I think the general theory in cold weather is the base layer should move sweat away from your body. The next layer(s) - regardless of what it is - should serve as insulation. And, the outer layer ideally should block wind and at least repel rain, snow, etc.
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A conclusion is the place where you got tired of thinking. - S. Wright
Favorite rides in the stable: Indy Fab CJ Ti - Colnago MXL - S-Works Roubaix - Habanero Team Issue - Jamis Eclipse carbon/831