Originally Posted by
RobbieTunes
I'm pretty sure what's collectible now will still be collectible in 20-40 years, since we'll die and the bikes will not.
I don't think that theory works. There has to be someone to want them. For kids twenty years older than me, the Schwinn Stingray was really cool, and then a few years later those kids drove the bike boom. For me, born in '77, anything with a banana seat reads "girl bike" and BMX and skateboards were cool. On the adult bike side, the average US citizen today probably owns a mountain bike. His perception of racing is all about Lance and doping. They might remember Lemond or the Olympic team and their funny bikes. The carbon fiber bikes are astonishingly expensive making them seem like a terrible value, and the extensive market segmentation means there is no marquee. Who will be nostalgic for them?