After watching him give away stage wins in the Giro, my money (and support because he showed class) is absolutely with the evil Mr. Contador.
"Bru-ha-ha-ha-ha"!
I think this will be a relatively PED-free TdF, due to the perception of improved testing, and AC needs it less than other contenders. I don't think it will be close.
I'll go with Horner for 2nd, and agree Andy looks weak, despite his saying he is right on track.