Originally Posted by
tandempower
You're forgetting about the intermediating mechanism that leads from 'peak oil' to transportation reforms, which is rising fuel prices.
Not at all: my point is that when fuel prices rise, the main thought is not, "Wow, I better dust off that bike and look into public transport," it's "Hey, maybe I should consider a hybrid/plug-in electric car." Or a smaller car. Or a scooter.
As fuel prices rise, there will be some movement toward public transport and even bicycles, but car culture will linger a good while, especially outside of urban centers.