Last night is was cold and raining and the creek crossing the MUP was flooded.
I know the drill, but this guy riding behind me said it seemed fine. (It was his first non-summer day riding this route.) He wasnt exactly familiar with where the MUP edge is, and he ended up tipping over on the soft ground. It was up to his waist. For once I was the older (?) wiser veteran, having plowed through in the past. Here is him carrying his bike back to the MUP: