Originally Posted by
tarwheel
However, I've come to the conclusion that many flats are random by nature.
I don't think they are completely random by nature.
Often older and more well worn tires are more prone to flats. I do try to pick out debris, but perhaps I miss some
However, there may be a point where the rubber starts to dry out and dry-rot, and is more prone to pick up debris.
I think that flats are more common in the winter... I did manage to get my only external flat with my Marathon rear tire within the first 50 miles, and have been fighting with the boot ever since.
Some places also carry a greater flat tire risk. When I was recently riding around Portland, I decided that HWY 99 W was a risk (expecting a glass puncture). And, what do you know, picked up a radial tire wire along the route instead.