I rode the year they cancelled day one. We just started from LaGrange on the town square and rode a one day ride. The main reason day one was cancelled that year wasn't so much because of the weather on Saturday, but because the wind and rain the day or two before had flooded out the fairgrounds and taken down about half or more of the team tents. The rain and storms on that Saturday just sealed the deal.

The forecasts I am seeing so far seem to be for a slight chance of rain and/or storms early in the day, then sunny afterwards. This far out, that is probably a reflection of model spread around when a low is going to come through. As we get closer, the models will probably tighten up around when it will happen and probably take away some of the rain chance. The models this time of year are always overly optimistic about fronts actually making it through the Houston area in the longer range modeling, but over time, the models usually show them stalling out before they get here or before they make it to the gulf. The main risk to us as riders will be if a system decides to stall right over the area, and cause tstorms that would put the volunteers in danger. That is what would cause them to cancel things. On the wind side of things, they are currently predicting a light tailwind for Saturday, but a headwind for sunday. Better plan to keep a little in the tank for Sunday if that forecast holds.