I tend to sweat easily and I commute in siminar conitions (0F today). I cannot wear a wind proof or water proof shell in any temperatute. You need a wind resistant front and a well vented, wicking rear. I wear a Craft wind front longjohn on my lower half under blue jeans. On the top it is just a polyester button dress shirt, with a fairly thick polyester jacket, that has a nylon front (old Cannondale jacket). When I get to work my back will be frosty where the moisture is wicking and evaporatating. A craft wind front top would serve the same purpose if I did not have the jacket.

My big issue is my hands. I wear waterproof mittens, with thick wool liners and a poly glove. My hands sweat a lot, but I can't figure out how to put enough inslation on them and still allow wicking. Biking lobster mitts are just not warm enough and too small to layer.