I dont think long climbs are going to hurt Evans. He showed exellent form on long climbs in the Giro del Trentino. On stage 2 he took 4. place on a 15 km (6,9 % avr) mountaintop finish and then fifth on stage 4, 20 km (avr 8%) mountaintop finish. Of course he did not have this set of opponents and he is probably not going to gain time on his rivals on the mountain stages but I think he could defend well. My outside pick would be Wout Poels. He did good in the Vuelta of the Basque country, althougt he was working for Uran and he's coming into this race with rested legs.