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Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399383)
I can't read the message notification I just received, and even if I could, I am told I cannot reveal the contents, but someone reported one of my posts on this (my) thread.
I find this deeply concerning on several levels. ETA: It looks like he tagged you accidentally for #272. |
Originally Posted by Spoonrobot
(Post 23399416)
It's probably because the mod that gave me an infraction for post #275 accidentally included your username tag in the nested quote of the message he sent. See if you have an infraction, if not, then that's what happened.
ETA: It looks like he tagged you accidentally for #272. Anyway, wrt post 275 etc, the main point is someone formulated the hypothesis, and put it to the test, and appears to have refuted it. That gives (at least) three logical possibilities: (1) The planing hypothesis was successfully refuted. (2) The planing hypothesis was wrongly, or too stringently, formulated, so what was being tested really wasn't the original hypothesis. (3) The experiment wasn't done properly (for example, maybe putting the bike in the trainer prevents planing), not enough subjects, etc. I do agree it would have been more compelling if someone who appears to have benefited from planing had been a test subject. However, if you want to assert anything other than (1) at this point, the burden of "proof" is placed on the shoulders of whomever wants to save the hypothesis. I still think there might be something to it, but I am less enthusiastic about the idea than I was 4 days ago. My initial interest was whether a bicycle that exhibits planing could become a non-planing or even anti-planing bicycle by changing something reproducibly (like an elastomer or isospeed coupler setting, or even the length of an inserted seat-post.) |
Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399290)
I hope you are being sarcastic, but if not, how do you know that one person simply isn't suffering expectation bias?
Maybe the third guy had expectation bias that it wouldn't work for him? |
Originally Posted by Eric F
(Post 23399407)
I'm still trying to wrap my head around how planing (if it's actually a thing) can possibly add more power to propel a bicycle down the road. If energy loaded into the frame is returned by spring action, how can it be more than the additional energy input? If we assume that energy loaded into the frame during the pedal stroke actually is returned to help propel the bike, wouldn't a stiffer frame just increase the quickness of the return?
A rigid cement floor doesn't make a better jumping surface than a sprung wood floor. Nor does a sagging suspension bridge. You have to have the right kind (elastic) of springiness. I am starting to think about an analogy with a simple vs. compound bow, where the compound bow is emulating the kind of thing a planing bicycle might do in the sense that it more efficiently channels the energy. |
Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399445)
Maybe it is best that it remains a mystery.
Anyway, wrt post 275 etc, the main point is someone formulated the hypothesis, and put it to the test, and appears to have refuted it. That gives (at least) three logical possibilities: (1) The planing hypothesis was successfully refuted. (2) The planing hypothesis was wrongly, or too stringently, formulated, so what was being tested really wasn't the original hypothesis. (3) The experiment wasn't done properly (for example, maybe putting the bike in the trainer prevents planing), not enough subjects, etc. I do agree it would have been more compelling if someone who appears to have benefited from planing had been a test subject. However, if you want to assert anything other than (1) at this point, the burden of "proof" is placed on the shoulders of whomever wants to save the hypothesis. I still think there might be something to it, but I am less enthusiastic about the idea than I was 4 days ago. My initial interest was whether a bicycle that exhibits planing could become a non-planing or even anti-planing bicycle by changing something reproducibly (like an elastomer or isospeed coupler setting, or even the length of an inserted seat-post.) 4) None of the bicycles has frame flex characteristics optimized for the rider(s). And there's this: Jan Heine, Editor, Bicycle Quarterly says: December 31, 2014 at 8:24 amYes, suspension can have the same effect. We once tested a Trek 2100C with an elastomer in the seatstays. It came with three elastomers. We made a forth insert out of delrin that had the effect of no suspension at all. The results were interesting: Without suspension, the bike felt like an inexpensive oversized aluminum frame: dead and hard to get moving. Same with the stiffest elastomer. With the medium elastomer, the bike was transformed, and it climbed really, really well. With the softest elastomer, we couldn’t get in sync with the frame. The elastomer was only about 40 mm (1.5″) thick, so the actual movement of the rear triangle was less than a centimeter. It appears that most suspension systems have too much travel to be beneficial for planing. Still, the idea of being able to tune the amount of frame flex on your bike holds a lot of promise. Imagine if you can use a stiffer elastomer for a fast group ride with friends, but a softer one for a 1200 km brevet. Or even change elastomers at the mid-point of a long-distance event as you get tired. |
Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399459)
The energy output has to be less than or equal to what is input. I agree it would be very helpful to have a specific mechanism to test. Several have been suggested in the first few hundred pages of the thread.
A rigid cement floor doesn't make a better jumping surface than a sprung wood floor. Nor does a sagging suspension bridge. You have to have the right kind (elastic) of springiness. I am starting to think about an analogy with a simple vs. compound bow, where the compound bow is emulating the kind of thing a planing bicycle might do in the sense that it more efficiently channels the energy. |
Originally Posted by Kontact
(Post 23399458)
And guessed the right bike to go with that bias? It was a blind test with identical looking bikes. Two people both noted and produced "planing" results.
Maybe the third guy had expectation bias that it wouldn't work for him? |
Originally Posted by Spoonrobot
(Post 23399462)
Look at super shoes, they are IMO one of the closer analogues to what is happening with planing.
Seriously, I need some decent shoes. |
Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399459)
The energy output has to be less than or equal to what is input. I agree it would be very helpful to have a specific mechanism to test. Several have been suggested in the first few hundred pages of the thread.
A rigid cement floor doesn't make a better jumping surface than a sprung wood floor. Nor does a sagging suspension bridge. You have to have the right kind (elastic) of springiness. I am starting to think about an analogy with a simple vs. compound bow, where the compound bow is emulating the kind of thing a planing bicycle might do in the sense that it more efficiently channels the energy. |
Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399466)
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Originally Posted by Eric F
(Post 23399407)
I'm still trying to wrap my head around how planing (if it's actually a thing) can possibly add more power to propel a bicycle down the road. If energy loaded into the frame is returned by spring action, how can it be more than the additional energy input? If we assume that energy loaded into the frame during the pedal stroke actually is returned to help propel the bike, wouldn't a stiffer frame just increase the quickness of the return?
The idea is that the redistribution of power over time allows some people to make greater power for longer periods, because they don't strain against the peak torque load. (It appears that pros are not those people, and can push through peak load with no issues.) It is only a little different than what Biopace is supposed to do - lower the peaks and lengthen the power phase. A stiffer frame doesn't flex, so it isn't doing anything to modify the power output graph. And because it doesn't flex, some riders are going to be fatigued by the peak load that the bike does nothing to buffer. |
Originally Posted by Spoonrobot
(Post 23399460)
Or maybe;
4) None of the bicycles has frame flex characteristics optimized for the rider(s). And there's this: |
Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399470)
Yeah, I was referring to that earlier in the thread, and it was why I was wondering if Trek's isospeed coupler might be used in the same way. I think this would really be helpful in trying to pin down what to measure. If you could turn it on and off and measure differences, it would be extremely helpful in experimental design.
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Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399463)
OK, let's put it a bit differently. If only one rider out of 10, or 100, or 1000, or whatever, experiences planing, is it a significantly useful idea? (By useful, I include explanatory power.)
If this was a drug that cured cancer, how many out of 100 would make it worth producing? This is not a scientific concept, really. You're bordering on "If only 1 in 1,000,000 people are albino, are there any albinos?" Yeah, there are albinos. Has Heine suggested that ALL riders should have bikes that plane? Most riders? Should interested people look into it even if the rate is less than 50%? |
Originally Posted by Kontact
(Post 23399469)
That's not the claim.
The idea is that the redistribution of power over time allows some people to make greater power for longer periods, because they don't strain against the peak torque load. (It appears that pros are not those people, and can push through peak load with no issues.) It is only a little different than what Biopace is supposed to do - lower the peaks and lengthen the power phase. A stiffer frame doesn't flex, so it isn't doing anything to modify the power output graph. And because it doesn't flex, some riders are going to be fatigued by the peak load that the bike does nothing to buffer. |
Originally Posted by Kontact
(Post 23399474)
Sure. But how did you jump to 1 in 100 without any data either way? What if it 60 in 100? What about 25? 92?
If this was a drug that cured cancer, how many out of 100 would make it worth producing? This is not a scientific concept, really. You're bordering on "If only 1 in 1,000,000 people are albino, are there any albinos?" Yeah, there are albinos. This all gets back to the idea that if you can't state under what experimental conditions you would consider your hypothesis to be refuted, then you don't have a testable hypothesis. That is essentially what separates empirical science from religion or metaphysics. Without predictive power, the hypothesis is vacuous. |
Originally Posted by Kontact
(Post 23399474)
You're bordering on "If only 1 in 1,000,000 people are albino, are there any albinos?" Yeah, there are albinos.
Hypothesis proponent: All swans are white. Observation: I looked at 3 swans. One of them is black. Hypothesis proponent: The black swan is an outlier, and a conditional-lethal mutant, so It doesn't count. Observation: I checked 100,000 swans. Of those, 28,578 are black. Hypothesis Proponent: Well, almost 3/4 of the swans are white, so what's the problem? Observation: I checked an additional 900,000 swans. Less than 1/10th are white. Hypothesis Proponent: Well, the swan color hypothesis was only really meant to cover the fraction of swans without pigment. Observation: The 100,000 white swans are all albino. |
Originally Posted by Eric F
(Post 23399407)
I'm still trying to wrap my head around how planing (if it's actually a thing) can possibly add more power to propel a bicycle down the road. If energy loaded into the frame is returned by spring action, how can it be more than the additional energy input? If we assume that energy loaded into the frame during the pedal stroke actually is returned to help propel the bike, wouldn't a stiffer frame just increase the quickness of the return?
|
Originally Posted by Koyote
(Post 23399497)
If you could get more energy out of a system than was put into it, you could solve a lot of the world's problems. And they'd have to rewrite a whole bunch of textbooks.
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Re recent mentions of supershoes and Biopace, and quoting myself from post 65:
So: power is applied to the right pedal from 2:00 to 4:00. Bottom bracket swings to the left. As the right pedal moves through 6:00, the left pedal moves through 12:00. Rider begins applying power at the left pedal at the moment that the bottom bracket begins to swing back to the right. Instead of an abrupt transition into the application of pedal force, the left pedal retreats slightly down and away from the foot, increasing the length of time during which the full pedal force comes to be applied. The recent arrival in the running world of "super-shoes" might represent an analogous phenomenon. |
Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23398691)
How so? There seems to be a lot of similarities, although my example is probably more relevant.
You said the only difference was that it was a limb extension. This one is a limb replacement, yet he was disqualified because it gave a mechanical advantage. Why would that be? I am genuinely stumped. |
Any piece of metal (or carbon) tubing is going to be a spring, to some degree. The photo I posted of the prostheses made them look like carbon fiber (I am not sure).
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Originally Posted by RChung
(Post 23399389)
Sometimes threads look like they're ending and then they get a boost.
First 24 hours: 75 posts 2nd 24 hours: 65 3rd 24 hours: 48 4th 24 hours: 108 |
Originally Posted by tomato coupe
(Post 23399105)
What field did the third person get their PhD in?
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Originally Posted by Polaris OBark
(Post 23399493)
You've now inverted the argument.
Hypothesis proponent: All swans are white. Observation: I looked at 3 swans. One of them is black. Hypothesis proponent: The black swan is an outlier, and a conditional-lethal mutant, so It doesn't count. Observation: I checked 100,000 swans. Of those, 28,578 are black. Hypothesis Proponent: Well, almost 3/4 of the swans are white, so what's the problem? Observation: I checked an additional 900,000 swans. Less than 1/10th are white. Hypothesis Proponent: Well, the swan color hypothesis was only really meant to cover the fraction of swans without pigment. Observation: The 100,000 white swans are all albino. Seems to me that it is much more important to demonstrate the underlying mechanisms to everyone's satisfaction before you begin worrying about how often you can make those elements add up to an overall performance effect. It just seems like a bad faith move to use the lack of a promised statistical result as reason to dismiss what is, at this point, simply a theory based on the experience and documentary evidence collected by one guy. If you want to have something to say about the matter, do the work of testing the idea. Not the hypothesis - the idea. And don't do it because it is important for you to disprove something. That kind of bias isn't science. |
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