Originally Posted by
pdlamb
I can't agree with this approach, but that may be down to the difference between our riding. I had one blowout at the bottom of a nice little hill, a quarter mile from the projects. Sounded like a rifle shot, I was cruising at 35-40 mph, but fortunately it was straight and level where the tire blew. (Not sure whether I was lucky that nobody gave me more than a passing glance!) I was able to bring it to a stop.
I've also had a blowout on a curve going half that speed, and let me tell you, when you try to make that turn on an aluminum rim, there ain't no traction.
But for the grace of God, one of those tires might have blown on a steep downhill, going into a right hand curve, with traffic coming uphill. Catastrophizing? Maybe. But until I'm reduced to riding a nice level bike path around a lake, I'm not going to take a chance with a failing tire casing causing a bulge in the tire ever again.
I'm not sure where we disagree. You seemed to lay out all the conditions that will have made me lean on the side of changing it. And in the following paragraphs you left out of my quote, I mentioned some of them.