You could run that race 10 times and in 9 of them either Roger or Andreas wins off the front. They are a killer combination because you can't jump on both of them every time, and Roger seems to be able to just go and go and go again. He countered himself like 3 times before it stuck.
Anyway, if I find myself in a similar situation again, I'll try to stick it out a bit longer to see what happens.