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Old 11-29-11 | 01:23 PM
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dougmc
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Originally Posted by myrridin
I am fairly certain that you made a math error when arriving at that 1% estimate.

Using numbers from 2,009 (the most recent I found quickly), the population was 307,006,550 and the number of auto related deaths (http://www.census.gov/compendia/stat...es/12s1103.pdf) were only 35,900 or about 0.01%
I didn't say *will die in a given year*, I just said *likely to die* (at the end of their life). So your 0.01% figure should be multiplied by the average life expectancy, which is something like 78 years -- which brings us pretty close to 1% (0.91% to be precise.)

Assuming that the death rates stay the same (which is unlikely, granted), go check out 1100 babies at the hospitals -- roughly 10 of them (0.91%) of them are likely to die on the roads assuming that the current rates continue.

Things have gotten a lot better. In 1972 -- the year that the most people were killed by motor vehicles in the US -- 54,582 -- with the population being 210 million, the odds percentage was just under 2%. (Fortunately, things have improved since, so the actual percentage of people who would be killed by motor vehicles is headed down.)

Or, to look at this from another perspective ... in 2007 (the most recent year I found data on this) there were 2,423,712 deaths by all causes in the US. In that year, 41,059 people died in collisions involving motor vehicles. Doing the math -- that's 1.5%. (To be fair, automobile caused deaths have dropped a lot since 2007 for some reason.)

Ultimately, something of the order of 1% of the deaths each year in the US are caused by automobile collisions.
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