This week has been a little frustrating. Forecasts have been pessimistic; could've ridden Tuesday if I had a crystal ball; yesterday was "right out", could've ridden today if I waited out the early morning shower & gone to work late. Tomorrow's forecast is "thunderstorms likely", so we'll see... The more days in a row I don't ride, the lower my risk aversity gets...
I'm really not keen on getting wet on the way to work, so in the morning, when making the decision to ride or not to ride, the immediate conditions dominate the decision, while the afternoon forecast is a relatively remote and abstract concept!