Originally Posted by
achoo
All you just did was repeat yourself - "it seems clear".
No, it's not. many millions of times a day does someone in the US cycle in traffic? It wouldn't surprise me if there's 10 million man-hours of cycling in traffic in the US - every day.
Do you really think the number hours cyclists spend biking in lightning storms every is anywhere near being within two orders of magnitude of the number of hours cyclists as a whole spend in traffic?
If you do, that means you think the average cyclist who bikes 10 hours a week on roads also averages 6 minutes a week riding in lightning storms.
Do you honestly believe riding against traffic or not looking if an intersection is clear is less risky than riding in a thunderstorm? If you do then your sense of probabilities is way off.
Further, please re-read the last sentence in post #58 and tell me why you disagree with that statement.
Either way, I'm through trying to explain probability to folks who can't seem to grasp the basics...