Originally Posted by
skiffrun
Assuming PBP is limited to 5000-5500 inscrits, with about 600 of those being RUSA members:
//snip//
The 2010 RUSA VP is a NC Randonneur. At a brevet or a permanent a couple months ago, I overheard Mike mention that there were already more than six hundred results for 600's and 1000's combined.
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That's both good and bad news. In playing around with the numbers in the PBP announcement about number of riders that have registered for the last PBPs (1999/3573 riders, 2003/4184, 2007/5311, about 11% total riders from the USA) a quick guestimate is that if the cap is around 550-600 then about a third of the eligible riders who would otherwise ride without the cap (about 781) won't be able to register in 2011. To estimate that there are fewer than 600 - 600k/1000k might suggest that growth in the sport hasn't continued to rocket into the nosebleed section. The down side is that the the number of 2010 results might influence the total number of slots allocated to the US in 2011. I know that there are a few riders who made an effort to complete two series or two 1000K+ rides this year to try to help bump up the number. Who knows if it will make a difference but it would have been nice to see a higher number.
but then this is all a guessing game, isn't it?
Hopefully everybody who wants to go will get the golden ticket!
Happy Holidays everybody!