From what you say, I'll agree - it sure sounds ominous! Makes me think, when these frames start failing and folks start getting injured, I'll think back "Wow - Bob was right!"

Although given the surprising paucity of frame failures in the past 3-4 years, and odds that the manufacturers are just going to get better at what they're doing, I'm not holding my breath to see this tidal wave of failures you're predicting.

I also actually don't care what the manufacturing specs are (I'm usually not an early adopter and also know little about the manufacturing specs in my car, house, and most of the stuff I use.) When the product comes to market and is tested by tens, if not hundreds of thousands, that's when I'll consider making a move. If you could build a race-winning, safe bike, with paper mache, that works safely for tens of thousands of people over several years, I don't care if you make it in your basement with a blender - I'll ride it.