stock at a few places again, in the same colors as those available last year, but only at the new MSRP. So, at least in my case, it turned out to have been the right time.
Likes For SoSmellyAir:
#12
Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: Québec, Canada
Posts: 1,467
Bikes: Propel Pro, TCR Pro, TCR Adv (beater)
Mentioned: 4 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 633 Post(s)
Liked 372 Times
in
286 Posts
It depends on the supply & demand... Bike manufacturers have been struggling to keep up with the demand ever since the 1st summer of the pandemic - things are slowing down now and it's a good thing for us.
3-6 months may or may not give you a small rebate. Leftovers are usually put on sale during winter and early spring. You may get lucky. Be patient, shop around!
3-6 months may or may not give you a small rebate. Leftovers are usually put on sale during winter and early spring. You may get lucky. Be patient, shop around!
#13
Senior Member
Thread Starter
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 724
Mentioned: 12 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 445 Post(s)
Liked 252 Times
in
139 Posts
Okay, because you guys told me to, I bought a bike. ;-)
Today is new bike day - picking it up in a little while. I'm in my 50s, have been riding for almost 50 years and I still feel like a little kid waiting run downstairs and see what Santa brought.
Today is new bike day - picking it up in a little while. I'm in my 50s, have been riding for almost 50 years and I still feel like a little kid waiting run downstairs and see what Santa brought.
Likes For Zaskar:
#14
Should Be More Popular
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Malvern, PA (20 miles West of Philly)
Posts: 40,801
Bikes: 1986 Alpine (steel road bike), 2009 Ti Habenero, 2013 Specialized Roubaix
Mentioned: 548 Post(s)
Tagged: 2 Thread(s)
Quoted: 20424 Post(s)
Liked 7,141 Times
in
3,350 Posts
pics??
#16
Senior Member
Thread Starter
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 724
Mentioned: 12 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 445 Post(s)
Liked 252 Times
in
139 Posts
The requisite garage door pic:
My road bikes have been black on black on black for the past 14 years. It was time for a change.
To do:
- Swap 42mm bar for 44mm
- Cut steer tube, remove two spacers
- Swap non-tubeless to tubeless
- Cages and computer mount.
^that^ will happen at the shop when the bar comes in. But there was no reason to leave the bike there waiting for parts!
My road bikes have been black on black on black for the past 14 years. It was time for a change.
To do:
- Swap 42mm bar for 44mm
- Cut steer tube, remove two spacers
- Swap non-tubeless to tubeless
- Cages and computer mount.
^that^ will happen at the shop when the bar comes in. But there was no reason to leave the bike there waiting for parts!

#17
Senior Member
Inventory is starting to get much better. Deals are back too, in several areas. I just picked up a Moots RCS.
#18
Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: Québec, Canada
Posts: 1,467
Bikes: Propel Pro, TCR Pro, TCR Adv (beater)
Mentioned: 4 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 633 Post(s)
Liked 372 Times
in
286 Posts
Sweet bike! My new bike has 44mm bars and I remember how I found them wide as hell when I first rode it. I'd go back to 42mm anytime!
#19
Senior Member
Thread Starter
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 724
Mentioned: 12 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 445 Post(s)
Liked 252 Times
in
139 Posts
Ha! It's definitely what you're used to. I've been riding 44s for years - the 42s felt cramped. Like 2cm should make a big difference. The fitter put a tape on my shoulders and said "Yeah, you definitely need the 44s. Even that didn't seem terribly precise. But, I was going 44 either way.
#20
Senior Member
My LBS is a Trek store, and their online inventory shows 17 road bikes in stock today.... That's more than I've seen there in a few years (last time I looked it was something like 3 in stock, and 3-6 have been the norm since 2020). But I admit I never looked at that number prior to the pandemic, so who knows, maybe it was 30 in 2019?
#21
Senior Member
Thread Starter
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 724
Mentioned: 12 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 445 Post(s)
Liked 252 Times
in
139 Posts
yeah, it almost seemed normal at my LBS. The racks were full and range seemed normal, e.g., mid-level to crazy high-end. They even had a few other 58s in the same price range as the Scott I bought.
#22
Junior Member
My Specialized/Trek LBS shop owner told me a week or so ago that there should be some better deals to be had in a few months. He said Specialized has dropped pricing 3 times in the last 3 months "and that's never happened before."
We'll see!
Gary
We'll see!
Gary
#25
Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: Québec, Canada
Posts: 1,467
Bikes: Propel Pro, TCR Pro, TCR Adv (beater)
Mentioned: 4 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 633 Post(s)
Liked 372 Times
in
286 Posts
That's weird indeed. 58cms usually come with 44mms and 54-56 with 42mms.
What bike manufacturers wouldn't do to shave a few $ out of the bike's production cost... That is one of the reason why I like Giant.
Schwalbe One are great tires by the way. If you ever upgrade for tubeless, try the Pro Ones TLE.
I've been using them for 3 seasons in a row now, and I have no complaint whatsoever. They do wear fast though.
Schwalbe One are great tires by the way. If you ever upgrade for tubeless, try the Pro Ones TLE.

Last edited by eduskator; 01-18-23 at 10:13 AM.