Originally Posted by
mikepwagner
Do you have a link to those studies? I am not arguing, just curious.
Nope, it's just the impression that I got when I cared enough to look around the web for information about the relative risks of cycling. A lot of numbers posted on websites with varying degrees of coherency, so take from that what you will.
Not sure that I follow this line of argument. If the risk of injury per hour is the same whether I am in a car on on a bike, then isn't the difference between the risks of an individual commute be the same as the difference between the commute times, right? If it the risk of injury is X per hour, and my commute takes 1 hour by car and 3 hours by bike, aren't I 3 times as likely to be injured riding on my bike as commuting by car?
Thanks,
Mike
You're right, but I was referring to the preference of most people to minimize their commute; a three hour commute is hardly representative of what most people are willing to do. There's a point where most of us will switch to a different mode of transport if we feel that cycling takes too long, and this will limit risk exposure. For short trips where travel times are the same, risk is probably about the same, and for longer trips the risk isn't that high anyway.
My school commute takes 20 minutes by car (easily half of which is spent sitting at stop lights =/ ) and, if I take the road and not the MUP, about 35 by bike; so I guess that I'm almost doubling my exposure risk when I cycle on the road. But the risk that I'm doubling is very low, and by cycling I mitigate other risks, like those for heart disease and obesity.
I feel (no data or science or whatever here, just a hunch) that low speed roads offer less risk, regardless of mode of transport, and when I drive I eschew them for higher speed arterials because I just want to get back out of the car as soon as possible; so by driving I tend to take more dangerous roads, which might equalize the risk exposure with cycling where I avoid high speed and high traffic roads whenever possible.